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Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

blog.waymo.com

331–340 of 399 posts

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#331
post #298

I think folks are missing the key here. If waymo offers its own app and there aren't any available vehicles when a user wants a ride, user trust is lost, and people don't bother trying it next time. With the Uber app, Uber will show both options when they're both available. It allows waymo to offer a lower SLA/SLO while still gradually fielding a service. It also allows for easier fallback if a waymo vehicle is takin…

I see the benefits from both for now, but I’m not capturing how they could agree on the long-term negotiation. There is so much upside in a few months for only one side of that deal… That was always the issue with Uber promising self-driving cars: human drivers have an unknown, uncontrollable deadline.

Are you sure Uber sees no viable replacement for Waymo?

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#332

This is fascinating, obviously it makes a tonne of sense for uber as a platform to offer waymo's autonomous vehicles. The first question I had though was "who extracts value here". Does Waymo get to demand human-driver level prices and therefore capture loads of value or does Uber actually capture the value because they're where the customers are. But then I realised... it doesn't matter. Waymo is part of Alphabet, a…

For me the question is who is liable in an accident

If it's the fault of the car, it has to be Waymo.

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#333
I was a founding engineer on the first uber platform for third party autonomous vehicles. It was just ~4 people and we got a ton done, growing to ~60 people and onboarding a lot of partners before I left. It was a really interesting time, and I wonder how much of that original code is still running here, or if the marketplace team (where the project eventually transferred) ended up replacing it all.

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#334

Many comments saying Waymo could easily spin up an Uber-replacement app are missing one key point: integrating with Uber allows Waymo to have a slow rollout / soft-launch. They can start adding support one city at a time. And for the Uber user, the Waymo option only pops up for you if the ride you requested is within the Waymo range and they have cars available. This way they can also collect tons of data about how u…

I think my confusion is more about Uber’s incentives here. They’re providing a ramp-up platform for Waymo as you described, but as soon as it hits any scale Waymo can easily part ways.

maybe even buy Uber if possible

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#335
post #293

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, I think the BOM cost of Waymo is higher.

By public accounts, the total hardware costs for one SDC is around $300k. If you amortize that over a 5 year lifespan & 50 rides a day, you get $3.28 of variable costs per ride. $3.28 variable cost per ride is less than what Uber is paying its drivers (median pay is ~$10.88 per ride). I imagine it nets out significantly in SDC's favor after adding back in cost of gas, insurance, and maintenance. And, the $300k should…

An SDC has many of the same operational costs (and maybe more) than a human-driven car. (Also garaging, cleaning, etc. As well as the support staff if a car gets in trouble somehow.) You can admittedly assume electric and assume operational costs may be lower than say a Prius today. But I don't consider it a given that a company which purchases and operates an SDC fleet from Waymo can operate profitably while undercutting rideshare as it exists today.

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#337
post #188
post #172

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The backstory that seems to have been forgotten here is that self driving cars are still a money bleeding endeavor. It's why Uber sold its own self driving division and it's something Cruise has said in the past still needs to be figured out. Uber has pivoted to doing partnerships with any self driving player that is looking for a customer base. Waymo doesn't have the tech nor the desire to figure out logistics to co…

> The backstory that seems to have been forgotten here is that self driving cars are still a money bleeding endeavor. It's why Uber sold its own self driving division and it's something Cruise has said in the past still needs to be figured out. Uber sold their self driving division because they killed someone in Arizona due to negligence. And then Anthony Lewandowski happened. Those two incidents complete deflated Ub…

The self-driving division was done to attract investment because investors thought it sounded cool. It would have been bad for Uber's business to have them - Uber relies on not owning cars, which moves all the maintenance to the driver-owners. If you own a self-driving car you still have to maintain it.

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#338
post #118

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> you can, but I am used to using uber app to call an uber. yes, waze had 100M+ users and still failed to have a successful launch with waze carpool. part of the problem is Google is too successful. If a business makes USD 10M a year and takes up a month worth of attention every year from the Alphabet CEO, they will probably shut it down before we can say Google Product Graveyard.

When I worked at Google our team came up with a data product that would have been pure margin and $75m/yr with customers lined up -- and I couldn't find a VP interested in cashing the checks because it wasn't on their annual OKRs. Google is a great company but it has never been truly hungry because it has never faced an existential threat.

What's the product? Asking for a friend...

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#339

I think this makes sense for the both. Waymo's technological advantage won't last forever. Unless they can overtake the entire automaker industry in a foreseeable future (which is extremely challenging goal even with Google's money), it's probably better to put path dependencies on your potential future customers and make it much harder to change. Uber desperately want to reduce its spend on drivers, so this also ali…

Having a sole source partner with self-driving cars doesn't help Uber reduce spending much; Waymo isn't charging Uber cost-plus pricing, they're charging as much as they can get away with. And Waymo has more negotiating power for its car fleet than individual Uber drivers have for their one car.

Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber

#340
Well...my prediction was off just a bit[1]. Waymo and Uber are partnering, not Cruise buying Lyft.

imo the thesis is the same though, I would expect to see Cruise and Lyft partner and/or similar sometime in the near future.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35929710

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