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Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

reuters.com

331–340 of 355 posts

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#331

I think coverage of the A380 often misses the point that at the time, Boeing's 747 simply had no competition, whereas all of Airbus's planes did. So Airbus pretty much had to create the A380 in order to protect its other lines from cross-subsidy by this unopposed cash-cow. And, also missing from almost all the coverage is the fact that this worked: if the A380 is struggling, the 747 is moribund or dead. Official back…

Piling on another point (mdasen is absolutely right about the route-model aspects, and the fact that megahub approaches "lost" to smaller planes flying routes to non-megahubs): Airbus made one more big, big blunder with the A380: they deliberately and knowingly designed a jumbo that could never have a cargo variant or a cargo conversion. Although the 747's cargo conversion famously is due to Boeing thinking supersoni…

Hmm...the 747 was the loser of the US Air Force’s heavy lift competition, to the C-5 Galaxy.

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#332
post #238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That article is misleading, the Dreamliner is at least a decade away from true profitability, if it ever gets there. When Boeing announces it "turned" profitable, they are saying it now costs less to make each Dreamliner than they are selling for. But that is ignoring over $30B in development costs (plus interest) that it needs to earn back before it can ever generate a true economic profit. "In the second quarter of…

Thanks for the insight and clarification. This has to be one of the most difficult businesses to be in, given a poor choice can risk bankruptcy for the developer/manufacturer. If relative success means turning a profit 20 years hence, that's one hell of an industry to be in.

Boeing is too big to fail. The US federal government won't allow them to fall into bankruptcy. The same principle applies with the EU and Airbus.

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#333

I think coverage of the A380 often misses the point that at the time, Boeing's 747 simply had no competition, whereas all of Airbus's planes did. So Airbus pretty much had to create the A380 in order to protect its other lines from cross-subsidy by this unopposed cash-cow. And, also missing from almost all the coverage is the fact that this worked: if the A380 is struggling, the 747 is moribund or dead. Official back…

>doing the Atlantic in 737s!

I think that would be the 737 MAX which is a notably different aircraft (launched in 2016) than your normal 737.

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#334

From consumer standpoint, A380 is by far my favorite for cross-Atlantic flights. A340 would be a distant second. 777s layout fits more people then A340 (superior for airline), but 3/4/3 seating just plain sucks for passengers compared to 2/4/2 for A340. More leg room too. A340 having toilets below deck is also great - fewer smells in the cabin. Sadly, getting a A340 is like lottery and A380 is only operated in a few…

The 787 is pretty nice too. Having electrical air pumps rather than bleed air is a plus - there's some evidence it can cause problems (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/travelnews/6839234/Boeing-...)

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#335

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Piling on another point (mdasen is absolutely right about the route-model aspects, and the fact that megahub approaches "lost" to smaller planes flying routes to non-megahubs): Airbus made one more big, big blunder with the A380: they deliberately and knowingly designed a jumbo that could never have a cargo variant or a cargo conversion. Although the 747's cargo conversion famously is due to Boeing thinking supersoni…

Hmm...the 747 was the loser of the US Air Force’s heavy lift competition, to the C-5 Galaxy.

Yes, it will never have the capacity of a plane that was designed solely to be a big cargo carrier.

But if you're a civilian cargo-carrying airline not named "Antonov", the 747 is the biggest thing you can get, and you'll never be able to get a cargo A380.

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#336
post #321
post #160

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Many flights in Dubai happen late at night / very early morning due to a combination of time zone alignment and daytime heat making it harder to service large planes.

It could be fueling issues. I once had a Summer flight which was suppose to be direct from Athens to NYC that had to make a pitstop at Heathrow for fuel. It was so hot in Greece they couldn't fit enough fuel on board to jump the pond without a top off.

I've never heard of that before, and I've taken flights out of Israel in 43°C weather. Could just be a 'fuel price' thing

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#337

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Lets say there are 52 windows The actual number is almost double that, but that doesn’t negate your point. More than weight, I think it was seen as a “nicety”. I think with the new Gen 2 (and soon Gen 3) Windows, people won’t mind them as much as the newer generations are MUCH darker.

If there were a 100 windows lets assume there are 1 on each side so that is 50 rows. lets say first 10 rows are first class. That would leave 40 rows. Its 9 seats across that is 360 people. There 1st class rows have 4 across 787 does not hold 360+40 people. Also it doesn't get all the way dark. I just feel it was a piece of engineering that doesn't need to be there in my opinion.

> 787 does not hold 360+40 people

Correct, but not every window aligns directly with a row.

Let’s use an UAL 787-8 for example. There’s ~10 windows per side in first class, but yet only six rows of seats (6x6 = 36 seats for about twenty Windows). In economy, there’s about 32 windows (give or take 2) on each side and yet only 20 outside rows. The middle section has 21 rows, all sections having three across seating, for a total of 183 seats in economy.

> Also it doesn't get all the way dark.

As I said, the Gen 2 windows (just rolling out now) and the forth coming Gen 3 help solve that problem. Rather than the dark blue of the current Gen 1 windows, each successive generation gets darker with the Gen 3 windows being 100x darker.

Source: https://thepointsguy.com/2016/01/darker-windows-coming-to-78...

> I just feel it was a piece of engineering that doesn't need to be there in my opinion.

I mostly agree with you, but I personally enjoy seeing out the window without the glare of the sun in my face. YMMV

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#338
post #316

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But LHR does 30-50 flights per hour. 60 seconds is a lot of time...

LHR has more than one runway.

At any time, one runway is used for take offs and the other for landings. It is a really busy airport operating at near capacity.

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#339
post #280

I find it interesting that people claim that the hub and spoke model is being phased out. It's not...it's being expanded. There are more hubs, and hubs are expanding the reach of their spokes, and that means more cities where you can find direct flights to or from. The expansion of the number of cities in the US that fly direct to London is because the London hubs have expanded its reach to US cities. In the absence…

I don't see how you can reach this conclusion. At the very least, it goes against conventional wisdom. And, of course, it depends on where you sit. With my home airport as SFO, I can be happy about the diversity of point-to-point options I have, but you might argue I'm just flying from one hub to another. If it's true that there are more "hubs", that means that there are also more point-to-point flights for more peop…

From the perspective of the passenger, it certainly appears like more point to point routes. But from the perspective of network and fleet planners, the type of people who do things like decide between A380s and 777s, it absolutely is a hub and spoke network and that point isn’t just an inconsequential matter of perspective like it is for passengers.

Re: Airbus ready to axe A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

#340
post #232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Plenty of airlines have replaced 747s with A380s. British Airways, Lufthansa, Air France and Qantas immediately come to mind.

The first three are from countries where Eads doing well is a political thing: Britain Germany and France own chunks of airbus and have a lot invested in it doing well. The former flag carriers are only nominally independent from the state.

> The first three are from countries where Eads doing well is a political thing: Britain Germany and France own chunks of airbus and have a lot invested in it doing well. The former flag carriers are only nominally independent from the state.

OTOH, Lufthansa was the initial customer for 747-8.

So while you correctly pointed out that influence, carriers aren't quite as dependent on their host nations as you assume.

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