I don't want there to be one but I am at least 65% certain there will be a civil war between the states in 5ish years to the point it is affecting my future plans. IMO, it will come down to state national guards supporting a secesion or rebellion against the federal government. The packing of the supreme court and all levels of state and federal judges is a strategic move by an ethnonationlist movement in America. Look at a picture of republicans vs democrats in congress, it speaks volumes.
The white supremacist "race war" thing is bullshit. The civil war I see coming is a deep division between mostly rural white americans and everyone else. There are things these people say in public and things they say in private. They have been brainwashed by the likes of steve bannon who believe a pure white and euro centric nation must be established.
A lot of their supporters only support them because they worked hard to pack courts and get rid of abortion, gay marriage and other things. These are "single issue voters".
And on the left, based on what I hear on CNN/MSNBC and the sentiment on sites like reddit and even a little bit on HN, the disconnect from reality couldn't be any worse. What I am saying is, sure the issues leftwingers care about are important but I am worried about is concentration camps and states firing nukes at each other.
Let's look at religion for example, leftwingers are incredibly bigoted. Replace religion with race in the same context and you will see what I mean (not that the two are comparable but in America they are both protected groups, where religion is the second right of the people). The things people ask and answer about Christianity could not be more wrong, almost reads like made up fiction to me, this is important because of how important religion is to the other side. They literally believe relgion has no place in government, I mean sure religious orgs have no place in government but individuals have every right to represent the beliefs of their electorate religious or not.
Look at TV, netflix, popular social media. They are all progressive friendly. They make the other side feel extremely excluded. And it was things like this russia and white supremacists have been exploiting.
I expect them to slowly make things like interracial marriage, EEO, EPA regulations,etc... a states issue. And then democrats will try to reverse it but the states will refuse to comply and order their national guards to resist that order. Now, if cops have been inflitrated by white supremacists to the point where they maim white journalists in broad daylight on purpose at a blm protest and get away with it, how much of southern states' national guards (which have little diversity) do you think have been infiltrated?
Even if you don't buy anything I said until this point, the sentiment and propaganda on the right is "white christian purity" and on the left is "anything but straight-white-male or Christian" if this was a marriage it would end in a divorce due to "irreconcilable differences".
I don't even vote because I disagree with both sides strongly (I am not a centrist). But it comes down to Republicans accepting black and latino people are here to stay and "dillute" the "white race" by way of marriage (although "pure" "white" people will never be replaced by this, they will just be less percent of the population) and democrats need to accept you can't progress and change everything and exclude everyone who disagrees and use racial divisions for votes.
Last take: The amount of people that believe joe biden is not the president of america is enough to start a civil war in america. The last civil war was between white americans over slavery, the demographics have changed. Now it will be an even deeper divide. To the majority it will feel like a large amount of crazy people took over a few state governments and started an insurrection but like a wildifire it will spread.
I hope I am completely wrong on this but this is whay the right wing wants. Both sides think they are right and both sides are wrong. There couldn't be a better time for either party to risk losing am election cycle or two by splitting (e.g.: progressives splinter off from democrats or social conservatives split from GOP).
Really last take: some states splitting is a good idea. Split texas in four, washington,oregon,vermont, colorado and florida in two and california in 3 and then admit Puerto Rico, Guam+American Samoa+USVI (three as one state),DC as states. Which gives each party close to equal additional states but also solves a lot of gridlocked issues and allows more swing states.