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There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

loworbitsecurity.com

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Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#311

Post by nonethewiser »

wood_spirit wrote: post #125
roncesvalles wrote: post #119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The nukes are a bargaining chip (disarmament). Basically, if your country has the human and tech capital to develop a nuke, you probably should because it's free money. I don't believe that NK's nukes deter the US from doing anything. Would NK nuke Guam and risk getting carpet-bombed with nukes for endless days and nights until even the ants are dead? Artillery on Seoul doesn't matter. The US would just ask SK to eva…

The nukes have many roles perhaps but I think the fully developed weapons are for retaliatory strike. They are the North Korean leadership saying that if the US (or China or anyone really) tries to surgically decapitate them (like the US just did in Venezuela) then the nukes are used to take the attackers with them

Guess the US's mistake was not decapitating NK earlier then. Too late for NK, not too late for other regimes.

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#312

Post by actionfromafar »

nostrademons wrote: post #271
SiempreViernes wrote: post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Realistically speaking you'll die of an infected and untreated burn wound though, the severe blast and burn area is just much much bigger than the fancy "everything just goes poof" core.

Realistically speaking you're going to die of starvation or get shot by marauding gangs, or die of cancer a few decades later from radiation in the food change. NukeMap [1] has good visualizations of the relative fireball vs. blast vs. thermal radiation vs. fallout radiuses. One thing that stands out: most of the suburbs is going to survive the initial nuclear exchange. At worst, they'll have a few broken windows. Th…

Not only 20% of the population, but wiping out cities is going to make everything grind to a halt. Best case, tiny pockets of social order is going to remain in very hard to reach, remote rural areas which also has local access to food. We are talking about maybe thousands of people in a population of hundreds of millions. The rest are in for a decade of pure hell.

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#313

Post by nonethewiser »

victorbjorklund wrote: post #95
eastbound wrote: post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Let’s be honest, that was a crazy operation. I wonder whether they really secured all chances of success, or just winged it with chances of not depositing the leader, and him being able to summon his diplomatic relations into 50 countries declaring war to the USA. While on their way out, if the USA could set everything back to IPv6, that would be nice.

No one would lift a finger for him. Russia just watched. The Chinese too. They may be allies in words but in the end each dictator just care about themselves. Just like how Trump wouldn’t help any ally unless he got something out of it.

Power wins in anarchy. International relations are anarchy. There is no actual international law.

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#314

Post by AceyMan »

tejtm wrote: post #259
fooker wrote: post #245

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Where will the planes land?

Those interstate highways are starting to look pretty good as the fuel guage drops

I'd always been told this was planned into the implementation of the US Interstate Highway System. There are dead straight and level sections ever so many linear miles or per some gridsquare measure to serve as ad hoc landing strips in a national crisis. That's been 35+ years ago that I heard it and I haven't sought any supporting documentation since the dawn of the Internet. Any insight would be appreciated.

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#315

Post by monocasa »

sarchertech wrote: post #302
monocasa wrote: post #239

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> an unpopular Head of State Heads of state are generally pretty good at delegating the C&C of their nukes to people they are pretty popular with. That's orthogonal to popularity polls of the populace.

Yeah but those people read the popularity polls as well. If you kill or capture the leader, there isn’t much upside in retaliation against a massively more powerful enemy. The best move is to cozy up to whomever is in power next.

You pick people for that job that aren't that concerned with the popularity polls, and who's main value add is a willingness to turn the key when told to. Either directly or because they were previously told to follow the process.

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#316

Post by rhplus »

narmiouh wrote: post #116

I guess one of the interesting things I learnt off this article(1) was that 7% of DNS query types served by 1.1.1.1 are HTTPS and started wondering what HTTPS query type was as I had only heard of A, MX, AAAA, SPF etc... Apparently that is part of implementing ECH (Encrypted Client Hello) in TLS 1.3 where the DNS hosts the public key of the server to fully encrypt the server name in a HTTPS request. Since Nginx and o…

There’s an odd skew in that data which is saying the *third* most popular TLD is ‘.st’ which is… unexpected. The biggest service I can find using that TLD is `play.st` so maybe PlayStation clients are early adopters of DNS-over-HTTPS via 1.1.1.1.

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#317

Post by mandevil »

fooker wrote: post #245
mandevil wrote: post #169

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The US built a lot of bunkers like this back in the 1950's. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mount_Weather_Emergency_Operat... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raven_Rock_Mountain_Complex https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Greek_Island https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cheyenne_Mountain_Complex With the rise of solid fuel ICBM and then MIRV leading to the truly massive number of warheads pointed at the US, the US switched t…

Where will the planes land?

There are something like 20,000 airports and heliports across the US. While not all of them can handle 747s probably there are several thousand fields that can take one of them, especially if there is no need for it to fly again.

And even if all of those fields are destroyed in the US, the 747s modified for AF1 (VC-25s) are capable of in flight refueling, they can stay up for about three days before the oil needs to be changed on the engines and they are forced to land. So they can still reach Australia or some place far away from the US if the rest of the US is totally destroyed.

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#318

Post by kijin »

SchemaLoad wrote: post #150
johnisgood wrote: post #135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wait, so you do not leak the host through DNS with this? I have not checked it out yet.

Encrypted DNS has existed for quite a while now through DNS over HTTPS, the missing link was that to connect to a website, you first had to send the server the hostname in plaintext to get the right public key for the site. So someone listening on the wire could not see your DNS requests but would effectively still get the site you connected to anyway. The new development (encrypted client hello) is you no longer hav…

> This will make blocking websites very difficult if they use shared services like cloudflare or cloud VPS hosting.

Until some clueless judge orders all of cloudflare to be blocked.

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#319

Post by make3 »

manacit wrote: post #111
DiggyJohnson wrote: post #36

Was the OSRS economy affected by the strikes? I'm assuming they didn't disrupt internet access for most Venezuelan citizens but I have not looked into it yet.

Yes, it looks like it definitely was: https://x.com/eslischn/status/1104542595806609408

that's in 2019

Re: There were BGP anomalies during the Venezuela blackout

#320

Post by conception »

nonethewiser wrote: post #311
wood_spirit wrote: post #125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The nukes have many roles perhaps but I think the fully developed weapons are for retaliatory strike. They are the North Korean leadership saying that if the US (or China or anyone really) tries to surgically decapitate them (like the US just did in Venezuela) then the nukes are used to take the attackers with them

Guess the US's mistake was not decapitating NK earlier then. Too late for NK, not too late for other regimes.

Guess you missed why NK wasn’t decapitated earlier.
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