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u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

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311–320 of 554 posts

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#311

Earlier quoted context omitted.

... and if bitcoin is any guide, people can hodl forever, bacause they are no longer doing it blindly. Who will blink first?

The difference is the supply of bitcoin is fixed. Whereas a company can issue shares at any time. Obviously if the market cap stays at $30 billion for a long time, Gamestop management is going to start spending their overvalued stock like drunken sailors. First it'll be just to plug up the money their operations are constantly losing. Then they'll start going on acquisition sprees, giving out giant compensation packa…

The supply of Bitcoin is “limited” but in reality it’s irrelevant. 1 satoshi is 0.00000001 which means for every 1 Bitcoin in circulation there is actually 100,000,000 satoshi. You can’t buy a hundred millionth of GME.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#312

He posted his daily update today, he has not sold his shares through all of this chaos. Talk about "diamond hands". https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/l846a1/gme_...

it will keep going up. Good for him. This calls into doubt the stronger forms of EMH given how many people have made so much money with what is effectively a momentum play. I would not be surprised if he becomes a billionaire soon with other investments and GME.

Nobody has believed the stronger forms for a long time. Well, except maybe a couple people with early EMH papers that they built their name on.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#313
post #274

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When everyone is convinced X is going to happen, it tends to not happen, or at least not in the way it is expected by the consensus. People said Tesla would crash when Tesla doubled a year ago from $200 to $400, and then to $900, etc., and then it did a 5-1 split, etc. Yes it did crash 20% in August, but from a price that was so high that it was still considerably higher than it was last year when the pundits were wa…

Completely different. Tesla soared on its positive outlook. They have strong sales and have managed to maintain an insurmountable lead in the EV market. Their surge is due to enthusiasm for their business. Gamestop was clinging to life a few months. The rally from $4 to $15 was optimism about their leadership. The rally from $15 to $350 was 100% due to the short squeeze. And the squeeze will most definitely play out…

Is your money where your mouth is? Opinions are cheap and if I've learned something in my career as a trader, it's that anything can happen

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#315
post #115
post #89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Trying to figure out the "fundamental" value of anything is a fools errand. Im not saying GME wont drop eventually but there is no value on fundamentals of everything. Look at all the short-sellers of TSLA who made the same mistake. These companies are valued on what the market decides and we all know "The market is irrational".

Wsb can remain irrational longer than the market can remain solvent. That was a comment by a poster which I find funny.

Until Monday when the bills are due and their wives(let's be honest, this crazy train is the T train) discover their bank accounts are empty.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#316

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They are. That’s what collateral, broker risk management, and (if the broker fails) DTCC is for, to derisk counterparty failure risk. Someone is paying up.

Sure the collateral holders pay up. But if they need to get liquidated to service the debt, watch out.

[deleted]

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#318

I'm honestly confused by the press around this event. I get it, /DFV started a short squeeze and got rich, that is great for him. I don't support naked shorting, it should probably be illegal (if it is not already) and it looks that was part of the reason this happened. Everyone has been suspecting for a while (especially here) that a lot of volatility in stocks like TSLA etc was due to Robinhood. As of 5:33 EST, I'm…

> Why is this such a big deal?

You don't see it? You don't see any reason why this is a big deal?

When was the last time brokers shut down one direction of trading on stocks?

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EDIT: FWIW, you can't shut down one direction of trading, there's a buy for every sell, but you can skew who get to do the buy and the sell.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#319

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Billions were made, but retail traders lost out. The fact that IBKR couldn’t handle a negative oil price at that time made me realize that for all their marketing as being a higher quality broker for serious investors, they had some serious holes. Then when they stopped buys on GME while Vanguard and Fidelity still allowed them, I gave up on IB completely. Right now I’ve bought puts on IBKR - I expect a lot of client…

As a derivative trader and some one who is constantly looking for mispriced assets from the upside (ie short), my number one concern when we have market turmoils is always broker liquidity. This is also why hedge funds have prime accounts directly with bulge brackets. My recommendation is to always have at least two accounts plus Fidelity. FIDO, while expensive, invested a ton of money into their platform/technology.…

Which are good brokers for the primary two accounts?

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#320

On wsb u/deepfuckingvalue showed he still holds 50,000 shares and 500 deep ITM call options. He has secured a profit of $13.8 million dollars, and his remaining open position is valued at $45 million. I would caution people to not quickly fall into the "if he's still in, I'm still in" meme. He has secured a $14 million bag, regardless if the stock goes to zero he's already secured a life changing amount of money, he…

> The overall market is stressed, things are getting weird and I would not be surprised if this is the beginning of another stock market crash. GME short interest was still greater 100% of shares outstanding as of 1pm 1/29 (S3 Shortsight numbers). If forced to cover, short holders will have to liquidate other assets. Could those liquidations force more liquidations in a positive feedback loop? Hopefully no, but certa…

There is nothing special about being short more than 100%, they short shares that are borrowed multiple times. But it also means the “long” interest is more than 200%. Even if you own equivalent of 100% of float there are still other shares that can be used to cover. The only issue starts if someone has lent out more than 100% of float and tries to simultaneously recall all of them.
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