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“35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

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Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#311
post #199

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Okay, use it yourself. But do not encourage others to use it. It is adfraud and most people set it to full click through rate.

What is adfraud?

Ad fraud is when you scheme to get clicks on your own site to defraud the ad network that would pay you for the space you sold them. It is not relevant here unless you're using the extension on your own site.

Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#312
post #271

Earlier quoted context omitted.

OK but doesn't OP demostrate that the same IP clicked 15 times in a short period of time and he was charged for all of them? How could that be complicated to handle?

Well, for starters, the IP they see might not be the same IP that Reddit sees. If you are a fraudster, obfuscating IPs is something worth investing in to get by the ad network, not the publisher. There's no need to invest in fooling the publisher (in fact, appearing fraudulent to the publisher can be an objective ). Secondly, 15 times in a short period of time from the same IP might just be the ad system targeting a…

There is no way to obfuscate an IP address on a TCP connection. The TCP sequence numbers are random so if the fraudster spoofs their IP, they won't get the return traffic and will be unable to complete the handshake and even establish a connection.

As the original poster noted, 15 requests from a single IP in a short amount of time should be an anomaly. There's no real world scenario where 15 people behind one NAT show interest to a specific ad simultaneously.

Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#313

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Some people just don't want malicious code being run on their computers.

What malicious code are first-party ad networks running on your computer?

On mobile, I've encountered ads which create redirects away from the site I was originally on, triggered by ads. This has happened on many large sites, not just small ones (think: CNN, Bloomberg, etc.). It used to happen a lot more, but I've still encountered it within the last six months or so. Using the mobile web is near impossible without running an adblocker, unless I'm willing to shell out a grand for the next generation phone to run the horrendous amounts of javascript for ads.

https://www.wired.com/story/pop-up-mobile-ads-surge-as-sites...

EDIT: Oh, I see you're massively limiting this scope to first party ad networks. I guess I have never really experienced issues with first party ad networks, as I practically never experience them. If they're truly first party ads, then they probably won't be blocked the ad blockers I run, because they'll be served by the same site I'm trying to access being first party and all.

Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#315

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you are going to attack people for not liking ads maybe throw out a disclaimer about how you make your living?

Wow, this is a weird thread. Who is this guy and why is everyone so mad at him about making his living in ad tech..? Him being in ads doesn't change the validity of the points he's making. Websites have to make money somehow. If you don't pay for a subscription, and don't allow the ads to run, why should you still feel entitled to consume their content? To be super clear: I'm in the ad-blocker camp, but I don't think…

> Ads annoy the bejesus out of me

Yep and in all honesty it's their resource use (slowing down web pages), sometimes intrusiveness (e.g. modal popups), masquerading as news articles (those Taboola boxes), and cross-site user tracking/data sharing behavior that annoy me more than anything else.

If ads were just inline hyperlinked images I'd find them much less annoying, and would probably not bother blocking them if that is all they were.

Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#316

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, I would like to not use GA too in the ideal world too :/ That said, we do use the Anonymize IP setting and have all of the demographic / interest settings turned off for Google Analytics. We basically whittled 3rd party stuff down to GA and a Google font, so while not 100% perfect, I am pretty happy with the strides we have made.

Have you thought about moving to posthog or plausible? https://plausible.io/ https://posthog.com/

I have looked into alternatives before, but not either of those actually.

Plausible looks more promising of the two and I will check it out (PostHog could also be, but I didn't really understand the features as it related to a normal WordPress website).

It would be interesting to know how other Plausible users have found their traffic numbers compare vs Google Analytics. Likely that some users would be counted that weren't before, while perhaps bot filtering works differently.

Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#317
post #233

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You don’t necessarily need to implement bidding on a dedicated slot—-the TV comparison assumes you’re sending the same thing to each user. This isn’t TV though, you can display different ads to different people of you wanted. How about a system where probability of seeing an ad is weighted by how much money an advertiser pays? Then you just normalize across bidders and choose on that curve. Then perhaps the time slot…

If you're bringing in those buckets, you are already in the slippery slope bringing you to the current system. Why not a bucket for people who visit the site often? A bucket for people using advanced site feature A, feature B? A bucket for people who subscribe to /r/teen?

Because the buckets are only time slots. If you can predict what time your highly focused market is to be online the most, good on you, but it doesn’t involve collecting any additional data.

Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#318

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, for starters, the IP they see might not be the same IP that Reddit sees. If you are a fraudster, obfuscating IPs is something worth investing in to get by the ad network, not the publisher. There's no need to invest in fooling the publisher (in fact, appearing fraudulent to the publisher can be an objective ). Secondly, 15 times in a short period of time from the same IP might just be the ad system targeting a…

There is no way to obfuscate an IP address on a TCP connection. The TCP sequence numbers are random so if the fraudster spoofs their IP, they won't get the return traffic and will be unable to complete the handshake and even establish a connection. As the original poster noted, 15 requests from a single IP in a short amount of time should be an anomaly. There's no real world scenario where 15 people behind one NAT sh…

> There is no way to obfuscate an IP address on a TCP connection.

I think you misunderstand how this works/is done.

> The TCP sequence numbers are random so if the fraudster spoofs their IP, they won't get the return traffic and will be unable to complete the handshake and even establish a connection.

A bunch of misperceptions here.

I'm posting this right now from an IP address that is different than the IP address that HN sees on their side. Likely you are as well. I'm not doing IP address spoofing like you are describing (though you can indeed do that, even with TCP... there are RFCs on it and everything, it's just totally unnecessary), because that isn't needed. A simple NAT, VPN, or proxy can obfuscate the IP you are using. Click fraud is really no different from SPAM in the way that perpetrators collect pools of IP addresses/computers and relay their activity through those addresses/computers to obfuscate its true origin.

The TCP connection used to click on the ad on reddit is not the same TCP connection used to visit the advertiser's landing page, so there is no need to mess with anything at the TCP level for a different IP address to be presented to the publisher.

> As the original poster noted, 15 requests from a single IP in a short amount of time should be an anomaly. There's no real world scenario where 15 people behind one NAT show interest to a specific ad simultaneously.

Would you consider it an anomaly for 15 people anywhere on the Internet to show interest in an ad over a short amount of time? If so, you probably should rate limit your campaigns accordingly, but if not then there's no reason why you should consider it an anomaly for 15 people to show interest in an ad over the same IP. Particularly since ad engines have behaviours that make it disproportionately likely that an ad will be shown to people at the same time if they are behind the same IP. I'm not saying it isn't an anomaly. It could well be, but it is far from definitively fraud. This kind of "anomaly" happens all the time for reasons that have absolutely nothing to do with fraud.

Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#319

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Was visiting distant family ~10 years ago in a small Yugoslav village. They had ~2mbit fixed wireless (w00t), but when I installed Adblock and dialed up their CRT to 85hz from 60, they didn’t even notice anything changed .

Adblock is one thing, but why would anyone notice a 15 fps increase?

CRT at 60hz flickers very noticeably, and often causes eye strain + headaches after a few hours of use.

Re: “35-50% of clicks on Reddit Ads are fraudulent”

#320
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm no expert, but one observation I had is podcasts seem to follow this model. Most podcast ads I hear are read by the hosts themselves, though a small number splice in targeted advertiser-provided audio (eg a UK soccer podcast will play me local Canadian ads). For the podcasts that follow the former model, they don't seem to rely on timeslots (i.e. payment just for ad being shown), though some may be involved. Inst…

Spotify will be inserting targeted ads into their podcast streams, if they haven't started already. Something to keep in mind for anyone who was thinking of listening to podcasts on Spotify. I think Stitcher does this as well.

One product idea (that I'm freely giving away here because it's a little too evil for me) is to use neural style transfer to seamlessly and automatically inject corporate-themed jingles seamlessly into the middle of popular music tracks.

Say someone's listening to WAP on the free version of Spotify, Their ad tracking indicates that they've had recent searches for life insurance. The algorithm would then inject a Cardi B sounding rap lyric about how bomb Northwest Mutual's whole life product line is.

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