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IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#301
post #300

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Which can be handled offshoring.

I have never met an offshore team which can untangle something that complicated, but hey I’m sure they exist somewhere! Typically, after thinking a bit, I’ve been able to replace hundreds of lines of AI ‘slop’ (literally) with 1-2 lines. But the right 1-2 lines.

Hubris isn’t a real moat. Keep thinking Indians can’t do something just because.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#302
post #91

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

> measurable productivity Which measure? Like when folk say something is more "efficient" it's more time-efficient to fly but one trades other efficiency. Efficiency, like productivity needs a second word with it to properly communicate. Whtys more productive? Lines of code (a weak measure). Features shipped? Bugs fixed? Time by company saved? Time for client? Shareholders value (lame). I don't know the answer but th…

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#303
post #91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> measurable productivity Which measure? Like when folk say something is more "efficient" it's more time-efficient to fly but one trades other efficiency. Efficiency, like productivity needs a second word with it to properly communicate. Whtys more productive? Lines of code (a weak measure). Features shipped? Bugs fixed? Time by company saved? Time for client? Shareholders value (lame). I don't know the answer but th…

These days productivity at a macroeconomic scale is usually cited in something like GDP per hour worked. Most recent BLS for the last quarter ‘25 was an annualized rate of 5.4%. The historic annual average is around 2%. It’s a bit early to draw a conclusion from this. Also it’s not an absolute measure . GDP per hour worked. So, to cut through any proxy factors or intermediating signals you’d really need to know how m…

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#304

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hear this every day, and I'm sure its true sometimes, but where is the tsunami of amazing software LLM users are producing? Where are the games that make the old games look like things from a bygone era? Where are the updates to the software that I currently use that greatly increase it capabilities? I have seen none of this. I get that it takes a long time to make software, but people were making big promises a ye…

Reddit and GitHub are littered with people launching new projects and appear to be way more feature-rich than new tool/app launches from previous years. I think it is a lot harder to get noticed with a new tool/app new because of this increase in volume of launches. Also weekend hackathon events have completely/drastically changed as an experience in the last 2-3 years (expectations and also feature-set/polish of wor…

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#305
post #289

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have no way of verifying any of those. Something I can easily verify, new games launched on steam. January numbers are out and there were fewer games launched this January than last.

I’d be interested where you’re getting your data. SteamDB shows an accelerating trend of game releases over time, though comparing January 2026 to January 2025 directly shows a marginal gain [0]. This chart from a16z (scroll down to “App Store, Engage”) plots monthly iOS App Store releases each month and shows significant growth [1]. > After basically zero growth for the past three years, new app releases surged 60%…

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#306

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

I bet you the predictions are largely correct but technology doesn't care about funding timelines and egos. It will come in its own time. It's like trying to make fusion happen only by spending more money. It helps but it doesn't fundamentally solve thr pace of true innovation. I've been saying for years now that the next AI breakthrough could come from big tech but it also has just a likely chance of comming from a…

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#307
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I bet you the predictions are largely correct but technology doesn't care about funding timelines and egos. It will come in its own time. It's like trying to make fusion happen only by spending more money. It helps but it doesn't fundamentally solve thr pace of true innovation. I've been saying for years now that the next AI breakthrough could come from big tech but it also has just a likely chance of comming from a…

> I've been saying for years now that the next AI breakthrough could come from big tech but it also has just a likely chance of comming from a smart kid with a whiteboard. It comes from the company best equipped with capital and infra. If some university invents a new approach, one of the nimble hyperscalers / foundation model companies will gobble it up. This is why capital is being spent. That is the only thing tha…

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#308

You know when someone is singing the praises about AI and they get asked "if you're so much more productive with AI, what have you built with it"? Well I think a bunch of companies are asking this same question to their employees and realising that the productivity gains they are betting on were overhyped. LLM's can be a very useful tool and will probably lead to measurable productivity increases in the future, at th…

I think for a lot of folks it basically comes down to just using AI to make the tasks they have to do easier and to free up time for themselves. I’d argue the majority use AI this way. The minority “10x” workers who are using it to churn through more tasks are the motivated ones driving real business value being added - but let’s be honest, in a soulless enterprise 9-5 these folks are few and far between.

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Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#309
post #240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Just clearly state your requirements. Nothing new here. Getting users to clearly state their requirements has always been like pulling teeth. Incomplete sentences and all. If the people you are teaching are developers, they should know better. But I'm not all that surprised if many of them don't. People will be people.

You're right, they should know better, but I think a lot of them have gotten away with it because most of them are not expected to produce written material setting out missing assumptions etc. and breaking down the task into more detail before proceeding to work, so a lot have never gotten the practice. Once people have had the experience of being a lead and having to pass tasks to other developers a few times, most…

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