This matches what we know about LLMs and hallucination-avoidance behavior in LLMs.
"Wrong answers on SAT" is also the leading hypothesis on why o3 was such an outlier - far more prone to hallucinations than either prior or following OpenAI models.
On SAT, giving a random answer is right 20% of the time - more if you ruled at least one obviously wrong answer out. Saying "I don't know" and not answering is right 0% of the time. So if you RLVR on SAT-type tests, where any answer is better than no answer, you encourage hallucinations. Hallucination avoidance in LLMs is a fragile capability, and OpenAI has probably fried its o3 with too much careless RLVR.
But another cause of hallucinations is limited self-awareness of modern LLMs. And I mean "self-awareness" in a very mechanical, no-nonsense fashion: "has information about itself and its own capabilities". LLMs have very little of that.
Humans have some awareness of the limits of their knowledge - not at all perfect, but at least there's something. LLMs get much, much less of that. LLMs learn the bulk of their knowledge from pre-training data, but pre-training doesn't teach them a lot about where the limits of their knowledge lie.