Earlier quoted context omitted.
We have a partial understanding of why distillation works—it is explained by The Lottery Ticket Hypothesis ( https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.03635 ). But if I am understanding correctly, that doesn't mean you can train a smaller network from scratch. You need a lot of randomness in the initial large network, for some neurons to have "winning" states. Then you can distill those winning subsystems to a smaller network. Note…
So more 'mature' models might arise in the near future with less params and better benchmarks?
S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
301–310 of 430 posts
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#302Earlier quoted context omitted.
I like the analogy of compression, in that a distilled model of an LLM is like a JPEG of a photo. Pretty good, maybe very good, but still lossy. The question I hear you raising seems to be along the lines of, can we use a new compression method to get better resolution (reproducibility of the original) in a much smaller size.
> in that a distilled model of an LLM is like a JPEG of a photo That's an interesting analogy, because I've always thought of the hidden states (and weights and biases) of an LLMs as a compressed version of the training data.
(discussed here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34724477 )
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#303I found the discussion around inference scaling with the 'Wait' hack so surreal. The fact such an ingeniously simple method can impact performance makes me wonder how many low-hanging fruit we're still missing. So weird to think that improvements on a branch of computer science is boiling down to conjuring the right incantation words, how you even change your mindset to start thinking this way?
(1) The abstract changed how I thought about this domain (advanced reasoning models). The only other paper that did that for me was the "Memory Resource Management in VMware ESX Server". And that paper got published 23 years ago.
(2) The model, data, and code are open source at https://github.com/simplescaling/s1. With this, you can start training your own advanced reasoning models. All you need is a thousand well-curated questions with reasoning steps.
(3) More than half the references in the paper are from 2024 and Jan 2025. Just look at the paper's first page. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2501.19393 In which other field do you see this?
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#304Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#305From the S1 paper: > Second, we develop budget forcing to control test-time compute by forcefully terminating the model's thinking process or lengthening it by appending "Wait" multiple times to the model's generation when it tries to end I'm feeling proud of myself that I had the crux of the same idea almost 6 months ago before reasoning models came out (and a bit disappointed that I didn't take this idea further!).…
Don’t be, that’s pretty common.
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#306Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#307Hmmm, 1 + 1 equals 3. Alternatively, 1 + 1 equals -3. Wait, actually 1 + 1 equals 1.
As one with teaching experience, the idea of asking a student "are you sure about that?" is to get them to think more deeply rather than just blurting a response. It doesn't always work, but it generally does.
If you want a true comparison, start asking that question every time and then compare. My hypothesis is students would start ignoring the prompt and answering “yes” every time to get on with it.
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#308Earlier quoted context omitted.
Your example is somewhat inadequate. We _fundamentally_ don’t understand how deep learning systems works in the sense that they are more or less black boxes that we train and evaluate. Innovations in ML are a whole bunch of wizards with big stacks of money changing “Hmm” to “Wait” and seeing what happens. Would a different sampler help you? I dunno, try it. Would a smaller dataset help? I dunno, try it. Would trainin…
> _fundamentally_ don’t understand how deep learning systems works. It's like saying we don't understand how quantum chromodynamics works. Very few people do, and it's the kind of knowledge not easily distilled for the masses in an easily digestible in a popsci way. Look into how older CNNs work -- we have very good visual/accesible/popsci materials on how they work. I'm sure we'll have that for LLM but it's not wort…
> The kind of progress being made leads me to believe there absolutely ARE people who absolutely know how the LLMs work and they're not just a bunch of monkeys randomly throwing things at GPUs and seeing what sticks
I say this less as an authoritative voice but more as an amused insider: Spend a week with some ML grad students and you will get a chuckle whenever somebody says we’re not some monkeys throwing things at GPUs.
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#309Earlier quoted context omitted.
Your example is somewhat inadequate. We _fundamentally_ don’t understand how deep learning systems works in the sense that they are more or less black boxes that we train and evaluate. Innovations in ML are a whole bunch of wizards with big stacks of money changing “Hmm” to “Wait” and seeing what happens. Would a different sampler help you? I dunno, try it. Would a smaller dataset help? I dunno, try it. Would trainin…
Isn't that just scale? Even small LLMs have more parts than any car. LLMs are more analogous to economics, psychology, politics -- it is possible there's a core science with explicability, but the systems are so complex that even defining the question is hard.
With neural networks big or small, we got no clue what’s going on. You can observe the whole system, from the weights and biases, to the activations, gradients, etc and still get nothing.
On the other hand, one of the reasons why economics, psychology and politics are hard is because we can’t open up people’s heads and define and measure what they’re thinking.
Re: S1: A $6 R1 competitor?
#310Earlier quoted context omitted.
So more 'mature' models might arise in the near future with less params and better benchmarks?
"Better", but not better than the model they were distilled from, at least that's how I understand it.