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Open source AI is the path forward

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Re: Open source AI is the path forward

#301

I strongly suspect that what AI will end up doing is push companies and organizations towards open source, they will eventually realize that code is already being shared via AI channels, so why not do it legally with open source?

> they will eventually realize that code is already being shared via AI channels

Private repos are not being reproduced by any modern AI. Their source code is safe, although AI arguably lowers the bar to compete with them.

Re: Open source AI is the path forward

#302

> Third, a key difference between Meta and closed model providers is that selling access to AI models isn’t our business model. That means openly releasing Llama doesn’t undercut our revenue, sustainability, or ability to invest in research like it does for closed providers. (This is one reason several closed providers consistently lobby governments against open source.) The whole thing is interesting, but this part…

>> ...but this part strikes me as potentially anticompetitive reasoning.

"Commoditize your complements" is an accepted strategy. And while pricing below cost to harm competitors is often illegal, the reality is that the marginal cost of software is zero.

Re: Open source AI is the path forward

#304
post #74

> We’re releasing Llama 3.1 405B, the first frontier-level open source AI model, as well as new and improved Llama 3.1 70B and 8B models. Bravo! While I don't agree with Zuck's views and actions on many fronts, on this occasion I think he and the AI folks at Meta deserve our praise and gratitude. With this release, they have brought the cost of pretraining a frontier 400B+ parameter model to ZERO for pretty much ever…

> they have brought the cost of pretraining a frontier 400B+ parameter model to ZERO

It is still far from zero.

Re: Open source AI is the path forward

#306

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"There's a pretty clear difference between the 'finetuning' offered via API by GPT4 and the ability to do whatever sort of finetuning you want and get the weights at the end that you can do with open weights models." Yes, the difference is that one is provided over a remote API, and the provider of the API can restrict how you interact with it, while the other is performed directly by the user. One is a SaaS solution…

> When I modify source code, I might make a change, check what that does, change the same functionality again, check the new change, etc... up to maybe a couple dozen times. You can modify individual neurons if you are so inclined. That's what Anthropic have done with the Claude family of models [1]. You cannot do that using any closed model. So "Open Weights" looks very much like "Open Source". Techniques for intros…

"You can modify individual neurons if you are so inclined."

You can also modify a binary, but that doesn't mean that binaries are open source.

"That's what Anthropic have done with the Claude family of models [1]. ... Techniques for introspection of weights are very primitive, but i do think new techniques will be developed"

Yeah, I don't think what we have now is robust enough interpretability to be capable of generating something comparable to "source code", but I would like to see us get there at some point. It might sound crazy, but a few years ago the degree of interpretability we have today (thanks in no small part to Anthropic's work) would have sounded crazy.

I think getting to open sourcable models is probably pretty important for producing models that actually do what we want them to do, and as these models become more powerful and integrated into our lives and production processes the inability to make them do what we actually want them to do may become increasingly dangerous. Muddling the meaning of open source today to market your product, then, can have troubling downstream effects as focus in the open source community may be taken away from interpretability and on distributing and tuning public weights.

Re: Open source AI is the path forward

#307
post #95
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Of course they won't. The investment in the Heavy Press Program was the initial build, and just citing one example, the Alcoa 50,000 ton forging press was built in 1955, operated until 2008, and needed ~$100M to get it operational again in 2012. The investment was made to build the press, which created significant jobs and capital investment. The press, and others like it, were subsequently operated by and then sold…

I don't think there's a shortage of capital for AI... probably the opposite Of all the things to expand the scope of government spending why would they choose AI, or more specifically GPUs?

Look at it from the perspective of an elected official:

If it succeeds, you were ahead of the curve. If it fails, you were prudent enough to fund an investigation early. Either way, bleeding edge tech gives you a W.

Re: Open source AI is the path forward

#309
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> better that the government removes IP on such technology for public use, like drugs got generics You want to punish NVIDIA for calling its shots correctly? You don't see the many ways that backfires?

No. But I do want to limit the amount we reward NVIDIA for calling the shots correctly to maximize the benefit to society. For instance by reducing the duration of the government granted monopolies on chip technology that is obsolete well before the default duration of 20 years is over. That said, it strikes me that the actual limiting factor is fab capacity not nvidia's designs and we probably need to lift the monop…

So, if a private company is successful, you will nationalize its IP under some guise of maximizing the benefit to society? That form of government was tried once. It failed miserably.

Under your idea, we’ll try a badly broken economic philosophy again. And while we’re at it, we will completely stifle investment in innovation.

Re: Open source AI is the path forward

#310
post #74

> We’re releasing Llama 3.1 405B, the first frontier-level open source AI model, as well as new and improved Llama 3.1 70B and 8B models. Bravo! While I don't agree with Zuck's views and actions on many fronts, on this occasion I think he and the AI folks at Meta deserve our praise and gratitude. With this release, they have brought the cost of pretraining a frontier 400B+ parameter model to ZERO for pretty much ever…

Praising is good. Gratitude is a bit much. They got this big by selling user generated content and private info to the highest bidder. Often through questionable means. Also, the underdog always touts Open Source and standards, so it’s good to remain skeptical when/if tables turn.

All said and done, it is a very expensive and balsy way to undercut competitors. They’ve spent > $5B on hardware alone, much of which will depreciate in value quickly.

Pretty sure the only reason Meta’s managed to do this is because of Zuck’s iron grip on the board (majority voting rights). This is great for Open Source and regular people though!

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