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Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

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Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#301

While I agree that it would have been sensible to phase out coal and then nuclear, the german position is more complex. The fallout from Tschernobyl was measurable in Germany… measurable as in my science teacher measured it in his garden. Up to today boar and mushrooms have an elevated level of radiation in the forests around my home. So this is the emotional background, the risks are not far away. Fukushima gave the…

Can you quantify "elevated"?

How does it compare to living in Denver, Colorado, vs living in Frankfurt? (Denver is at a higher altitude and also in a region of slightly radioactive rocks.)

How does it compare to the effects of 30,000 km of flying?

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#302
post #296

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oh, really? https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erdgasleck_in_der_Nordsee https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/technik/elgin-gasaustrit... https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S02648...

Absolutely those are horrifically bad. Now imagine humans can't even go within a few hundred meters to clean anything up, and we have no robots that can either. Also imagine that humans can't live within 500km ever again. Nuclear is clearly the best option, right up until the point it's the worst possible thing for humans and planet earth, which seems to happen about every 30 years or so. As I said, we've been lucky…

This is the core problem. In this thread people keep referencing the data of the actual historical track record and you’re bringing up imaginary scenarios that haven’t existed and might never. Of course, the flip side argument is that past performance is not indicative of future results. Still, the track record approach feels like a better way to evaluate because a) non-green alternatives are waaaay worse b) green alternatives have a comparable number of deaths per MWh produced c) nuclear can reasonably ween us off fossil fuels d) if you actually invest in technology and make the regulatory environment sane, over time the cost and risk of nuclear decrease really rapidly.

In other words, on a risk adjusted basis, the data continually shows nuclear is the safest and most economical bet for removing fossil fuels and all their problems from the energy mix. You’d need a a relative fuckton of very very bad accidents where everything went wrong and by all accounts that doesn’t really happen.

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You’re not countering the implicit argument that Germany won’t have a problem with earthquakes ruining their nuclear powerplants. Germany is also a “well-run country” if you want to run with the old anti-Soviet argument.

FWIW, I'm a fan of nucear, but ... they don't have to counter that argument. It doesn't have to be earthquakes - it can be 1 of 100 problems. Japan knew they have to deal with earthquakes and didn't. What should make people more comfortable that Germany will be able to safeguard against their known risks?

All is takes is sabotage of the nuclear plant, perhaps by those sympathetic to Russia and upset with Germany over their increased defense budget in response to the invasion of Ukraine.

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#304
post #296

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oh, really? https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erdgasleck_in_der_Nordsee https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/technik/elgin-gasaustrit... https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S02648...

Absolutely those are horrifically bad. Now imagine humans can't even go within a few hundred meters to clean anything up, and we have no robots that can either. Also imagine that humans can't live within 500km ever again. Nuclear is clearly the best option, right up until the point it's the worst possible thing for humans and planet earth, which seems to happen about every 30 years or so. As I said, we've been lucky…

With how bad things are climate-wise, I feel like anything below a full-throat defence of nuclear power is in favour of global warming.

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#305

While I agree that it would have been sensible to phase out coal and then nuclear, the german position is more complex. The fallout from Tschernobyl was measurable in Germany… measurable as in my science teacher measured it in his garden. Up to today boar and mushrooms have an elevated level of radiation in the forests around my home. So this is the emotional background, the risks are not far away. Fukushima gave the…

> Fukushima gave the debate another spin „If Japan can’t control the technology nobody can“. That's an understandable reaction. But a better reaction would have been "what lessons did we learn?". After the 2008 financial crisis, the financial regulators around the world gathered at the 2009 Pittsburgh Summit [1] to see what can be done to improve the resiliency of the global financial markets. They came up with a Sta…

"What lessons did we learn?" is an excellent question, but it's the reaction of a seasoned professional. The reason we have to teach that outlook to new grads is people don't think that way by default. It's unrealistic to expect that reaction from the general populace.

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#306
post #295

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I can read all the science about how nuclear material in the soil is safe, but also I can't in good conscience let my toddler roll around in it and put it in her mouth. You need 100% buy in from parents who will be raising their children there. Japan has removed the top ~8 inches of topsoil from the affected areas around fukashima, I think that is really impressive, but even then I would never allow my family to move…

> I just don't want my kid rolling around in contaminated soil. Ignorance is bliss. Contaminated soils abound across the industrialized world, it's just that most people have no idea. Moreover, there's legitimate pressure to keep it that way as people irrationally freak out when they learn something is "contaminated". It turns out that often times the best way to promote soil remediation is to turn a blind eye (at le…

> Contaminated soils abound across the industrialized world, it's just that most people have no idea.

Like all the radon and the heavy metals in the ground, water, and dust in Niger and Kazakhstan?

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#307
post #300

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It kills no one when handled correctly, which it is. This is not true. The German nuclear industry did not even manage to store low and intermediate level radioactive waste even remotely safely. Here is a report from July 2022 about the failure from German public television: https://www.ndr.de/geschichte/schauplaetze/Marodes-Atommuell... The report is only availablöe in German, but you may run the accompanying docu…

So since the 80s it is known that water enters the nuclear waste storage locations and how many people have died? None. Okay but how many people have faced any direct adverse consequences from it? Also none. And that isn't even a proper counter argument because the waste was not handled correctly in this instance.

That the waste was not handled correctly is exactly the issue. I agree: Nuclear energy is harmless as long as no accident happens, everything is handled properly and every possibility is taken care of. The problem is only that this is not the case.

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#308
post #296

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Absolutely those are horrifically bad. Now imagine humans can't even go within a few hundred meters to clean anything up, and we have no robots that can either. Also imagine that humans can't live within 500km ever again. Nuclear is clearly the best option, right up until the point it's the worst possible thing for humans and planet earth, which seems to happen about every 30 years or so. As I said, we've been lucky…

With how bad things are climate-wise, I feel like anything below a full-throat defence of nuclear power is in favour of global warming.

The time to start building tons of new nuclear plants was 20 years ago.

Given how little time we have to react, and how long it takes to build a nuclear plant (and how expensive they are), putting our hopes on nuclear this late in the game is foolhardy and will never save us.

We have no choice but to go with what will have a meaningful impact in the immediate future (5 year horizon) - wind, solar, hydro. Many countries are already past 50% renewable, and many are climbing towards 100%.

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#309
post #264

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What should make people more comfortable that Germany will be able to safeguard against their known risks? The safety of nuclear power plants isn't exactly some great unknown. There are ~450 plants currently operating in the world, with an average age of multiple decades. Plus all the ones that have been retired. That's a lot of data. You don't really have to take anybody's word for it. They're safe. They are not zer…

The problem is when they go bad, it gets really bad. We were extremely lucky with Chernobyl that young men sacrificed themselves, else a large chunk of Europe would be uninhabitable. We were extremely lucky with Fukushima all the radiated water just went into the ocean. When it was going down there was nothing we could do but stand back and watch how bad it got. Of course on a regular day nuclear is safe, but every n…

The BP oil spill was immeasurably more disastrous than Fukushima. Oil is dangerous to drill and refine and it pollutes like crazy when converted to energy.

Re: Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants

#310

What's noteworthy is that Kanzler Scholz basically told his ministers that all 3 plants will stay open and the ministers have to organize it. That's very unusual. The coalition was actually still arguing about this, so some people, especially in the Green party are going to be pissed. But at least they now have theoretically more time to deal with other pressing issues instead of bickering about a few months more run…

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