Live data from Hacker News

Starlink Is a Big Deal

sneak.berlin

301–310 of 365 posts

Re: Starlink Is a Big Deal

#301
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm glad you think it's worth it. I'm not as sure, personally. Especially since your examples don't hold water with me. Oppressive governments that don't like the internet aren't going to just allow the transceivers. They need line of sight to the sky and even if you hide them, detecting them would be trivial. Super rural areas and 3rd world areas have their own set of problems. I'm thinking of the OLPC type issues h…

Yeah, all that talk about free internet for all the poor and oppressed sounds pretty suspicious set beside the claims that starlink is supposed to make money too. How will a rural Guatemalan farmer that cooks on a three stones fire provide any sort of profit?

Don't underestimate how cheap smartphones + solar is and how cheap Starlink actually is.

Sure he cooks on a fire because it's practical. You don't need to fetch gas/fuel for your stove. Now with Starlink you won't need to go to town once a week to check your bitcoin transactions.

Re: Starlink Is a Big Deal

#302

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Giving up some of the night sky for the billions of humans that live in rural areas, or live in countries where the physical internet is controlled by oppressive governments hellbent on withholding information from its citizens is worth it. The trillions of dollars it would take to build out infrastructure (and maintain) in Africa and India is worth it. In fact, even 20 Mbps would be life changing in bringing informa…

I would be astounded if SpaceX turns on Starlink over China and other countries that censor the internet.

It's just gonna be routed thru China. Probably each country internet is going to go first thru local provider, unless you've got some sort of privilege (same as it is now with VPN's).

Re: Starlink Is a Big Deal

#303
post #201
post #86

> For reference, my last flat in Berlin (the capital of the largest economy in the EU), on the ground on a main street in the city center, was serviced with approximately 14MBps ADSL, and this was the fastest offering available from any vendor. 14Mbps in Berlin? How is this possible? I had 20Mbps in Mexico City almost a decade ago. A family member who lived in the same building at the time had 100Mbps symmetrical.

Because it's Germany. Cash only, slow internet, roads without speed limit - Germany.

No, 14mbps in Berlin is an outlier. The average bandwidth in Germany is higher than that. In my city in large areas i can get 400mbps via cable and 250mbps via VDSL.

Pretty soon cable providers in Germany will upgrade their entire network to DOCSIS 3.1 enabling gbit bandwidth.

Re: Starlink Is a Big Deal

#304
post #287
post #245

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree with the sentiment of the parent comment. Not because I have a huge passion for astronomy, but because I think we're prioritizing things in a wrong way. We're prioritizing yet another billionare's networking business over the capacity to study our night's sky. Much like other types of pollution, this is something that could stick around for hundreds of years, even after all its utility is gone. Cell towers, l…

This is such an overly dramatic way of looking at it. Even at its most extreme Starlink will not really hurt our capacity to study our night's sky. We are talking about a extremely tiny part of the sky that will only be visible very infrequently and the position is known at all times. This does not impact most of astronomy at all. Cleaning up space is not a technically impossible problem. It just has not yet been don…

>This does not impact most of astronomy at all.

A few thousand astronomers disagree with your statement: https://www.discovermagazine.com/the-sciences/global-astrono...

Re: Starlink Is a Big Deal

#305
post #288

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Even if astronomy isn't affected. Can you imagine a grid/net of fast moving satellites, 80,000 satellites covering the entire globe that are visible for 2 to 3 hours every night. This is the thing that creates global suicides. Mark those words. It will happen.

You will at most see 2-3 satellites from the whole Starlink constalation and only if you take a lot of care where you look and when. Most people will never even notice those satellites.

Not really true: "For his analysis, he factored in the first leg of SpaceX’s Starlink constellation — about 1,600 satellites — as there are better details about the orbits they’re going to. Based on just that initial batch, he estimated that at a latitude of 52 degrees north (about where London is located), there will be 84 Starlink satellites above the horizon at all times. And for many hours around dusk, dawn, and in the nighttime during summer, 15 of those satellites would be visible in the sky at all times, about 30 degrees above the horizon." From here: https://www.theverge.com/2019/5/29/18642577/spacex-starlink-...

Re: Starlink Is a Big Deal

#307

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Trying to match up that claim with the claim of https://james.darpinian.com/satellites/?special=starlink that satellites should be visible at 12:10am this Saturday over Boston. 12:10am is nowhere close to dusk in Boston this time of year.

12:10 AM Saturday in your device's time zone. 6:10 PM Friday in Boston's time zone. It's on my to-do list to change the displayed time zone when you select a faraway location instead of your current location, but just figuring out which time zone a given location is in is a non-trivial problem. Time zones are kind of bonkers, as I'm sure you're aware.

> 12:10 AM Saturday in your device's time zone.

Oh, I see. That explains things, thanks!

And yes, time zones are not just one kind of bonkers; they're all sorts of bonkers. :)

Re: Starlink Is a Big Deal

#309

> "Hundreds of cities and dozens of countries, fine for living but previously entirely unsuitable for a place of business, will blink from red to green on the map once Starlink goes live." this reads like a marketing piece rather than actual analysis. Throughput of a single satellite is 20Gbps. The finished constellation if I recall correctly is supposed to be about 12k satellites. So about ~250.000Gbps. So assuming…

On one hand, as other sibling posts are pointing out, you're comparing true network capacity with subscribed ("sold") capacity; those are massively different by orders of magnitude (depending on how shitty your ISP is.) On the other hand, it's far worse than "20G per satellite." Bandwidth is limited by available RF spectrum, and that's not magically gonna increase with satellite count. Best thing they can try is limi…

Yep, you can now get 4700 fibers or so in a 2in conduit. Current tech can do over 35Tbps per fiber pair, up to 800Gbps per wavelength.

Re: Starlink Is a Big Deal

#310

> "Hundreds of cities and dozens of countries, fine for living but previously entirely unsuitable for a place of business, will blink from red to green on the map once Starlink goes live." this reads like a marketing piece rather than actual analysis. Throughput of a single satellite is 20Gbps. The finished constellation if I recall correctly is supposed to be about 12k satellites. So about ~250.000Gbps. So assuming…

>How is this supposed to be economical or scale compared to regular terrestrial networks?

I don't think it is. People think they're going to get unlimited data, gigabit connection, etc etc and I think they're all highly delusional.

Starlink is not meant to replace wired internet, it's meant to give HughesNet customers something that is actually usable. It's meant to give people in remote areas with no wired connection available something that actually allows them to meaningfully interact with the internet.

Realistically I see it like this:

I think the bulk of the customers will always be companies working in remote areas such as ships, oil rigs, mining operations, gas stations primarily serving semi trucks in rural areas along highways etc. Also, first responder agencies as it will be handy in grid-down natural disasters for command centers.

Then you'll have RV parks, camp sites, rest stops, EV charging locations in remote areas, etc reselling access by subscription or in time increments.

Then you'll have folks that just live in rural areas that want something better than HughesNet and possibly THOW/vanlife folks that work remotely and move frequently.

Then you'll have low-profit/served-at-cost customers that will be schools in developing nations, especially in rural areas.

Post reply on HN