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When will we stop using Facebook?

thepinchandzoom.com

31–40 of 252 posts

Re: When will we stop using Facebook?

#31
The linked article quotes some research which is highly dubious. Using Google trends data [1] for anything other than the start of an analysis seems a little dangerous.

Facebook won the social network land-grab and it will be difficult for anyone to assail their stronghold. I hope someone does, but it's probably going to take a lot of money and time.

[1] http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/mar/27/google-flu...

Re: When will we stop using Facebook?

#32

Did I get that correctly, that the hypothesis of facebook loosing 80% of its users (in the next years) is based on a link between google searches and facebook use? What if people google facebook less than a while ago because they already know what it is and have remembered the domain name?

Or, more likely, they just use the mobile app.

Re: When will we stop using Facebook?

#34
I stopped two years ago. As far as I am aware I'm not missing much.

I did have a lot of old friends on FB, but I didn't stay in contact with them in real life. I was just lazily snooping on their lives, without giving anything in return.

To be completely honest, I don't have space or time for them in my real life. It isn't because I didn't like them anymore, it was simply that I didn't have the time or energy to stay in proper contact. I had also moved away.

I had the realisation that some people are supposed to drift apart. The people who are important to you will remain in contact with, and it doesn't need Facebook spying on that friendship to enable it to keep functioning.

Re: When will we stop using Facebook?

#35

That's quite a disappointing future the author is painting there. The best I can hope for is that future "hot startups" will prefer to sell themselves to any other company but Facebook when Facebook comes knocking on their door with a bag of cash. Otherwise I'll continue to express my distaste for such an acquisition, just like I did with Oculus and Whatsapp and will try avoiding them in the future. Vote with your wa…

Is that because you dislike facebook, or this kind of acquisition pattern?

Re: When will we stop using Facebook?

#36
post #2

What will be the next big thing in social networks? What are your thoughts? Local neighbors network? No-interface social networks? Peer-to-peer? Anonymous social networks? Video based (YouTube/Twitch)? Messanger-only? No central news-feed?

Unfortunately, in my opinion, Facebook is here to stay. Reasons: - Local/OSS/decentralized social networks will not work for the common population because their friends and updates will not be there. - Video based is already a success, see Twitch, but people sometimes prefer text and likes. - Messenger only is also a success, see Whatsapp/FB messenger, but some people have the need to expose themselves to people outs…

FB is here to stay until there's a new round of technology and FB doesn't move quickly enough to capitalise on it. I'm guessing that won't happen for at least another five years.

FB is basically AOL, which was basically CompuServe, which was a combination of DEC networking and BBS culture. (Kind of, if you squint hard and wave your hands around in the right way.)

There is always niche for this kind of all-in-one social/messaging/groups/etc. It's a very big and profitable niche, and someone always owns it. But the incumbents change over time, and there are disruptions whenever the underlying technology changes.

FB is likely a safe bet until something new appears. The obvious near-term move is 3D social/gaming, which is why FB bought Oculus. Longer terms that may not be enough, because it's not obvious head-mounted 3D VR is going to be pleasant and friction-free enough for everyday casual use.

My guess is the something new will have strong elements of AI and social and perhaps VR too - but I could be wrong about that.

Re: When will we stop using Facebook?

#38
post #5

Yes, we've passed Peak Facebook, but that's just because it has been distilled and pornographized to the point of desensitization. Pure capitalism at its finest. What will set the trend for the future is our understanding of how digital slavery works. We can be entering one of the darkest eras of modern history, or one of the most liberating. The choice is up to us, human beings, whether we sell ourselves to whoever…

You remind me of digital tools that are just coming into existence. Distributed autonomous corporations could organize most of the digital communication functions that the social media bubble is currently exploring. So, ethereum, Turing complete blockchains, oracles and decentralized decision making. Consensus over conceit.

Re: When will we stop using Facebook?

#39
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For me the dichotomy becomes which groups really see what... you have: - family & close friends - acquaintances & loose friends - school alum - social groups / clubs - those who you might work with/for - linked in, you failed this audience - interests beyond clubs, outside acquantances No social network does a good job at allowing a person to share with those groups as desired. What I share on twitter is far more tec…

> No social network does a good job at allowing a person to share with those groups as desired. Doesn't g+ solve this with the whole "circles" idea? You control which groups you share with.

I think linkedin's groups solve it a bit better. The problem with circles is that the people in a given circle don't necessarily have me in a circle. I can really just group the input feed, not the output feed. It's more consumption than distribution focused.

Re: When will we stop using Facebook?

#40

Story today on the BBC, from analysis of 500 word stories written by UK kids between 5 and 13 for a competition 'Words including email, mobile and Facebook are in decline, it said.' http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-32902170 (Interesting that mobile is declining, suggests the distinction is lost in a world of tablet, laptop and phone use where desktops are a thing of the past domestically)

> (Interesting that mobile is declining, suggests the distinction is lost in a world of tablet, laptop and phone use where desktops are a thing of the past domestically)

I would say that mobile is declining because land lines basically don't exist anymore, so we can just say phone instead of mobile phone.

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