How crazy am I to think I actually know where that Malaysia Airlines plane is?

Notice how he talks about the "crazies" on the forum. How they would use aliases, log back in and mention their stupid "lightning" theory, and he had to kick them out.

However, he then carefully proceeds to discribe how he did pretty much the same. Spent his own money and time building this complicated theory of super smart and efficient russian spies hacking into a satcom of a flying aircraft, also somehow, incapacitation everyone else on board, etc. In the meantime he is dropping clues how his own wife doesn't even believe him.

I think many people here, judging by the comments, misunderstood the goal of the article and took it too literaly.

But, there is a good lesson here. This stuff happens if you program and design software. There are lot of moving parts and lot of imperfect knowledge -- market needs, tools, langauges, platforms, APIs, architectures desicions, etc etc. Sometimes if you start to "just write code" too early. You end up committed to a bad path and it becomes hard mentally to throw it away and restart. Or, alternatively, you spend so much time picking the right combination of tools or redesigning the system that it becomes too later to do anything (someone else already built the system or there is no need for it anymore somehow).

It was one of those rare stories where I was looking at my scroll position hoping I wasn't near the end. Usually it is the other way around.

- It stretches the imagination that in the Post-9/11 world, hijackers could access a panel in the cabin without raising passenger and crew suspicion. So the hijackers would have required some way to control the passengers. Smuggling this past airport security is already a huge risk to the operation.

- The northern route may be the optimal route for someone looking to avoid detection, but there is still a massive risk that one of these countries might notice the plane on military or other radar. This would be an unqualified disaster to the sponsors of the operation.

- The most probable final ping locations are so far out that the aircraft was almost certainly at or on the verge of fuel exhaustion. How would the hijackers have known the precise amount of fuel on board? How would they deal with unexpectedly high head winds, or some other in-flight issue? Any crash landing would be difficult to conceal.

The sophistication, danger, and lack of motivation for such an operation makes this sound more like a movie plot than a credible theory.