I believe another reason teenagers are leaving Facebook is the insistence of using your real identity. Teens don't want their mom finding them online. That's why they're flocking to services where they can be anonymous, like Tumblr, where you can also meet new people outside of your circle of friends.
The end of the Facebook era
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Re: The end of the Facebook era
#32[deleted]
Re: The end of the Facebook era
#33>>> But it’s rich, so it can buy cool. Facebook’s $1 billion acquisition of Instagram was their first big move to strengthen their position with the youth of this country. But with young people, if Facebook is uncool, then by proxy Instagram is uncool as well. This is how teenagers think these days. They can sink as much money into other social platforms, but you won't ever get rid of the Facebook stigma.
I think you're overestimating how many teens know that Facebook owns Instagram.
Re: The end of the Facebook era
#34Here are some titles for the next story. "The end of the Apple era" "The end of the Microsoft era" "The end of the Netflix era" "The end of the Yahoo era" Seriously, why do people waste time writing these types of stories? My guess is that it's because it's so much easier than actually trying to build something of value. The real problem is there is no penalty for being wrong. Everyone simply forgets. Write a thousan…
Why. Why must you do this. Why must you dismiss articles on hackneyed grounds and kill the chance for an interesting discussion about the nature and direction of social technologies.
I thought this article was very interesting, it brought to light several factual points, and several not-heard-before insights -- e.g., I thought this in particular was very true and interesting:
This is why social networks, like Google+ (where I
worked for one year), are struggling even more than
Facebook to get a foothold in the future of social
networking. They are betting on last year’s fashion
Re: The end of the Facebook era
#35Who cares about Facebook "era".
Re: The end of the Facebook era
#36[deleted]
Re: The end of the Facebook era
#37Here are some titles for the next story. "The end of the Apple era" "The end of the Microsoft era" "The end of the Netflix era" "The end of the Yahoo era" Seriously, why do people waste time writing these types of stories? My guess is that it's because it's so much easier than actually trying to build something of value. The real problem is there is no penalty for being wrong. Everyone simply forgets. Write a thousan…
Seriously, why do people waste time writing these types of stories?
Because they believe them. Life is a journey of discovery (I know waaaay too pithy) and the more stuff you see, the more bigger pictures pop out of it. Its like backing away from a fractal. You see what is important, what was probably luck, and what was different. When pieces come together in your head it is pretty exciting, like figuring out a difficult proof, or creating a clever algorithm. You want to share some of that with those around you.
Our Author had one view of Facebook, and now has another. Their view evolved based on what they observed, and they feel much more confident in their current view, and so they share it.
Re: The end of the Facebook era
#38Here are some titles for the next story. "The end of the Apple era" "The end of the Microsoft era" "The end of the Netflix era" "The end of the Yahoo era" Seriously, why do people waste time writing these types of stories? My guess is that it's because it's so much easier than actually trying to build something of value. The real problem is there is no penalty for being wrong. Everyone simply forgets. Write a thousan…
> Seriously, why do people waste time writing these types of stories?
Because no one remembers the misses, only hits.
> Where are those guys who predicated that Apple Stores were such a stupid idea? We need to start keeping score.
People are starting to keep score! Websites like http://www.pundittracker.com/ are starting to come out of the woodwork, and as more people help collect data (person X claimed Y would happen by Z date) we can start generating hit rates.
Author XXX is wrong 97.5% of the time!
Re: The end of the Facebook era
#39Here are some titles for the next story. "The end of the Apple era" "The end of the Microsoft era" "The end of the Netflix era" "The end of the Yahoo era" Seriously, why do people waste time writing these types of stories? My guess is that it's because it's so much easier than actually trying to build something of value. The real problem is there is no penalty for being wrong. Everyone simply forgets. Write a thousan…
To help overcome confirmation bias.
We need contrarian points-of-view, even if fundamentally wrong, to challenge and strengthen our own opinions.
I agree about keeping score, however; that allows us to assign value to the predictors.
Re: The end of the Facebook era
#40What about leaving the endless discussion about FB's destiny aside and just focus on creating a __new pattern of behavior or activity__ that appeals to a mass audience if you really want to build a large network on its own?
Examples of things that worked:
- Follow updates of celebrities
- Collect nice looking things on a website
- Make even the worst picture look good
- Be the best cat gif curator
Examples of things that didn't work:
- Facebook but for ten friends
- Facebook for Google Accounts
- Facebook with open data portability
Let Zuck worry about the hype cycle and start building.