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Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

theguardian.com

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Re: Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

#32
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Then again.. maybe dang was on to something… https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47159666 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47069736 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47067723 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47054551

Oh good catch. I did not go back far enough. They should create a new account if they are chill now.

No. This person should not try to circumvent moderation by creating new accounts. They should ask the moderation team for reinstatement of normal posting privileges, but be willing to accept a refusal. They've behaved appallingly.

Re: Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

#33
It's fascinating to me that Iran was able to develop this nascent drone industry on their own, while under a very aggressive sanctions/embargo system. It reminds me a bit of Soviet Union and how they were able to come up with, essentially, parallel industry with different flavors. How were they able to do this? Presumably PRC and Russia were supporting this industry either directly or indirectly with material and supply chain assistance, perhaps engineering expertise though I don't think Iran was in short supply of this. Interesting nonetheless, beyond the cost implications of defeating these cheap systems with very expensive missiles.

Re: Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

#34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What corner is there left to be backed into when the the US is trying to assassinate you?

[flagged]

"Until these reasonable conditions are met, the war will go on." :) :)

You seem to have a much more imperative and concise view than either Trump or Hegseth, are you secretly the one in charge of everything?

I loathe Iran regime, but not much of that is going to happen.

The first response would be:

"We stop threatening Israel when they stop taking Palestinian lands and killing them"

"The US moves all troops out of the Middle East"

"Stops trying to overthrow our government"

"Stops sanctioning us"

"Stops and interfering in our domestic affairs"

"Returns $100B dollars stolen / frozen since 1979"

And that would literally put that truly bad regime on almost the moral high ground.

The impossible imperative that you've written I think helps us understand the 'Chock A Block' log-jam of the situation, and why this is so thorny.

The most plausible outcome is nothing.

The second most plausible outcome is descent into massive factional civil war.

Maybe somewhere down the line, there is a 'Shah Installed by the US' and then I'm afraid to tell you that we 'Already Did That' and look how it turned out.

There are no decisive answers and no decisive options on the table.

Re: Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

#35
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oh good catch. I did not go back far enough. They should create a new account if they are chill now.

No. This person should not try to circumvent moderation by creating new accounts. They should ask the moderation team for reinstatement of normal posting privileges, but be willing to accept a refusal. They've behaved appallingly.

I havnt seen this before Does (dead) mean they got downvoted or that everything they write is voided? How do you know what they wrote is appallingly bad?

Re: Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

#36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Idk why you’re getting downvoted, the U.S. is looking for a quick win if it can have it. One of the destructive streaks in the Iranian regime (and among its proxies) is their glorification of martyrdom over pragmatism. It’s cost them historically and it’s costing them now.

"the U.S. is looking for a quick win if it can have it."

?? What is a 'quick win' ??

Serious question.

- Ayatollah dead, next Ayatollah?

- 10 years of civil war?

- Installation of US-backed Shah, with no real power base, which will lead to ongoing insurrection, which is what led to ... Islamic Revolution ... because we already tried that?

- Faux acquiescence at the negotiating table ... while they dig their HQs further under ground?

What else?

A quick win is possible, but one of the most narrow scenarios.

It looks at the moment like everyone is losing, some worse than others.

Re: Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

#37
post #6
post #2

Shooting down $40k drones with $4mil interceptors is a problem. Hoping at some point this wake up call is heard. One recent update is that Apache Attack helicopters are being refitted to hunt/kill these types of drones, but the newest Iranian models are flying 300+ mph which is faster than a single rotor helicopter can fly (the leading blade of a helicopter starts to break the sound barrier).

Israel, United States, United Kingdom, China and Russia have HEL high-energy lasers that can shoot down fast drones. Several other countries are working on HEL development. The numbers of operational HEL systems are still very small but growing. I believe that Israel have the most of them in operation today developed primarily by Rafael Advanced Defense Systems. 10kw to 50kw on trucks, 100kw ground based. Range: 7-10…

[dead]

Re: Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

#38
post #2

Shooting down $40k drones with $4mil interceptors is a problem. Hoping at some point this wake up call is heard. One recent update is that Apache Attack helicopters are being refitted to hunt/kill these types of drones, but the newest Iranian models are flying 300+ mph which is faster than a single rotor helicopter can fly (the leading blade of a helicopter starts to break the sound barrier).

US forces have been answering the wake up call for the last few years.

The main weapon that Apache's use to hunt drones are laser guided rockets (APKWS) with a per-shot cost around $30k (https://www.airandspaceforces.com/apkws-base-laser-guided-ro...)

These weapons have been fitted to most US tactical fighters for the counter drone role as well. APKWS is also not a "new" weapon system - it started fielding back to 2012, and was adapted into the counter drone role.

There are other lower cost (compared to legacy systems designed to take on manned aircraft) solutions currently deployed. The US Army has the Coyote, which is in the ~100k range.

Beyond cost of munitions, you have to consider that cheaper systems are going to have less range, and therefore you'll need more launchers, and you can start running up costs that way.

Re: Iran unleashes Shahed drones aimed at targets across Middle East

#39

It's fascinating to me that Iran was able to develop this nascent drone industry on their own, while under a very aggressive sanctions/embargo system. It reminds me a bit of Soviet Union and how they were able to come up with, essentially, parallel industry with different flavors. How were they able to do this? Presumably PRC and Russia were supporting this industry either directly or indirectly with material and sup…

The drones are simple, and, they're dependent on China for components.

Shaheds are probably the simplest thing in anyone's inventory.

They win by 'scale', not be capability.

Nobody has enough AA to cover everything, and, for what they can defend, they have 3 weeks of munitions.

There is some 'laser tech' coming along that will maybe change this dynamic. And some 'fast drone killing drones'.

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