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After the AI boom: what might we be left with?

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Re: After the AI boom: what might we be left with?

#31

Post by bsaul »

flyinglizard wrote: post #10

I admit to only being in this industry for three decades now, and only designing and implementing the thermal/power control algo of an AI chip family for three years in that time, but it's the first time I hear of chips "wearing under high intensity use".

thanks for that comment. I know absolutely nothing about chip designs, but i too was under the assumption that chips, like anything, wear out. And the more you use them, the more they do.

Is the wear so small that it’s simply negligible ?

Re: After the AI boom: what might we be left with?

#34

Post by mrcwinn »

Without moralizing or assuming the worst intentions of oligarchs, globalists, evil capitalists, and so on, I still don’t understand how a consumption based economy continues to fund the build out (oil->Saudi Arabia->LPs->OpenAI) when the technology likely removes the income of its consumers. Help me understand.

Re: After the AI boom: what might we be left with?

#36

Post by rusk »

Gattopardo wrote: post #30
mikert89 wrote: post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

who cares about a bubble? we are on the cusp of intelligent machines. The implications will last for hundreds of years, maybe impact the trajectory of humanity

My dude, it's literally just fancy autocomplete and isn't intelligent at all.

Clippy with a Bachelors in web search

Re: After the AI boom: what might we be left with?

#37

Post by skywhopper »

mikert89 wrote: post #8
Mistletoe wrote: post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do we make money on it, especially if massive amounts of the population lose their jobs?

dude again, we have computers that can talk and make decisions. We have birthed something here. We have something, this is big.

The last thing we need is a bunch of random chatter, but that’s all these things can do. They can’t make decisions because they don’t actually relate to the real world. Humans (like you, apparently) may think a talking computer is a magic oracle but you’re fooling yourself.

Re: After the AI boom: what might we be left with?

#39

Post by bc569a80a344f9c »

cactusplant7374 wrote: post #32

> Most of the money is being spent on incredibly expensive GPUs that have a 1-3 year lifespan due to becoming obsolete quickly and wearing out under constant, high-intensity use. How about chips during the dotcom period? What was their lifespan?

That’s irrelevant because the primary assets left after the dotcom bubble was fiber in the ground with a lifetime measure in decades.

Re: After the AI boom: what might we be left with?

#40

Post by dbg31415 »

I hope we'll get back to building things that actually matter -- solutions that help real people; products that are enjoyable to use, and are satisfying to build.

As the noise fades, and with luck, the obsession with slapping "AI" on everything will fade with it. Too many hype-driven CEOs are chasing anything but substance.

Some AI tools may survive because they're genuinely useful, but I worry that most won't be cost-effective without heavy subsidies.

Once the easy money dries up, the real engineers and builders will still be here, quietly making things that work.

Altman's plea -- "Come on guys, we just need a few trillion more!" -- and that error-riddled AI slide deck will be the meme that marks the top of the market.

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