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Abundant Intelligence

blog.samaltman.com

31–40 of 136 posts

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#31
post #24
post #19

AI will become "something we consider a fundamental human right", according to the guy that wants to sell you access to it

So it's going to be regulated like a utility?

Yeah, just like privatised utilities that operator solely for the profits of execs and investors with a complete disregard for regulations or best practices only to hide behind govt not regulating enough when things eventually go wrong.

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#33
> Our vision is simple: we want to create a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new AI infrastructure every week.

If a tenth of this happens, and we don't build a new power plant every ten weeks... then what?

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#34
post #19

AI will become "something we consider a fundamental human right", according to the guy that wants to sell you access to it

OpenAI is like privatizing water. It's a "fundamental right", but I am one of the few to provide it.

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#36
As a technical user of AI, I think there is certainly value in the capabilities of the current IDE/agentic systems, and as a builder of AI systems professionally I think there is enterprise value as well, although realizing that value in a meaningful way is an ongoing challenge/work in progress. There is also clearly a problem with AI slop, both in codebases and in other professional deliverables. Having said that, what’s more interesting to me is whether we have seen AI produce novel and valuable outputs independently. Altman asserts that 10GW could possibly “cure cancer”, but frankly I’d like to see any discrete examples of AI advancing frontier knowledge areas and moving the needle in small but measurable ways that stand up to peer review. Before we can cure cancer or have world peace through massive consumption of power and spend I’d like to see a meaningful counterpoint to the argument that AI as a derivative technology from all human knowledge is incapable of extending beyond the current limits of human knowledge. Intuitively I think AI should be capable of novel scientific advancement, but I feel like we’re short on examples.

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#37

> As AI gets smarter, access to AI will be a fundamental driver of the economy, and maybe eventually something we consider a fundamental human right. My product is going to be the fundamental driver of the economy. Even a human right! > Maybe with 10 gigawatts of compute, AI can figure out how to cure cancer. How? > We are particularly excited to build a lot of this in the US; right now, other countries are building…

Stop thinking and give them money.

But for real, the leap from GPT4 to GPT5 was nowhere near as impressive as from GTP3 to GPT4. They'll have to do a lot more to give any weight to their usual marketing ultra-hype.

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#38

> Our vision is simple: we want to create a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new AI infrastructure every week. If a tenth of this happens, and we don't build a new power plant every ten weeks... then what?

It will create demand for electricity. Demand always creates supply. Perpahs that was the missing link to the mass deployment of solar (because there's just no other way similar amounts of energy can be produced).

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#39

Y2K errors in old COBOL code kick-started Indian IT sector, which then lead to immense economic progress and mass scale reduction in poverty. I hope LLMs pepper every thing they touch with many such errors, so that nations of Africa and poorer parts of Latin America (that can't do cheap manufacturing due to a lack of infrastructure and capital) can also begin their upwards economic journey by providing services to fi…

That's funny, but unless LLM bugs break foundational ML codebases beyond human repair (and somehow also delete all existing code, research, and researchers), the models will likely just get better than people at this in a couple years. I mean, the trajectory so far is obvious.

disco-stu-pointing-at-chart.gif

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#40
> Maybe with 10 gigawatts of compute, AI can figure out how to cure cancer.

The growth in energy is because of the increase in the output tokens due to increased demand for them.

Models do not get smarter the more they are used.

So why does he expect them to solve cancer if they haven't already?

And why do we need to solve cancer more than once?

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