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Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

papers.ssrn.com

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Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#31

Post by thw_9a83c »

planccck wrote: post #27
thw_9a83c wrote: post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I suppose the idea is that those junior developers who weren't hired will spend 10 years doing intensive, unpaid self-study so that they can knock on the door as experienced seniors by that time.

Are you serious? How on earth are these people going to eat or pay rent for 10 years? As well, most companies would laugh you out the door if you were applying a senior role without any experience working in the role.

> Are you serious?

No, I was being sarcastic.

Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#32

Post by bopbopbop7 »

Workaccount2 wrote: post #16
softwaredoug wrote: post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Junior devs eventually will have been brought up with agentic coding, etc. Hopefully whatever the "new way" becomes is how they'll be taught. Currently part of the problem is the taboo using AI coding in undergrad CS programs. And I don't know the answer. But someone will find the right way to teach new/better ways of working with and without generative AI. It may just become second nature to everyone.

Kids are always the best with technology. The generation in high school right now will be god tier at getting results from LLMs.

How are high school kids that barely know the basics of the topic going to get “god tier” results from LLMs?

Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#33

Post by dayvid »

thw_9a83c wrote: post #29

In the future, there will be two kinds of companies: 1. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to increase productivity. 2. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to be more productive while still hiring young people. Which type of company will be more innovative, productive, and successful in the long run?

Any job that doesn't creatively generate revenue will be systematized and automated as soon as possible. AI agents are just an acceleration factor for this

Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#34

Post by koakuma-chan »

thw_9a83c wrote: post #29

In the future, there will be two kinds of companies: 1. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to increase productivity. 2. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to be more productive while still hiring young people. Which type of company will be more innovative, productive, and successful in the long run?

I don't understand how you want innovation and productivity in a world with rapidly increasing population. We need less and less people while producing more and more people. Where am I wrong?

Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#36

Post by petcat »

We had some marketing folks give us a company-wide demo of Chat GPT and some other Gen AI tools and showed us how cool it is and how quick they can make stylish and sophisticated pitch decks and marketing materials now.

And the entire time I'm watching this I'm just thinking that they don't realize that they are only demonstrating the tools that are going to replace their own jobs. Kinda sad, really. Demand for soft skills and creatives is going to continue to decline.

Dev jobs too.

Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#37

Post by neutronicus »

thw_9a83c wrote: post #29

In the future, there will be two kinds of companies: 1. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to increase productivity. 2. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to be more productive while still hiring young people. Which type of company will be more innovative, productive, and successful in the long run?

The ones in group 2 that also aggressively prune expensive, complacent seniors might even win in the short run!

Young people are cheap and they love AI!

Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#38

Post by thw_9a83c »

koakuma-chan wrote: post #34
thw_9a83c wrote: post #29

In the future, there will be two kinds of companies: 1. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to increase productivity. 2. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to be more productive while still hiring young people. Which type of company will be more innovative, productive, and successful in the long run?

I don't understand how you want innovation and productivity in a world with rapidly increasing population. We need less and less people while producing more and more people. Where am I wrong?

I don't see developed countries to have a "rapidly increasing population" problem.

Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#39

Post by candiddevmike »

thw_9a83c wrote: post #29

In the future, there will be two kinds of companies: 1. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to increase productivity. 2. Those that encourage people to use AI agents aggressively to be more productive while still hiring young people. Which type of company will be more innovative, productive, and successful in the long run?

Source?

Re: Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change

#40

Post by apwell23 »

These studies would be more meaningful if this was a time of economic boom.

Entry-level jobs get "hollowed out" in a stagnant economy regardless of "AI".

AI = not hiring because no new work but spin as a "AI" . Markets are hungry of any utterance of the the word AI from the CEO.

so ridiculous. but we've collectively decided to ignore BS as long as we can scam each other and pray you are not the last one holding the bag.

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