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M8.7 earthquake in Western Pacific, tsunami warning issued

earthquake.usgs.gov

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Re: M8.7 earthquake in Western Pacific, tsunami warning issued

#31

Japan forecasting tsunamis up to 3m across basically the entire eastern coast. First waves will hit within 10 minutes. https://www.nhk.or.jp/kishou-saigai/tsunami/ https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/live/ (live, Japanese) https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/live/ (live, English) The east coast is also where the vast majority of Japan's population lives, and was previously hit by the 2011 tsunami (Fukushima and all that). We'…

Here are some live streams.. No action yet. Fingers crossed!

From a helicopter Japanese KATU news https://www.youtube.com/live/mBQHNV7cqrM?si=lwqB5YHknA7KUTY_

Webcams https://www.youtube.com/live/5pTPKHJxQ4g?si=xWe5MkLKIZ3N5I8D

Hawaii news https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=lVy5nLWruu0&pp=ygUSSmFwYW4gdHN...

Re: M8.7 earthquake in Western Pacific, tsunami warning issued

#32

Japan forecasting tsunamis up to 3m across basically the entire eastern coast. First waves will hit within 10 minutes. https://www.nhk.or.jp/kishou-saigai/tsunami/ https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/live/ (live, Japanese) https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/live/ (live, English) The east coast is also where the vast majority of Japan's population lives, and was previously hit by the 2011 tsunami (Fukushima and all that). We'…

How big was the 2011 tsunami? Is 3m bigger or smaller?

Re: M8.7 earthquake in Western Pacific, tsunami warning issued

#33

Japan forecasting tsunamis up to 3m across basically the entire eastern coast. First waves will hit within 10 minutes. https://www.nhk.or.jp/kishou-saigai/tsunami/ https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/live/ (live, Japanese) https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/live/ (live, English) The east coast is also where the vast majority of Japan's population lives, and was previously hit by the 2011 tsunami (Fukushima and all that). We'…

My guess is that the wide area simply reflects the uncertainty, and not some apocalyptic scenario. Hopefully this broad warning and plenty of time gets everyone out of danger effectively

Re: M8.7 earthquake in Western Pacific, tsunami warning issued

#34

Japan forecasting tsunamis up to 3m across basically the entire eastern coast. First waves will hit within 10 minutes. https://www.nhk.or.jp/kishou-saigai/tsunami/ https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/live/ (live, Japanese) https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/live/ (live, English) The east coast is also where the vast majority of Japan's population lives, and was previously hit by the 2011 tsunami (Fukushima and all that). We'…

Don’t worry, if there’s one nation we can trust to have done the right thing, it’s Japan.

Re: M8.7 earthquake in Western Pacific, tsunami warning issued

#35

AIS map of vessels in the area: https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:166.7/cent... A fairly small US fishing vessel is in relative proximity... https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:43... Talked to the AI which said: MMI 4.5 in the context of an M8.7 quake, for your vessel: Danger level from shaking alone: Very low in open water. Danger from tsunami in the open ocean: Very low (unless…

Makes sense. More cushion for the pushin.

Re: M8.7 earthquake in Western Pacific, tsunami warning issued

#38

Japan forecasting tsunamis up to 3m across basically the entire eastern coast. First waves will hit within 10 minutes. https://www.nhk.or.jp/kishou-saigai/tsunami/ https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/live/ (live, Japanese) https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/live/ (live, English) The east coast is also where the vast majority of Japan's population lives, and was previously hit by the 2011 tsunami (Fukushima and all that). We'…

How big was the 2011 tsunami? Is 3m bigger or smaller?

It's complicated. Tsunami forecasting is a very inexact science and "3m" means "very large".

The average actual height in eastern Japan (Tohoku) was 4-6m, but there were peaks up to 20m in places like Ofunato where the local geography funneled all the water upwards.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_T%C5%8Dhoku_earthquake_an...

Re: M8.7 earthquake in Western Pacific, tsunami warning issued

#39

Has anyone heard how bad it was in Petropovlosk? USGS estimates "severe" shaking with the possibility of moderate to heavy damage and a chance of fatalities. They have had quite a swarm of quakes there over the last couple of weeks, including one that was M7+ around the 20th.

Severo-Kurilsk, an island town destroyed by a similar tsunami in 1956, lost its port again: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severo-Kurilsk — the rest of the settlement was rebuilt on higher ground, leaving only the port vulnerable.

The settlement is notable as having belonged to the Japanese in late 19th and early 20th centuries, who once relocated islanders there. Russian Wikipedia says they were Ainu.

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