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AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

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Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#31

This is the first I've heard of Cerebras Systems. From the article >Cerebras had a net loss of $66.6 million in the first six months of 2024 on $136.4 million in sales, according to the filing. That doesn't sound very good. What makes them think they can compete with Nvidia, and why IPO right now? Are they trying to get government money to make chip fabs like Intel or something?

Their tech is very impressive, look it up.

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#32
NVIDIA is pretty established but there's also Intel, AMD, Google to contend with. Sure Cerebras is unique in that they make one large chip out of the entire wafer but nothing prevents these other companies from doing the same thing. Currently they are choosing not to because of wafer economics but if they chose to, Cerebras would pretty much lose their advantage. https://www.servethehome.com/cerebras-wse-3-ai-chip-launched... 56x the size of H100 but only 8x the performance improvement isn't something I would brag about. I expected much higher performance since all processing is on one wafer. Something doesn't add up (I'm no system designer). Also, at $3.13 million per node, one could buy 100 H100s at $30k each (not including system, cooling, cluster, etc). Based on price/performance Cerebras loses IMO.

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#33

This is the first I've heard of Cerebras Systems. From the article >Cerebras had a net loss of $66.6 million in the first six months of 2024 on $136.4 million in sales, according to the filing. That doesn't sound very good. What makes them think they can compete with Nvidia, and why IPO right now? Are they trying to get government money to make chip fabs like Intel or something?

You seemed surprised that this company is having an IPO to actually raise funds for operations and expansion, vs as just an "exit" where VCs and other insiders can dump their shares onto the broader public. I might be a bit suspicious if a company in some low-capital-intensive industry was IPOing while unprofitable, but this is chip making. Even if they're not making their own fabs this is still an industry with high…

they don't make chips. they design and contract TSMC to fab the chips. The high capital is in design tools and engineers.

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#34

NVIDIA is pretty established but there's also Intel, AMD, Google to contend with. Sure Cerebras is unique in that they make one large chip out of the entire wafer but nothing prevents these other companies from doing the same thing. Currently they are choosing not to because of wafer economics but if they chose to, Cerebras would pretty much lose their advantage. https://www.servethehome.com/cerebras-wse-3-ai-chip-la…

Agreed, it just seems like Nvidia chips are going to be easier to produce at scale. Cerberas will be limited to a few niche use-cases, like HFT where hedge funds are using LLMs to analyze SEC filings as fast as possible.

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You seemed surprised that this company is having an IPO to actually raise funds for operations and expansion, vs as just an "exit" where VCs and other insiders can dump their shares onto the broader public. I might be a bit suspicious if a company in some low-capital-intensive industry was IPOing while unprofitable, but this is chip making. Even if they're not making their own fabs this is still an industry with high…

they don't make chips. they design and contract TSMC to fab the chips. The high capital is in design tools and engineers.

Thanks - I said that in my comment, but then just realized I had a typo of "fans" where it should have said "Even if they're not making their own fabs..."

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company makes the Cerebras chips. Cerebrus warned investors that any possible supply chain disruptions may hurt the company. They get their chips from the same company that Nvidia does.

They both contract TSMC to fabricate their chips. The actual design and R&D is still done by Nvidia, Cerebras, AMD, Groq, etc. Think of TSMC like Kinko's - they do printing and fabrication which is very low margins. The main PMF for Cerebras is in simulations, drug discovery, and ofc ML. As I've mentioned before on HN, Public-Private Drug Discovery and NatLab research has been a major driver for HPC over the past 20…

Kinko's is not the pinnacle of human engineering - TSMC is. A slight difference there.

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#37

Cerebras is well-known in the AI chip market. They make chips that are an entire wafer. https://spectrum.ieee.org/cerebras-chip-cs3

I'd bet that making a chip the size of the waver has the benefit on not losing any silicon to dicing the wafer up like a desktop or GPU chips coming from a wafer. Major downside is you need to either have a massive x and Y exposure size or break the wafer into smaller exposures which means your still needing to focus on alignment between the steps, and if a defect can't be corrected then is that wafer just scrap?

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#38

NVIDIA is pretty established but there's also Intel, AMD, Google to contend with. Sure Cerebras is unique in that they make one large chip out of the entire wafer but nothing prevents these other companies from doing the same thing. Currently they are choosing not to because of wafer economics but if they chose to, Cerebras would pretty much lose their advantage. https://www.servethehome.com/cerebras-wse-3-ai-chip-la…

I think the wafer itself isn’t the whole deal. If you watch their videos and read the link you posted the wafer size allows them to stack them in a block with integrated power and cooling at a higher density than blades and attach enormous amounts of memory. Not including the system, cooling, cluster, etc seems like a relatively unfair comparison too given the node includes all of those things - which are very expensive when considering enterprise grade data center hardware.

I don’t think their value add is simple “single wafer” with all other variables the same. In fact I think the block and system that gets the most out of that form factor is the secret sauce and not as easily replicated - especially since the innovations are almost certainly protected by an enormous moat of patents and guarded by a legion of lawyers.

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#39

This is the first I've heard of Cerebras Systems. From the article >Cerebras had a net loss of $66.6 million in the first six months of 2024 on $136.4 million in sales, according to the filing. That doesn't sound very good. What makes them think they can compete with Nvidia, and why IPO right now? Are they trying to get government money to make chip fabs like Intel or something?

You seemed surprised that this company is having an IPO to actually raise funds for operations and expansion, vs as just an "exit" where VCs and other insiders can dump their shares onto the broader public. I might be a bit suspicious if a company in some low-capital-intensive industry was IPOing while unprofitable, but this is chip making. Even if they're not making their own fabs this is still an industry with high…

Does this mean that they couldn't find VCs to raise more cash?

Re: AI chipmaker Cerebras files for IPO

#40

NVIDIA is pretty established but there's also Intel, AMD, Google to contend with. Sure Cerebras is unique in that they make one large chip out of the entire wafer but nothing prevents these other companies from doing the same thing. Currently they are choosing not to because of wafer economics but if they chose to, Cerebras would pretty much lose their advantage. https://www.servethehome.com/cerebras-wse-3-ai-chip-la…

they don’t need an advantage, they just need orders and inventory

get extorted by nvidia sales people for a 2026 delivery date that gets pushed out if you say anything about it or decline cloud services

or another provider delivering earlier

thats what the market wants, and even then, who cares? this company is trying to IPO at whay valuation? this article didnt say but the last valuation was like $1.5bn? so you mean a 300x of delta between this and Nvidia’s valuation if these guys get a handful of orders? ok

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