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How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

cato.org

31–40 of 189 posts

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#31
post #10

Markets interpret social engineering as damage and route around it.

I agree completely. Unfortunately the outcome is normally very different when the market has to route around it.

Rent control here in SF only affects people in older buildings. One of many unintended consequences of this is the ridiculous state of Tenderloin. Back in Denmark where I own an apartment, rent control forces me to only be able to rent it out as a corporate apartment to foreigners. The official rent would pay less than quarter of the mortgage. No wonder it is hard to find a good apartment in Copenhagen.

An example is the market response to the generations of social engineering started as the New Deal, which eventually led us to the very distorted issues we now see in the financial markets.

Another example are the costs of health care in the US, that were caused directly by the deductions for employers created in the 40s.

Instead of an efficient market, where people picked the most efficient insurance for their situation, it became an arms race of who could offer more benefits together with a bureaucracy to make sure their insured (who don't pay directly) don't abuse the system.

Let Richard Branson or any other smart entrepreneur at the health system without the handicap of social engineering and it would be fixed within a year. Rather than fixing it all signs at the moment point towards further regulation and thus further distortion.

The market will always route around social engineering no matter to what limits the regulators attempt to control it. The outcomes are rarely as good as if the market was just left to do its job. Of course when this happens like it has so obviously in the current crisis, people talk about it being the fault of the market run wild and want to bring in more regulation, when the regulation it self was what caused it to go wild in the first place.

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#32
I have a vagrant living in my NYC apt building that pays $75 a month in rent and eats out of the garbage. He has no electricity or running water. When he opens the door to his apt in the summer the rest of the building gags. There are two other units that pay $75 dollars; a nice old couple and a loony chain smoker with bad BO.

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#33
post #31
post #10

Markets interpret social engineering as damage and route around it.

I agree completely. Unfortunately the outcome is normally very different when the market has to route around it. Rent control here in SF only affects people in older buildings. One of many unintended consequences of this is the ridiculous state of Tenderloin. Back in Denmark where I own an apartment, rent control forces me to only be able to rent it out as a corporate apartment to foreigners. The official rent would…

> Let Richard Branson or any other smart entrepreneur at the health system without the handicap of social engineering and it would be fixed within a year.

Where "fixed" means that unprofitable/poor people die of or are crippled by easily and cheaply treatable diseases. That's what a pure market solution would do. Once you start including those people, it's "social engineering".

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#34

"Although rent controls are widely believed to lower rents, data I have collected from eighteen North American cities show that the advertised rents of available apartments in rent-regulated cities are dramatically higher than they are in cities without rent control." Uh... no shit? Why would a city with low rents have any impetus to impose rent control? "There can be no doubt that rent control creates housing shorta…

"It has nothing to do with NYC being an island and SF being a peninsula." It's not just that. NYC is not built up the way it should be, and most of the buildup of recent years is condos. For many years, there was a ridiculous incongruity in NYC: sky high rents and abandoned buildings. Why renovate when you can't charge rents commensurately? These days it's mostly a Harlem/Inwood phenomenon. By the way, why is "allowi…

Rent stabilization in NYC isn't mandatory for new construction, so new buildup being condos is not a response to rent control (unless it's a response to the threat of future rent control). Also, you'll need to explain how "sky high rents + abandoned buildings" corresponds to "Why renovate when you can't charge rents commensurately?" - if landlords can't charge rents commensurately, where are the sky high rents coming from?

The argument that rent control prevents owners from maintaining their buildings is pure bullshit. There's not a rent-control law in existence that doesn't allow annual increases sufficient for maintenance. Buildings aren't maintained because the owner sees the opportunity for dramatically increased profits if the current tenant leaves and lets the building fall to shit in an effort to drive them out.

As for why allowing people to stay in their homes is a good thing (and forgive me for being sentimental, but these are their homes, even if other people own the buildings - they do live there): there a few things that bother me about the free market religion:

1. The belief that all things with value have been priced appropriately.

2. The belief that ownership is the only form of risk that should be rewarded by society.

Neighborhoods don't just magically become expensive to live in. I won't claim that the only reason is because good, noble people moved in when things were cheap and turned things around, but it's ridiculous to suggest that the people living in a place have nothing to do with that place becoming a desirable place for wealthier people to live.

As for whether unskilled workers are somehow more deserving of a house in Manhattan than skilled workers: no, but then again, they don't deserve to be run away from their jobs and families simply because some rich asshole can price them out, either. You're making an emotional appeal for a guy with a family to have a right to be close to his job - that cuts both ways, you know.

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#35
post #23
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I meant social engineering in the form of manipulating markets.

Import tariffs and subsidies are direct market manipulation, and the market doesn't really route around them. Rather, they tend to wreck markets, which is one reason many developing countries continue to press the US and Europe to end farm subsidies - it's wrecking their export markets and hurting their farmers. Governments, when they want to, are perfectly capable of interfering with markets and even destroying them…

Tarrifs are actually a particularly good example of markets routing around government interference. Routing around tariffs is called smuggling, and has been a huge business as long as there have been governments.

I wasn't claiming, incidentally, that markets were totally immune to government interference-- just as networks are not immune to damage. Just that markets will always find whatever room you give them.

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#36
post #10

Markets interpret social engineering as damage and route around it.

Perhaps, but the rerouting has a cost, which often lands on those least able to bear it; in the case of rent control, the cost lands preferentially on poor tenants in the form of higher rents. And even costs that land on the rich make us all poorer in the long run.

Because of the harm done, it's still worth noting that rent control and other "pro-tenant" law is rarely good for tenants, or indeed anyone other than sometimes well-meaning but economically illiterate busybodies.

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#37
post #17
post #7

As someone in Boston, I can tell you that rent control was terrible here. The rent controlled units went to people with high incomes and political power (including mayors and those sitting on the Supreme Judicial Court). Most rent controlled units were simply taken off the market in one way or another. If you're getting well below market rent, you tend to look for other ways to use the property and some just allowed…

Aside from anecdotes, do you have access to any data that substantiates the claim that "The rent controlled units went to people with high incomes and political power" -- can you put a figure on it (50%, 60%, higher?). My grandparents lived in rent controlled apartments in NYC that they could not have afforded to stay in -- moved there in the 30's in neighborhoods that filled with gang violence -- but gentrified arou…

My grandparents lived in rent controlled apartments in NYC that they could not have afforded to stay in

This is selection bias. Suppose the government raised the federal minimum wage to $50/hr. This would cause massive unemployment (and, no doubt, a thriving black market for labor), but some lucky low-income workers would keep their jobs. You could then point to one of those workers and say, "Hey, I know someone who has a high-paying job that wouldn't exist but for the new minimum wage." But this ignores the damage done to everyone else through unemployment and higher prices. And so it goes with your lucky grandparents.

You can avoid these sorts of errors by consistent application of the following rule:

The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate but at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups.

-- Henry Hazlitt, Economics in One Lesson http://jim.com/econ/contents.html

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#38
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

you are correct sir, if you have two variables, you get a whole plane of possibilities, not just a line ;) I guess its too late to teach basic math to the masses though.

When the squares actually visit LineLand though, who do they hold their noses and vote for? My guess is that they generally vote Republican (like, for instance, Milton Friedman), or did at one time. Perhaps that's changing?

Cato actually has done some studies on the libertarian vote. It went overwhelmingly for George Bush in 2000, but swung about 20 points democratic in 2004. I'm not sure that they've updated the study for 2008, but my gut (and surveys of self-identified well-known libertarians) tell me Obama won the vote.

If you like market economics, don't care if your neighbor is gay, and don't feel like occupying countries on the other side of the world, there is really nobody pandering to you. You tend to move around.

Edit: Here's the paper comparing the 2000 and 2004 elections that I mentioned

http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=6715

Kerry did 18% better than Gore among libertarian voters, despite not having a libertarian bone in his body. Bush won the demographic in both elections, but lost 13% between 2000 and 2004, for a 31 point net swing.

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#39
post #9
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Examples of how Cato has been discredited?

Cato tends to be a little simplistic in their models. For example, with immigration they say it has no ill effects. Well, in the long-run I'd probably agree with them (save for the fact that natural resources are being split among more people which I think would be made up for in other ways that they cite). In the short term, it takes time for economies to adapt to changing tastes, changing spending patterns, essenti…

I see that you disagree with their viewpoint, but I don't think that you "discredit" them.

Re: How Rent Control Drives Out Affordable Housing

#40
While I'm sympathetic to the goals of empirical studies of this type, I doubt their utility: if they find that rent control increases rents, the evidence is right; if they find that rent control does not increase rents, the evidence is wrong.

The reasons for this apparent rejection of empiricism are simple:

(1) Empiricism, so successful in the exact sciences, relies on clean evidence and controlled experiments, but evidence in economics is necessarily messy, and controlled experiments rare.

(2) Given extremely reasonable and general assumptions (buyers tend to buy more of something if its price goes down, producers tend to produce more of something if its price goes up), the connection between rent control and rents is a theorem, not a conjecture. (See any introductory economics text for a proof.)

Doing an empirical study to test the statement "Rent controls increase rents" is kind of like measuring the length of ladders leaning against buildings to test the Pythagorean Theorem. You're likely to find that Pythagoras was right, but if you don't it's probably a flaw in your measurements rather than a mistake in the proof.

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