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Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

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Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#31

There is a whole SHITLOAD of inefficiencies in the way companies are run. You have to be tapped in and talk to a bunch of people and network to see this, but once you do, and you have technical knowhow to solve these problems, you can easily make 1 mil a year selling these solutions to companies because in turn it saves them money. And most of them don't even require AI. There is a reason why Zapier has 5 billion dol…

> There is a whole SHITLOAD of inefficiencies in the way companies are run My jaded and cynical ass assumes those inefficiencies are deliberate so that middle managers can justify their jobs. Everyone claims to hate bureaucracies, but there are some people that are profiting from maintaining them.

I know a lady whose entire job was literally replaced by an Excel spreadsheet that I created in a few nights of intense VB programming. It wasn't my intention to "eliminate jobs". Anyways, I got basically nothing "extra" from the company for that extra-credit work. Moral of the story is that there are plenty of problems to be solved but our compensation is only based on what we can negotiate.

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There is a whole SHITLOAD of inefficiencies in the way companies are run My jaded and cynical ass assumes those inefficiencies are deliberate so that middle managers can justify their jobs. Everyone claims to hate bureaucracies, but there are some people that are profiting from maintaining them.

I know a lady whose entire job was literally replaced by an Excel spreadsheet that I created in a few nights of intense VB programming. It wasn't my intention to "eliminate jobs". Anyways, I got basically nothing "extra" from the company for that extra-credit work. Moral of the story is that there are plenty of problems to be solved but our compensation is only based on what we can negotiate.

Most of the time, the only thing we get for hard work is more work. This is not to say that we shouldn't improve things in our jobs or remove inefficiencies - this is just to say each individual should learn to draw the line somewhere and should be comfortable with that line.

"Hey I did extra at my job, but nobody cared. That's okay, no big deal" "Hey I did extra work at my job and improved process/saved money. Nobody cared, this sucks, my career is crap, my life sucks..." <-- time to either do less at the job or find a better job

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#33
post #4

There are gaps everywhere , especially in science/research. Consider looking into a Ph.D. if you’re hungry to find, master, and close a gap. Not being sarcastic, btw. The more you know, the more you realize how little you know and how many gaps there are in your field.

Do not do this. This is a trap. Research and higher academics are in effect a scam in modern day. At one point they were useful, but now everything done is overwhelmingly private R&D. In academia you will scrounge for scraps and never pay off the loans.

But most people doing research at private companies have a PhD at the very least, if not experience in academia, do they not?

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#34
post #4

There are gaps everywhere , especially in science/research. Consider looking into a Ph.D. if you’re hungry to find, master, and close a gap. Not being sarcastic, btw. The more you know, the more you realize how little you know and how many gaps there are in your field.

No. Absolutely No. See the chart labelled "Not So Very Serious Stuff" at https://philip.greenspun.com/careers/

Avoid the Ph.D., take a BS/BA and an MS if you have the time, but avoid even trying for a Ph.D.

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#35

https://www.fastcompany.com/3001329/how-move-past-everything... Here's an article from 2012 on the subject of "everything seems to be done already" A few years after this article was published. Google did "AlphaGo" and later "Alphazero" for chess. OpenAI was founded in 2015. OpenBCI kickstarter was in 2014. They are: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZkWJem3LY5E >I'm trying to find good problem statements and gaps to s…

if they are good or not depends on your perspective. Say, is good only profitable to you?

> Fully automated agriculture building that takes water and electricity in and outputs food.

i've pondered that one. it seems mostly a self- maintenance apparatus.

> clean enough water production, less then 1% of the world's water is sort of clean enough

what to do with the crap left behind?

> Plastic alternatives are in major need

we have bioplastcs they are just not popular. why i don't know.

> How about medical devices which never pierce into your body? hyposprays? sensors?

There is some cool tech that squeezes your legs to compliment heart beats. It apparently does miracles for health.

Rife technology works but no one wants to hear it. You get some of the most goofy debunking in the cosmos.

> exoskeletons as mobolity scooters?

seems a great idea.

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#36
You are not wrong. It is a LOT harder today than it was 30 years ago. But....

30 years ago we had other challenges. For starters computers were "rare" (by today's standards). So you first had to convince buyers that "computerization" is a thing.

We also didn't have things like always-on networks, or OS-level printing. (Fun fact, my first payed gig was writing a program that could draw a diagram and print it on one specific printer model, an HP Laserjet 2.)

Anytime there is a new platform, (think dos/windows/web/mobile) there are opportunities to enter the market. For example we built a business app for windows circa 1997. It's been constantly developed since then. We gained a foothold in the early days, and are now a big player in our space.

But -entering- markets is harder. We entered a mature market with a different product in 2014. While we were a lot better, it was very (very) hard to break into the market dominated by 2 existing players. We have made progress, but frankly it's hard going.

So when looking for new things, it's helpful to first identify new markets. Timing this us hard, but if you hit the sweetspot it can work. That said, betting on a platform is risky (as Twitter API consumers discovered.)

You've already seen a flood of AI products, and you can expect a LOT more in the next couple years. It's the closest thing to a new platform in a while. Of course in 10 years that market will have consolidated and 99% will be gone. It's certainly a risky space, but worth a punt if it interests you. Hard to stand out though.

Finding new markets 30 years ago was easy. Finding new markets today is much, much harder. The niches are by implication much, much smaller.

That said niches exist. And getting a foothold in one niche can lead to it growing, or take you into another niche etc.

Selling into niches now is easy. My HP program was only useful for people doing genetics research, who submitted papers with genealogy diagrams, and happened to have an HP Laserjet. Talk about a niche market, Before those folk were on the internet...

Today I am, if anything, even more niche. I sell to a potential market of maybe 2000 people world-wide. I reach maybe 10% of that. But it makes a decent living. Not VC decent, but I do ok.

I would encourage you though by "trying things out". Find a niche, however small, and plug it. Then move in to another.

(Hint: at some point you'll discover that marketing matters more than coding. Getting good at marketing to niches is a killer-skill.)

Good luck.

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#37
post #4

There are gaps everywhere , especially in science/research. Consider looking into a Ph.D. if you’re hungry to find, master, and close a gap. Not being sarcastic, btw. The more you know, the more you realize how little you know and how many gaps there are in your field.

No. Absolutely No. See the chart labelled "Not So Very Serious Stuff" at https://philip.greenspun.com/careers/ Avoid the Ph.D., take a BS/BA and an MS if you have the time, but avoid even trying for a Ph.D.

? Where are the data from for his ascii graph? Your claim is absolutely contrary to everything I’ve read.

Opposite sources: https://grad.msu.edu/phdcareers/career-support/phdsalaries https://www.wes.org/advisor-blog/salary-difference-masters-p...

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#38
Everything sounds obvious in hindsight. If you're one person, a small niche is probably where you should focus.

Here's my back-burner side-project: software to track materials being checked in or out, like a tool crib or maybe a library. Exists in many forms already, but mine's better :-)

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#39
Everything seems obvious in hindsight, and it takes a lot of work to make something that seems obvious and inevitable at the end of the day.

Think of how often you hear people complain about something. Every single complaint is an opportunity… something that hasn’t been solved well enough yet. The more people who complain, the bigger the potential opportunity.

Re: Is finding gaps just hard now? As a 24 yo, everything seems to be done already

#40
post #4

There are gaps everywhere , especially in science/research. Consider looking into a Ph.D. if you’re hungry to find, master, and close a gap. Not being sarcastic, btw. The more you know, the more you realize how little you know and how many gaps there are in your field.

No. Absolutely No. See the chart labelled "Not So Very Serious Stuff" at https://philip.greenspun.com/careers/ Avoid the Ph.D., take a BS/BA and an MS if you have the time, but avoid even trying for a Ph.D.

Wow. I haven't even thought about Philip in almost 20 years :-)
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