Earlier quoted context omitted.
With the current trajectory of batteries, it is not looking like the cost of overnight storage is going to break the economics of solar. Seasonal storage is another issue all together. Also, very northern latitudes may be better served by nuclear power.
Grid battery storage would have to fall in cost far more than expected to be practical. Goldman Sachs analysts don’t see costs falling by more than a factor of 2 for the foreseeable future. https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/electric-veh...
Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
31–40 of 40 posts
Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#32Earlier quoted context omitted.
To my point, the United States basically threw in the towel in 1970 despite the director of ORNL calling it the facilities greatest technical achievement. The only reason uranium won out over thorium was because the waste was weapons grade and useful during the cold war. Unlike the US, China has very little in the way of domestic uranium supplies - but incidentally has massive thorium stockpiles from its monazite min…
> The only reason uranium won out over thorium was because the waste was weapons grade and useful during the cold war. This is such a common myth that it inspired me to write a whole thorium myths page to explain how and why it's not true, back in 2014: https://whatisnuclear.com/thorium-myths.html#myth1 Happy to discuss more but I've said a lot on that page.
If you haven't read it already, Dr. Weinberg's memoir does a good job detailing the politics around the demise of the MSR.
Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#33Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The only reason uranium won out over thorium was because the waste was weapons grade and useful during the cold war. This is such a common myth that it inspired me to write a whole thorium myths page to explain how and why it's not true, back in 2014: https://whatisnuclear.com/thorium-myths.html#myth1 Happy to discuss more but I've said a lot on that page.
Absolutely said a lot about the technical and economic justifications, but don't really address the political aspect at all. Remember the that decision was made by the AEC, which at the time was heavily influenced by the Military Liaison Committee. Also forgive me if I don't agree that the people who oversaw unethical human experimentation for 30 years and released radiation over my home town might not have made thei…
Uranium-fueled commercial reactors never had anything to do with making plutonium for weapons. Plutonium was made by graphite and heavy water moderated reactors at Hanford and Savannah River.
I have read Weinberg! It's my favorite book. It's interesting that at the end he was more excited about the PIUS PWR than the MSR. Here are my reading notes: https://whatisnuclear.com/weinberg.html
Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#34https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NS_Savannah Related ship back during the nuclear tech boom.
> Related ship back during the nuclear tech boom To be clear, the NS Savannah was a showpiece. It was part passenger, part freight in a way that made no economic sense but looked fantastic and showed the concept could work. It ultimately failed because it had to bear the brunt of port negotiations. But that's a policy hurdle.
Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#35Shipping industry could use nuclear. They’re large, in water, carry 1000s of containers. If all container ships are zero emission, that makes a decent difference in global emissions.
Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#36https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NS_Savannah Related ship back during the nuclear tech boom.
I recently found and got digitized an amazing documentary about the Savannah: https://whatisnuclear.com/news/2023-07-12-the-nuclear-ship-s... Also, she's currently for sale if you're interested. If they don't find a buyer it'll be scrapped.
Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#37The fact that we as a world economy are not significantly relying on nuclear power at this point is one of the biggest failures of climate change policy, if not the biggest failure ever. Yes, waste is a concern which needs to be managed responsibly. But at worst, the waste would only contaminate a finite area where it is stored. Climate change will affect literally everywhere on Earth. The US Navy has operated reacto…
> the US Navy has operated reactors for 70 years with a perfect safety record,
in no way implies that the notoriously fly-by-night shipping industry would achieve similar performance!
Also the largest historical concern about nuclear cargo ships has been proliferation: if a significant quantity of fissionable material is floating about (literally and metaphorically) in private hands, then it would become orders of magnitude easier for malicious non-state actors to get ahold of, with potentially disastrous consequences, on a world-historical scale. Given the instability, corruption, and hostility of various nuclear-armed states in the last couple of decades, that cat may already be out of the bag, and that concern could (and perhaps should) be disregarded. I don't know, and I doubt anyone does. Institutional conservatism in this area is, however, understandable.
Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#38The fact that we as a world economy are not significantly relying on nuclear power at this point is one of the biggest failures of climate change policy, if not the biggest failure ever. Yes, waste is a concern which needs to be managed responsibly. But at worst, the waste would only contaminate a finite area where it is stored. Climate change will affect literally everywhere on Earth. The US Navy has operated reacto…
Nuclear is just not economical enough. Compare eg. to solar, where we installed the equivalent of 413 nuclear power plants just this year: https://pv-magazine-usa.com/2023/11/28/solar-surging-58-in-2...
Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#39Re: Plans for Nuclear-Powered 24,000 TEU Containership Unveiled in China
#40I suspect China will care very little about our silly regulations.
I hope they make a lot of things work that our C-suite lawyers and MBAs never understood the math on.