Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It is possible, given the design of individual products, that a user with close-to-optimal spending decisions is contribution margin negative on individual products and potentially on all accounts I feel like that user is typically the sort who enjoys telling anyone who will listen about how they managed to get great rewards from their card. With all that free marketing, the credit card issuer is probably happy to…
FWIW: I think technologists are far too quick to jump to "I bet they want to do it for free marketing" and far too slow to think "I bet they have a large team of people who does almost literally nothing other than study this exact question, has thought about it for hundreds of thousands more hours than any credit card user has, and has a highly developed technical infrastructure capable of authoritatively answering i…
"I bet they do it for free marketing" doesn't mean "I bet they didn't do the math". It means "I bet their marketing department measures everything and is good at math too."