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Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

bridgewater.com

31–40 of 123 posts

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#31

Yesterday bitcoin's average transaction fee was over $31. Bitcoin Cash and Ethereum both exceed bitcoin's transaction count consistently now, with Ethereum far exceeding bitcoin's crippled transaction capacity.

If you buy the concept of bitcoin as digital gold, which is what I hear out of most analysts in traditional spaces, this isn't problematic.

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#32
post #22
post #17

Another company shilling a coin, hoping to convince many more greater fools. Only goal of this article is to convince you to buy, and to transfer a part of your wealth to them.

Yes, surely these already billionaires whose entire business revolves around publishing analysis on assets, and who don't claim to be holding any major stake in BTC, could only be writing about it because they are shilling...

The only incentive to write articles like this is to convince others to buy, consequently making more money yourself. This is a pitch, not a fairly supported argument.

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#33

The section about the fallacy of limited cryptocurrency supply is one of the key insights missing from many Bitcoin discussions: > For those reasons the “limited supply” argument isn’t as true as it might appear—e.g., if Blackberries were in limited supply they still wouldn’t be worth much because they were replaced by competitors that were more advanced. I agree that Bitcoin is interesting as an alternative asset, b…

The analogy doesn't really work because cryptocurrencies aren't interchangeable the way phones are. A better analogy would be if each phone could only talk to people using the same phone brand. If everyone is on iphone and you need an iphone to talk to anyone you care about, the iphone becomes more valuable because of its scarcity. The network effects of bitcoin and the lack of interchangeability between different cr…

This would be true if Bitcoin transaction fees put it in reach of every-day transactions, but they don't and likely never will. Bitcoin is for HODLing, not for transacting.

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Edit. Nocoiner was removed from the previous comment as it was not intended to be taken this way. My Previous Response( Nocoiner sounds a lot like Antifa or MAGA. Is the goal to lump everyone who doesn't agree with you into a group to ridicule?)

Not my intention at all..updated the to BTC skeptics in case others were offended too.

Thanks for the update - while I read your original comment as intended, I could see others having read it differently.

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Dalio and Bridgewater's internal culture are famously weird and confrontational[0], so your reaction is probably intended. [0] https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-02-01/bridge...

I stopped reading after that sentence, as I figured any such characterization immediately showed bias - your comment pretty much confirms my suspicions.

It shouldn't; they're very open to being shown to be wrong. That's a key feature in their company culture. They're just not shy about how they phrase their current beliefs.

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#37
Here's my personal Bitcoin prediction for 2021:

1. Some hedge fund will find a way to short Bitcoins.

2. Someone will inject a lot of illegal sh*t into the Blockchain. People already post images, e.g. https://cryptograffiti.info/

3. Authorities have to intervene, the price goes down, the hedge fund gets rich.

4. Lots of whining from people who didn't understand how Bitcoin works. Shoulder shrugs from those "in the know" who converted to regular money shortly before the fall.

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#38
post #32
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, surely these already billionaires whose entire business revolves around publishing analysis on assets, and who don't claim to be holding any major stake in BTC, could only be writing about it because they are shilling...

The only incentive to write articles like this is to convince others to buy, consequently making more money yourself. This is a pitch, not a fairly supported argument.

The incentive is to appear informed about an important trend in their industry. It's a pretty good analysis. Do you have a problem with a specific piece of his content?

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#39
I never bought and never going to buy a single BTC. Reason being its environmental footprint. Not to mention it is uselessness.

Most of the energy used to mine BTC are coal-based. Nowadays there are far more fast and energy efficient crypto currencies based on proof-of-stake.

The world has gone crazy with BTC, like they have with DOGE, Tesla, all latest tech IPOs, you name it.

Non sense stuff with no fundamentals, driven by pure speculation and fan boys.

https://digiconomist.net/bitcoin-energy-consumption

Re: Our Thoughts on Bitcoin

#40
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bitcoin will have to adapt in a big way before inflation stops. It needs to crank transaction volume way up, or otherwise collect fees (for example smart contracts) in order to keep mining profitable. Scaling only the price of transactions is NOT going to work, but it has quite a bit of runway to figure this out.

Has the price of transactions gone up relative to the value of Bitcoin? (I don't have a dog in this race, just curious.)

No it goes up and down based on how "busy" the mempool is, its basically a measurement of the overall desire to get a transaction on the blockchain. When bitcoin goes through big price swings this tends to increase number of TX which therefore increases the fee.
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