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Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

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31–40 of 376 posts

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#31
post #3

So Uber is throwing in $6.2B in ATG equity plus $400M in cash and getting $2.6B in Aurora equity? Sounds like a massively down round.

Yeah this looks terrible for $UBER. Why did you write this as ATG equity? Wouldn't it still be their class A/B shares? Or is it structured as a separate entity?

The article says ATG is a separate company. I'm not very knowledgeable about this kind of stuff so I could be wrong.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#32

what happens to Uber now when Waymo releases self-driving taxi? Will they lose all competitive advantage?

Assuming that ever happens, they will likely just license it from Waymo. I don't think Waymo intends to run a full stack taxi service, easier to just sell the self driving tech itself and let other's doing the work on real world applications.

Uber's competitive advantage now is their mindshare, app experience, and subsidized pricing. With or without self driving doesn't really change that.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#33
I don't understand the current state of self driving cars.

First we have tesla which already has a self driving car. They were the first to build one and now everyone is playing catch up, or are they?

Waymo has been building something for a really long time too but I have no idea how close they are to an actual product.

Now there is this new company that gets a bunch of money to build something.

It feels to me like the self driving car market will go to the first player who can make a self driving car -- which is tesla.

Or maybe no one is close to making a really good self driving car yet, and even if they did, they would have to convince people like me that I can sleep at the wheel while surrounded by massholes.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#35
post #28
post #6

Wasn't Uber's whole money losing strategy based on the vision that one day they'll use their self-driving cars to get the driving done for cheaper?

Uber don't need to invent self-driving themselves so long as whoever does invent self-driving cars sells them on the free market. Uber has a strong brand and loyal customers, and they could make out like bandits even if they have to buy the tech from someone else. Their real problem is if some other company perfects self-driving cars and doesn't sell them. Perhaps Uber have decided that's unlikely, either because no…

Uber has a strong network effect, but I don't think there's actually much brand loyalty.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#36
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, that was never the strategy, no matter how many times people on HN claimed it was. Both Uber and Lyft are aiming for profitability next year with human drivers. (Disclaimer, I work for Lyft but this has been said in public many, many times by both companies.)

That might not be their internal strategy, but that's pretty much the investment thesis of every Uber bull buying their stock at $100 billion market cap.

I actually poked into this a bit out of curiosity. Without doing deeper research than I have any interest in, indeed Kalanick never seems to have publicly said anything like "We are so f'ed without self-driving" (which would be a truly idiotic thing to do) and even made some references to the length of the transition. But he also made reference to things like Uber's growth being limited until Uber was cheaper than owning a car and a ton of pubs seem to have "independently" reached the opinion that this was necessary. And I also don't see a lot of fervent denials from Uber in this regard.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#37
post #28
post #6

Wasn't Uber's whole money losing strategy based on the vision that one day they'll use their self-driving cars to get the driving done for cheaper?

Uber don't need to invent self-driving themselves so long as whoever does invent self-driving cars sells them on the free market. Uber has a strong brand and loyal customers, and they could make out like bandits even if they have to buy the tech from someone else. Their real problem is if some other company perfects self-driving cars and doesn't sell them. Perhaps Uber have decided that's unlikely, either because no…

that sounds unlikely. self-driving isn't like a social network, the ones end up building it would've invested tens of billions - so basically Amazon or Google. I find it hard to believe they would want to sell that technology to Uber. If anything, Google has large investment in Lyft, more likely they will acquire Lyft to deploy their own driving fleet all integrated under G Suite.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#38
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Within Uber, it was categorized as a "big bet", as opposed to a core vertical, like ride share/eats. Having now shed new mobility, elevate and now SDV, It looks like Dara is really set on focusing on the core verticals now.

Elevate is also gone ? Didnt read about that

Still rumours

https://www.theverge.com/2020/12/2/22086597/uber-sells-flyin...

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#39
post #17
post #6

Wasn't Uber's whole money losing strategy based on the vision that one day they'll use their self-driving cars to get the driving done for cheaper?

No, that was never the strategy, no matter how many times people on HN claimed it was. Both Uber and Lyft are aiming for profitability next year with human drivers. (Disclaimer, I work for Lyft but this has been said in public many, many times by both companies.)

That seems disingenuous and intended to save face. I liken this to the Soviets claiming they never lost the space race after the US moon landing because "landing humans was never the goal" and they denied ever building a lunar lander. I think the kids these days call it gaslighting. Statements from key executives at uber like Meyhofer who said “The ultimate north star for the company is Level 4 autonomy” are proof of this intent.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#40

Genuinely wondering - - How a 600 person company will determine who among the 1200 at ATG gets acquihired? - How will the Uber employee unvested stocks get paid out (or not) in an almost no cash deal?

Why would Uber selling a portion of its business be relevant to Uber employee unvested stocks?

Do you mean Uber ATG employees? Were they getting stock packages for ATG or for Uber?

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