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Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

forbes.com

31–40 of 88 posts

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#31
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It's also the end of the post-08 crash era and the start of the post-20 crash era What crash? SP500 hit an all time high on Friday.

The Fed printed 40 cents for every dollar that existed in March: https://www.dailyhandle.com/the-government-has-printed-40-ce... Expect all-time-highs in many things as 40% inflation goes trickles down, now that the velocity of money has stopped crashing: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1V

[deleted]

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#32
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Something else could easily eclipse Covid-19 I doubt people will talk about Covid-19 much at all by the end of the century. The 1918 flu was much, much worse in total number of deaths, and even worse when you consider how many fewer people existed at that time, and it killed people in the prime of their lives. And by the year 2000 very few people knew about it at all.

I wonder if there wasn't something else going on in 1918 that perhaps eclipsed it in terms of importance.

I think that’s the point.

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#33

The 21st century's "true start" was on New Year's Eve, 2000. Of course, I realize he's talking about defining events that delimit major changes between the previous century and its successor. And more specifically, major changes in what Thiel cares about, like financial markets, start-ups, monopolies, and money in general. But, really, we're only 20% into the century. Something else could easily eclipse Covid-19 even…

Even outside of that, 9/11 and the 2007 financial crisis aren’t trivial events that are just going to be skipped over. Especially depending on long term effects of the terrorism wars and how future people consider it’s relation to the growth of heavy surveillance, I could see it being considered the more important event.

Of course we don’t know the long term effects Covid is going to have yet, we’re still in the middle of it.

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#34

The 21st century's "true start" was on New Year's Eve, 2000. Of course, I realize he's talking about defining events that delimit major changes between the previous century and its successor. And more specifically, major changes in what Thiel cares about, like financial markets, start-ups, monopolies, and money in general. But, really, we're only 20% into the century. Something else could easily eclipse Covid-19 even…

I doubt anyone is going to talk about covid too much past 2022, based on the efficacy of the vaccine trials.

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#35

The 21st century's "true start" was on New Year's Eve, 2000. Of course, I realize he's talking about defining events that delimit major changes between the previous century and its successor. And more specifically, major changes in what Thiel cares about, like financial markets, start-ups, monopolies, and money in general. But, really, we're only 20% into the century. Something else could easily eclipse Covid-19 even…

Something else could easily eclipse Covid-19 even within the parameters of what matters to Thiel. Did WWI define the 20th century, or was it WWII? I think WWI demarcates the 1st of a series of really big, interrelated events. I suspect Covid-19 could be the 1st of a series of really big, interrelated events.

WWI marks the end of the Concert of Europe system that prevailed over the previous century, and the cost of WWI and its subsequent aftershocks led to the collapse of European global empires and the rise of the American/Soviet century. I'd say that's a pretty good demarcation line.

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#36

The 21st century's "true start" was on New Year's Eve, 2000. Of course, I realize he's talking about defining events that delimit major changes between the previous century and its successor. And more specifically, major changes in what Thiel cares about, like financial markets, start-ups, monopolies, and money in general. But, really, we're only 20% into the century. Something else could easily eclipse Covid-19 even…

Sorry but no. "It began on January 1, 2001, and ends on December 31, 2100" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/21st_century

Isn't that what crispyambulance said (or perhaps a few hours before)?

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#37

The 21st century's "true start" was on New Year's Eve, 2000. Of course, I realize he's talking about defining events that delimit major changes between the previous century and its successor. And more specifically, major changes in what Thiel cares about, like financial markets, start-ups, monopolies, and money in general. But, really, we're only 20% into the century. Something else could easily eclipse Covid-19 even…

> Something else could easily eclipse Covid-19 I doubt people will talk about Covid-19 much at all by the end of the century. The 1918 flu was much, much worse in total number of deaths, and even worse when you consider how many fewer people existed at that time, and it killed people in the prime of their lives. And by the year 2000 very few people knew about it at all.

Economic effects of the virus may well be more long reaching though.

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#38

It is still a little shocking to me that Peter Thiel can be quoted in mainstream business publications without any note being made of his quite open support for white nationalist hate groups. Not far off from quoting Albert Speer as an architecture critic!

I agree, I’m all for separating a person from his work but in Peter Thiel’s case they are so intertwined it does not make sense to give him the benefit of the doubt.

Re: Peter Thiel Says Covid Marks 21st Century’s True Start

#40
That headline was wonderful, and it surprised me as I have typically been unimpressed by anything he's had to say. Then I read the rest of the article and was disappointed in its scope.

2020 really is a year of phase change (or in Thiel-like terms, a node point through which a number of trends pass through).

If you can correctly predict which issues will not revert to status quo ante (retail, remote work, delivery, retrograde fear of science, class stratification, or something nobody else yet sees) you can have influence, riches, and/or a lot of fun.

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