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New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

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31–40 of 56 posts

Re: New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

#31
post #23

Bitch about people who didn’t save for an emergency expense or for retirement. Bitch about people who spend frivolously. And now, miraculously, bitch about people who are saving. This is not a complex problem. If you want people to spend money you must give them a proper safety net. That means pensions and health care.

Saving money used to be a respectable thing, now you’re just hoarding cash.

Re: New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

#32

Even with the macroeconomic effects as valid the mode of thinking is so painfully backwards and entitled in so many ways. 1. The job of the producers is to produce what the consumers want, not the consumers to accept whatever they want to produce! It is not a birthright to guaranteed profit from whatever they want to produce being sold. That has never existed. It brings to mind every idiot CEo of a business which fai…

Agreed. When I read a business article that’s so far off base I have to take a moment to understand who wrote it. In this case —as is often seen with reality-challenged articles— the author has zero business experience and zero training in finance:

https://www.linkedin.com/in/matt-egan-7b75542b

He is a journalist who worked for Fox and now CNN and likely doesn’t know what he is talking about.

Before someone jumps on the apparent logical fallacy, let me point out that I started by saying his argument isn’t sound or valid, as the comment I am responding to correctly explains.

Re: New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

#33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Good analysis. Relying on credit to enable consumer spending happened in the mid 1920s as stagnant wages, and income inequality reduced the discretionary budget of most consumers. At best spending on credit is a temporary boost to the economy as consumers will eventually be tapped out and spending will stop. I agree with you, consumer debt isn't the solution, more affluent consumers is the solution. Raise wages, sell…

This sounds exactly like what's happening in America today. Bring jobs back to the country, which elevates wages due to low unemployment, high worker demand. Bring manufacturing back to the country, which causes better products by them being designed closer to the people who would consume/use them.

Is that happening? USAmericans can't afford what they consume; the economics only add up when most the work is imported from subsistence workers and slaves.

(I almost said ”offshored" but Mexico and South America)

Re: New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

#34
post #19
post #13

It's only a problem if you subscribe to (in my opinion, the flawed and incredibly destructive) modern economic theory which is largely a continuation of the Keynesianism of the mid-20th century. Ask any economist why deflation is a bad thing and they will generally tell you that it is because they want to avoid a deflationary spiral with collapsing prices and high unemployment, which is why they want to ensure that c…

> b) ... this means that if more people put money in the bank, the bank will have more money to lend out and interest rates would fall This is not how lending works for banks in the western world. Banks do not lend out their customers savings. Basically banks are legally allowed to create money out of thin air. They are only limited by their equity in how much money they can create as they have to reserve a certain a…

It's just as true to say that depositors create money or creditors create money. Perhaps more true to say that the FDIC creates money by insuring deposits.

The whole system creates money. And it's not some weird sort of stealing (unless a creditor defaults, of course), it's a lubricant and catalyst of economy, and why I don't have to maintain a herd of cows just for use in trading my computer software for your pickles. Money (currency) is only useful when it moves, so creating it is good for people.

Anyone can create money. If I write "IOU a chicken, redeemable by whoever holds this paper" on a sheet of paper, I just created money (but not US legal tender fiat currency)

Re: New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

#35
post #20
post #6

As bad as it is, I feel like this is our chance to do some large scale norm changes. Eg. Shorter standard work week, more time off. No as some liberal/socialist agenda but as a way to reach full employment again. I don’t think we’re ready for basic income, but whatever the right stepping stone is, I think govt has a big enough reason to address it now. Edit: our/we = US, habit and context of article

> No as some liberal/socialist agenda but as a way to reach full employment again. You know that this is bascially the same reason socialists are in favor of shorter working weeks, right? Their "socialist agenda" is virtually the same as your reasoning.

I made that comment more so because normally our extremely polarized bipartisanship would prevent these types of changes from being made. Even if someone like Bernie was president, no way his agendas make through legislative branch.

This depression will test our country’s ability to rally and cross political lines for the good of the people the way we have in the past. Something that previously was far left may seem viable to right leaning constituents when they’re struggling to meet basic needs.

Re: New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

#37
post #21
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> b) ... this means that if more people put money in the bank, the bank will have more money to lend out and interest rates would fall This is not how lending works for banks in the western world. Banks do not lend out their customers savings. Basically banks are legally allowed to create money out of thin air. They are only limited by their equity in how much money they can create as they have to reserve a certain a…

They don’t lend out their customer’s savings directly per-se but you have to have deposits in order to have assets to lend against. Otherwise, why wouldn’t you be able to create a bank out of thin air and loan money? Customers cost money, why even have them? I think what you missed in the article you linked is the concept of reserve requirements. What the person you’re responding to said is actually correct, again ot…

Lending is tight to a banks equity. Prior to Basel II (early 2000s) this was some 8% per loan. So the more equity you have, the more loans you can provide. As small regional banks are unlikely to have the same amount of equity than JPMorgan Chase, they cannot provide the same amount of loans.

Under the followup regime (Basel III) its: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basel_III#Leverage_ratio

Re: New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

#38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Good analysis. Relying on credit to enable consumer spending happened in the mid 1920s as stagnant wages, and income inequality reduced the discretionary budget of most consumers. At best spending on credit is a temporary boost to the economy as consumers will eventually be tapped out and spending will stop. I agree with you, consumer debt isn't the solution, more affluent consumers is the solution. Raise wages, sell…

This sounds exactly like what's happening in America today. Bring jobs back to the country, which elevates wages due to low unemployment, high worker demand. Bring manufacturing back to the country, which causes better products by them being designed closer to the people who would consume/use them.

This is the opposite of what's happening in America today. Wages have not elevated in decades, there is an odd inflation that is only needs specific (food, housing, education), even the manufacturing that comes back to the country is usually automated so there are very little jobs brought by it.

Re: New threat to the economy: Americans are saving like it's the 1980s

#39
post #21
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> b) ... this means that if more people put money in the bank, the bank will have more money to lend out and interest rates would fall This is not how lending works for banks in the western world. Banks do not lend out their customers savings. Basically banks are legally allowed to create money out of thin air. They are only limited by their equity in how much money they can create as they have to reserve a certain a…

They don’t lend out their customer’s savings directly per-se but you have to have deposits in order to have assets to lend against. Otherwise, why wouldn’t you be able to create a bank out of thin air and loan money? Customers cost money, why even have them? I think what you missed in the article you linked is the concept of reserve requirements. What the person you’re responding to said is actually correct, again ot…

> Customers cost money, why even have them?

That certainly seems to match the customer service attitudes I've seen from many banks...

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