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U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

stamfordadvocate.com

31–40 of 164 posts

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#31
post #3

is there an explanation for stock buybacks that isn't ' evil stockholders'? edit: this was an actual question not a rhetorical one. curious why the downvotes?

It's how companies give profits back to their shareholders. It's just tax advantaged compared to dividends.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure — what are your other options if you have lots of cash? 1. Keep it in cash and get sub-inflationary levels on it, and perform poorly due to your lack of leverage. 2. Invest it in other market securities, effectively running some hedge fund. Not a great idea, distracting from your core biz, and shareholders may not appreciate the exposure to outside risk. 3. Buy back your own stock, which gives back to shareholde…

There's also option 4: - Increase worker pay and benefits

And Option 5 - Invest in research and development: better engines? Lighter materials? Better interior arrangements so that flyers can feel comfortable while you still turn a profit? I get that airlines don't directly create these things, but they could throw their excess cash into R&D contracts for manufacturers...

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#33
post #3

is there an explanation for stock buybacks that isn't ' evil stockholders'? edit: this was an actual question not a rhetorical one. curious why the downvotes?

Sure. When you combine hyper-competitive capitalism with a market that lacks regulation - taking steps that ensure you are privatizing profits and socializing losses is just good for business. Arguably, some of these corporations believe it is also necessary to stay in business.

Airlines exist in a space with ample competition, limited differentiation, and high price-sensitivity for customers. When that happens, they live or die on number of passengers and valuation compared to competitors. It's hard to increase demand for flights past what is already available. So they pump their numbers for the short term because that's what everyone else is doing, and because the cost of saving money for a rainy day means spooking investors or ceding more passengers to a competitor.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#34
post #3

is there an explanation for stock buybacks that isn't ' evil stockholders'? edit: this was an actual question not a rhetorical one. curious why the downvotes?

Sure — what are your other options if you have lots of cash? 1. Keep it in cash and get sub-inflationary levels on it, and perform poorly due to your lack of leverage. 2. Invest it in other market securities, effectively running some hedge fund. Not a great idea, distracting from your core biz, and shareholders may not appreciate the exposure to outside risk. 3. Buy back your own stock, which gives back to shareholde…

And as has been said on other threads about this topic - were the individual airlines to have saved that money (taking the hit on interest rates before deploying it now), the amounts we're talking about would barely cover a few months of total operations per airline.

Am not an apologist by any stretch, but the narrative is "they should have created a black swan fund instead of share buybacks". But they'd have been skewered for years by the trade press for keeping billions of dollars in sub-optimal immediate cash form in order to buy a little extra time.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#35
post #12

I really hate that this argument keeps popping up. There's plenty of reasons to hate bailouts or airlines or anything else, but who the hell could have predicted the world was going to shut down like this in 2015-2019? We were in one of the biggest bull markets in the history of the United States, business was good, and the companies used some of that money to buy back stock. People make it sound like they were buyin…

You might not expect that some particular disaster is going to happen, but you can expect that some setback is going to occur, eventually. The good times do not last forever. It's not like the principle of having a reserve for bad times is a new idea (see also: ant, grasshopper).

If our corporate overlords bet everything on short term gain, and left nothing for the tomorrow that they thought would never come, why should we have to fix their mistake?

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure — what are your other options if you have lots of cash? 1. Keep it in cash and get sub-inflationary levels on it, and perform poorly due to your lack of leverage. 2. Invest it in other market securities, effectively running some hedge fund. Not a great idea, distracting from your core biz, and shareholders may not appreciate the exposure to outside risk. 3. Buy back your own stock, which gives back to shareholde…

4. Pay a dividend

For the line of thought in articles like these, there's no difference if airlines had spend $45B on dividend payouts in the past four years rather than on buybacks.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#37

Just remember that the Federal government ended up making money on the automaker and bailouts (quite apart from all the jobs that were saved).

Can you elaborate more? I'm curious on this.

The money was loaned to provide liquidity, and paid back with (low) interest.

I would need to look it up, but IIRC overall the feds made money on the bailout, especially to the banks, but took a slight haircut on the money they lent to automakers. Of course, that haircut doesn't factor in the benefit in keeping those industries alive and keeping those people employed (IMO very worth the price), but that's a bigger question.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#38
post #3

is there an explanation for stock buybacks that isn't ' evil stockholders'? edit: this was an actual question not a rhetorical one. curious why the downvotes?

Sure — what are your other options if you have lots of cash? 1. Keep it in cash and get sub-inflationary levels on it, and perform poorly due to your lack of leverage. 2. Invest it in other market securities, effectively running some hedge fund. Not a great idea, distracting from your core biz, and shareholders may not appreciate the exposure to outside risk. 3. Buy back your own stock, which gives back to shareholde…

4. Invest it in your core biz.

5. Invest it in research

6. Buy other companies to extend your core biz.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#40
post #3

is there an explanation for stock buybacks that isn't ' evil stockholders'? edit: this was an actual question not a rhetorical one. curious why the downvotes?

Buybacks serve the same role as dividends. A company takes money they have no need for and instead of giving it to investors in the form of dividends (which is taxed) they buyback stock. As a shareholder you don't end up with cash but the value of the stock increases by the same amount but there is no tax.

I own Google stock. They don't have a dividend at all and buyback massive amounts of stock. It is just efficient. If the government taxed buybacks then they would likely start giving a dividend, as people would prefer deciding what to do with the money.

One additional issue is that company's have chosen often times to do stock buybacks even when taking on debt. This is because they can borrow money cheaply and believe the buybacks are good for the value of the shareholders overall. This isn't necessarily a bad thing for anyone - but in times like this it puts a real stress on them that may even bankrupt them.

I think it is a bit of question of risk. In theory I'd like the company's I own to be prepared for an emergency, but I' also be annoyed if I invested in a company and they just let the money sit in a bank account for years instead of finding a way to return profits to the shareholders immediately.

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