Earlier quoted context omitted.
If your estimate is in the millions... I'm happy to bet you a thousand dollars that in the US deaths don't go more than 50k, ten thousand dollars it doesn't go more than 500k, to be settled at the close of 2020.
I have fairly low confidence in the high end numbers, because there's a chance the US would "wake up." Your low number bet seems like a layup! There is something appalling about "rooting" for death that doesn't sit well with my values though. All that said, I still mostly want to see your work. This isn't my specialty, and if you have well thought out optimistic numbers they would make me and a lot of people feel bet…
In the us, we have signs in restaurants reminding employees (and customers) to wash their hands. Now in all honesty probably only 80% do in normal times but certainly more are now, and in any case, it's part of the active day to day thinking (or even better, it's part of letting the monkey drive) in our culture.