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The Onion Futures Act

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31–40 of 79 posts

Re: The Onion Futures Act

#31
post #22
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Such a good episode! Planet Money is so good that I've worked my way through 10 years of back-episodes over the last year or so, it's one of few podcasts which is worth doing that.

Try Freakonomics if you haven't already. I did the full back catalog on both.

I've been listening to How I Built That with Guy Raz lately too. Also a good podcast. I spend a lot of time in my car so good podcasts help keep my sanity.

Re: The Onion Futures Act

#32
post #7

Another interesting topic in the derivatives markets: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_derivative . Basically you buy futures or options on the temperature, rainfall, and cloud cover. Super interesting!

Semi-related: In digital advertising you can buy ads based on the weather, at the current time, at the users location. This costs a small amount of money (advertiser pays a company for that data). So companies who know weather very precisely can sell that data. But other companies buy that same data from multiple companies, aggregate it, and claim theirs is more accurate. Other arbitrage the data. Others find average temps/etc and predict the weather.

So similar market forces are back, but fueled by advertising. The same thing happens with geographical data and million other data points.

Re: The Onion Futures Act

#33
post #7

Another interesting topic in the derivatives markets: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_derivative . Basically you buy futures or options on the temperature, rainfall, and cloud cover. Super interesting!

This is an actual thing??!

Re: The Onion Futures Act

#35
post #13

Laws should have an expiration date. Otherwise in 100 years there will be 1 million laws.

We've already lost count of the number of federal laws in the U.S. https://blogs.loc.gov/law/2013/03/frequent-reference-questio...

And people are constantly asking for things that are already laws - we need to actually enforce our laws so that bad ones can be removed also in my opinion.

Re: The Onion Futures Act

#36
post #23

The other notorious carve-out is box office futures. Read more about the ban here: https://www.theringer.com/movies/2018/11/15/18091620/box-off...

Interesting! I'd never heard of this. It look like their arguments against it are about the same as the arguments against variable pricing for movies -- the price would reflect overall sentiment and influence the viewership. Why would you go see a movie that is only $1. Clearly no one else wants to see it. In the same vein, why would you see a movie with a bunch of shorts on it?

>...why would you see a movie with a bunch of shorts on it?

If you were long, among other reasons.

Re: The Onion Futures Act

#38
post #23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Interesting! I'd never heard of this. It look like their arguments against it are about the same as the arguments against variable pricing for movies -- the price would reflect overall sentiment and influence the viewership. Why would you go see a movie that is only $1. Clearly no one else wants to see it. In the same vein, why would you see a movie with a bunch of shorts on it?

>...why would you see a movie with a bunch of shorts on it? If you were long, among other reasons.

For sufficiently bad movies, you might get paid to watch them by the people betting on their success.

Re: The Onion Futures Act

#40
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can squeeze repeals like these into Budget Appropriation Acts to avoid government shutdowns If you want. Better and faster than the popular vote for different representatives, you dont even have to be registered anywhere. The US Federal Government doesnt have single item veto, and Congress wont care to revisit this even if they noticed later.

What on earth does this have to do with the OP's comment?

The comment suggests futures-based hedging of governmental (over)spending.
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