If this is true, where is the best place to invest 10k-100k USD today?
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Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
31–40 of 121 posts
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#32If you could know a recession was inevitable some time soon from publicly available information then that recession wouldn't happen in the predicted time frame. Everybody would see it coming, take their money out of the market, and it would happen instantly.
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#33Would it be wise to wait a year before buying a house? If a recession hits it might turn my areas buyers market into a fire-sale. I guess if the fed isn’t raising rates then it’s not an issue. Waiting would also allow someone to increase their down payment.
If people here really knew whether or not that was a good idea we would be billionaire rock-star investors. Trying to time the market is a fools errand for most folks.
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#34How can something "suggest" a recession is "unavoidable." If its a suggestion, then by definition it isn't unavoidable. These articles are silly. You'll find them for every time the market sneezes. October 2015, World Faces a Recession Next Year: https://www.cnbc.com/2015/10/13/citis-buiter-world-faces-rec... June 2016, The Next Recession is Already Here: https://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/21/the-next-recession-is-alread..…
suggest - cause one to think that (something) exists or is the case.
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#35Would it be wise to wait a year before buying a house? If a recession hits it might turn my areas buyers market into a fire-sale. I guess if the fed isn’t raising rates then it’s not an issue. Waiting would also allow someone to increase their down payment.
In Palo Alto, we have been seeing softening real estate prices for a month or two. My guess is that sellers are concerned that tech stocks will tank (as they have) and that potential buyers will dry up. I am personally waiting on the sidelines to trade up because I'd rather sell for less and buy for less in order to lock in the lower property tax rates. Most realtors I've spoken with seem to think a pause/dip in Palo Alto area real estate is inevitable in the next 6-12 months, and we're starting to see it already.
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#36Given the projected IPOs next year (Lyft, Uber, AirBnB) I think this is a little pre-mature. I think the bull market has another year in it. That being said I'm shifting some of my assets out of the market.
A handful of IPOs won't stave off a recession. (It's entirely possible to cancel an IPO, too.)
If I were a big pre-IPO company, I'd probably want to go IPO before the recession, in order to get operating capital to survive it.
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#37Given the projected IPOs next year (Lyft, Uber, AirBnB) I think this is a little pre-mature. I think the bull market has another year in it. That being said I'm shifting some of my assets out of the market.
I think it's interesting to note that those companies were born out of a recession, and their IPOs could mark the end of a boom.
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#38Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why would you invest just before a recession? Keep your cash and invest when the market is down.
There are some indexes that go up on market volatility, as well as some "reverse" indexes
Those are meant for day-trading and now for long-term or even medium term investment.
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#39Earlier quoted context omitted.
Into a piece of yellow metal. Edit. More background on that: In 2014, after years and years of my parents droning "think about buying a house," I finally decided to teach my parents a lesson, and show them just how bad their investment advice is. So in the end, I lost around 53 thousand dollars in total from FX, fees, lawyers, drop of property value, and my ability to sleep well at night. And in 2016, I got kicked ou…
No idea why you are downvoted. Indisputably the safest investment for several millenia running.
Inflation adjusted price of gold is down almost 50% from 1980:
https://www.macrotrends.net/1333/historical-gold-prices-100-...
Re: Market Moves Suggest a Recession Is Unavoidable
#40Would it be wise to wait a year before buying a house? If a recession hits it might turn my areas buyers market into a fire-sale. I guess if the fed isn’t raising rates then it’s not an issue. Waiting would also allow someone to increase their down payment.
Depends on the area. Like here in Portland prices were already way lower than surrounding areas so prices have increased a lot over the last couple years. It's been a shock to people that are in their little bubble and don't realize it's still cheaper than Seattle, SF, LA.