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Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

nytimes.com

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Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#31
post #25

With the recent uproar inside Google against Maven, it is obvious that Pentagon is going to have difficult time. Google helps Pentagon analyze military drone footage–employees “outraged” https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16532112 Leaked Emails Show Google Expected Military Drone AI Work to Grow Exponentially https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17202179 Google Won't Renew Contract for Project Maven, Pentagon Drone…

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Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#32
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

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"kinetic energy" is such a euphemism for killing people. I think a lot of people just have a problem with the military deciding who is innocent and who isn't and killing people of other countries without a declaration of war & without a trial.

It's really not, as people by themselves don't pose much of a military threat. What you really want to do is break all the stuff that lets those people actually threaten you.

Granted, much of that stuff is arranged in the form of compounds that contain people, or is stored on such compounds.

There are a few steps to "deciding who is innocent", but the big steps are Step 1: the President decides that the military can start making spot decisions like "that guy just shot me" within a specific set of circumstances. Step 2: "that guy just shot me! I'm shooting back!"

Better military technology improves step #2. It also improves subtler cases like "can I shoot this guy" / "does he have a weapon?" / "yes he totally does [false]" / "ok shoot him" -- by allowing the supervisor in this case to confirm what he's being told, before he gives the go-ahead.

But step #1 is the biggie. As soon as the President says that the military can go to a place and kill people, it gets very dangerous for the people there. Apart from turning the entire planet into a panopticon, I don't think technology can change this much.

Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#33
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

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"kinetic energy" is such a euphemism for killing people. I think a lot of people just have a problem with the military deciding who is innocent and who isn't and killing people of other countries without a declaration of war & without a trial.

> "kinetic energy" is such a euphemism for killing people.

corrected, thank you. I agree with you more than you think. Please vote.

Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#34
post #25

With the recent uproar inside Google against Maven, it is obvious that Pentagon is going to have difficult time. Google helps Pentagon analyze military drone footage–employees “outraged” https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16532112 Leaked Emails Show Google Expected Military Drone AI Work to Grow Exponentially https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17202179 Google Won't Renew Contract for Project Maven, Pentagon Drone…

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Don't worry. The Google abstention is an eyewash. Weaponized AI is here to stay.

Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#35
The reason why the military will always be technologically behind is that the salaries they're willing to pay for talent is far less compared to what you can get in the Bay Area and/or New York if you decide to do quantitative finance. It's as simple as that, but there's far more than just the economics that are involved.

Even if in the world where the military does pay salaries on par with the Google farm, very few people will make the switch. The military would have to pay likely an unreasonable amount premium to get any appreciable amount of people because many have an aversion to the military industrial complex. And for good reason too I might add.

People want to work on things that will help change the world and improve the quality of lives of other people, not make it easier to kill. You can argue that working on B2B software contributes little to improving humanity, but at the very least, it isn't actively harming anyone.

And the examples of moonshot technologies that are being developed in fields like cancer treatment, curing aging, self driving vehicles, etc. which are being made possible due to innovations in places like Silicon Valley should show you that technology can and is being used to change the world for the better.

Technology at the end of the day is a force multiplier that I would hope is directed towards purposes not devoted to zero sum games like waging war.

Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#36
post #25

With the recent uproar inside Google against Maven, it is obvious that Pentagon is going to have difficult time. Google helps Pentagon analyze military drone footage–employees “outraged” https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16532112 Leaked Emails Show Google Expected Military Drone AI Work to Grow Exponentially https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17202179 Google Won't Renew Contract for Project Maven, Pentagon Drone…

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Good points, At the same time, reducing the cost of killing people and destroying things (which is a military's legitimate job) makes it more likely those actions will be ordered by political leaders.

Let's say a technology could be developed that allowed your government (wherever you are) to kill any person with almost zero cost and no chance of detection. Would it be moral to aid in its development?

If it wasn't for WWII or the risk of falling behind competitors, should those scientists and engineers have developed the atomic bomb?

Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#37
post #25

With the recent uproar inside Google against Maven, it is obvious that Pentagon is going to have difficult time. Google helps Pentagon analyze military drone footage–employees “outraged” https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16532112 Leaked Emails Show Google Expected Military Drone AI Work to Grow Exponentially https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17202179 Google Won't Renew Contract for Project Maven, Pentagon Drone…

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Targeted killings don’t work, they only “help” replace some leaders with other (often times even more radical) people. This is not just an issue of “maybe we will get better at killing people up from the air soon” because the US has been at this game for almost 20 years now and we are still having the same conversation. War has been and it will always be about politics (meaning how people live and interact with each other, even with their enemies) no technological “breakthrough” is going to change that.

Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

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Good points, At the same time, reducing the cost of killing people and destroying things (which is a military's legitimate job) makes it more likely those actions will be ordered by political leaders. Let's say a technology could be developed that allowed your government (wherever you are) to kill any person with almost zero cost and no chance of detection. Would it be moral to aid in its development? If it wasn't fo…

> Let's say a technology could be developed that allowed your government (wherever you are) to kill any person with almost zero cost and no chance of detection.

oh yeah, I remember that Hitman mission.

"Would it be morally justified for an assassin to kill me?" is a good question to add to the project-acceptance checklist.

Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#39
post #25

With the recent uproar inside Google against Maven, it is obvious that Pentagon is going to have difficult time. Google helps Pentagon analyze military drone footage–employees “outraged” https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16532112 Leaked Emails Show Google Expected Military Drone AI Work to Grow Exponentially https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17202179 Google Won't Renew Contract for Project Maven, Pentagon Drone…

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Do you think it is fair for a multinational company to ally with an army? What will be the limits? Besides realpolotik, one also has to. answer such questions.

If Google helps Pentagon, then it no moral right to expand in Russia & China (I know about censored google search prpject), unless there are agreements.

I say it again if Silicon valley wants to be called a place where talented individuals of any nationality can stay & work for advancement of technology, then it must not help Pentagon.

Let Pentagon develop its own AI technology.

Re: Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

#40

There would be no Silicon Valley without the military industrial complex. Period. But I think there are problems with getting too close to the Pentagon and then trying to operate internationally as a purported neutral information platform.

While I mostly agree with you on a historical basis, I don't agree with you on a theoretical basis. Post hoc ergo propter hoc. The military invented a lot of things "first", or at least provided the use-case and funding for a lot of things. But that doesn't necessarily and always mean that people couldn't have invented something without military funding and uses in mind. For example, the military probably invented th…

The problem with your comparison is that IT took tens of years of investment before it produced anything truly useful. It is very hard to imagine that research being funded for years and years without financial return by anything other than a state-level actor. And in most capitalist democracies, especially in the US, the only politically-viable way for the state to massively invest in an endeavor is to do so through military spending, which is what happened with IT.
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