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Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

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Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Past bubbles didn't involve an economic paradigm shift

That's exactly what was claimed about the Internet bubble, over and over and over again in every bubble touting story about how it was "the new economy" and "different this time." Besides the Internet did in fact involve a once in a generation economic paradigm shift. Just ask China, $6+ trillion in annual online payment processing / exchange flow. Their entire economic output was $800 billion circa 1998. Entire vast…

> Was there a huge automobile bubble? There sure was.

I'm not familiar with a past (or any) automobile bubble. Are you saying you think we're in now?

I've heard this theory before, but I don't know what would cause it to pop, or how one could protect oneself (if that's even needed) from it popping.

Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#32
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The mining difficulty was much lower at the beginning. Satoshi, the creator, has about 1 million bitcoins from this early mining. [0] [0] - https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satoshi_Nakamoto

Also Hal Finney and others who helped in the beginning may have left sums of BTC behind (RIP). A personal anecdote, somewhat related: In the early days, I mined several blocks from the wallet itself, on an AMD Sempron or Duron, at about 800-900mhz. Even then, this took a few days and then weeks before eventually becoming impossible with the advent of mining pools and GPU mining arrays. Speaking for myself only, some…

I think people massively underestimate the number of Bitcoin which are forever lost. I’d put it at well over 50%, and the true market cap is much less than we think it is because of this. IMO “Satoshi” coins are part of this unrecoverable set, but of course I have no data to base that on, just a hunch.

Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#33
post #17

> the approximately 1,000 people who hold an estimated 40 percent of all bitcoin, or an average of around $350 million each. I've seen this statement over and over again for the last few months in various news outlets and blogs, but I'm having a hard time wrapping my head around this statement. I understand these 1000 people are what are popularly known as the "Bitcoin Whales" but how did most of them come in possess…

People were spending tens of thousands of Bitcoins on stuff like pizza in the early days and there were significantly fewer Bitcoins back then. That's hundreds of millions of dollars today. So all some of them had to do is keep them around. Others just bought them later on. Winklevoss twins put $100 million in Bitcoin years ago. I imagine many rich Chinese people wanting to evade money transferring rules in China did…

Satoshi is dead, or in prison. No way they could go 10 years without spending a single coin.

Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's exactly what was claimed about the Internet bubble, over and over and over again in every bubble touting story about how it was "the new economy" and "different this time." Besides the Internet did in fact involve a once in a generation economic paradigm shift. Just ask China, $6+ trillion in annual online payment processing / exchange flow. Their entire economic output was $800 billion circa 1998. Entire vast…

> Was there a huge automobile bubble? There sure was. I'm not familiar with a past (or any) automobile bubble. Are you saying you think we're in now? I've heard this theory before, but I don't know what would cause it to pop, or how one could protect oneself (if that's even needed) from it popping.

There were at one time hundreds of automobile companies. Most of which were outright scams.

Much like the dot com bubble the scams went bankrupt and lost every dime, some got bought out for pennies on the dollar, and then there were a dozen or so survivors that actually created long-term wealth.

Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#36
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People were spending tens of thousands of Bitcoins on stuff like pizza in the early days and there were significantly fewer Bitcoins back then. That's hundreds of millions of dollars today. So all some of them had to do is keep them around. Others just bought them later on. Winklevoss twins put $100 million in Bitcoin years ago. I imagine many rich Chinese people wanting to evade money transferring rules in China did…

Satoshi is dead, or in prison. No way they could go 10 years without spending a single coin.

So you know every single one of Satoshi's addresses? (pro tip: you don't)

Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#37
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People were spending tens of thousands of Bitcoins on stuff like pizza in the early days and there were significantly fewer Bitcoins back then. That's hundreds of millions of dollars today. So all some of them had to do is keep them around. Others just bought them later on. Winklevoss twins put $100 million in Bitcoin years ago. I imagine many rich Chinese people wanting to evade money transferring rules in China did…

Satoshi is dead, or in prison. No way they could go 10 years without spending a single coin.

There’s no way to tell the entire holdings of Satoshi though so it’s quite possible she/he had other wallets and has made bank. Mining was easy for quite some time and once people were selling lots of coins it’s possible Satoshi was a buyer (if for no other reason than to help kickstart the market for them).

Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#38
post #21

"In turn, financial investors get a secure, levered exposure to bitcoin that is not hostage to an unproven price-setting and without the expense of setting up a system to hold physical bitcoin." I realize that securely holding bitcoin at scale isn't completely trivial, but isn't part of the value of bitcoin supposed to be that these costs are not large? Especially the use of the term, "physical bitcoin," seems a bit…

Bitcoin security is partly based on public-key crypto. So anything you would do to secure a private key, you can use to secure your BTC from being stolen. Encrypt it with a passphrase, or store it on a thumb drive and lock it in a safe, or print it out on paper and put it in your wallet to be scanned (e.g. in QR code format) only when needed, or even store it in a tamper-proof hardware dongle.

[deleted]

Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#39

Anybody that has that kind of gain in the last few years from Bitcoin et al., would be nuts to not be cashing some of it out. More and more headlines by the day are sounding like a rehash of the dotcom bubble type insanity that occurred right before the crash. The lifestyle difference between $300m and $800m, or $1b and $6b, is not meaningful enough to risk giving 50% or 97% of it all back in a serious crypto crash.…

Past bubbles didn't involve an economic paradigm shift

So tell me: What goods did you purchase using crypto in the last month?

If you didn't: What goods are purchasable using crypto in your area?

Using "crypto" as a term for any crypto currency, to avoid "Bitcoin is crypto gold" replies.

Re: Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out

#40
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Also Hal Finney and others who helped in the beginning may have left sums of BTC behind (RIP). A personal anecdote, somewhat related: In the early days, I mined several blocks from the wallet itself, on an AMD Sempron or Duron, at about 800-900mhz. Even then, this took a few days and then weeks before eventually becoming impossible with the advent of mining pools and GPU mining arrays. Speaking for myself only, some…

I think people massively underestimate the number of Bitcoin which are forever lost. I’d put it at well over 50%, and the true market cap is much less than we think it is because of this. IMO “Satoshi” coins are part of this unrecoverable set, but of course I have no data to base that on, just a hunch.

A coin that vanishes unpredictably would be the worst sort of money. Ironically, under Gresham's Law, such a currency would dominate other forms of money because everyone would be in such a hurry to exchange it for goods before it disappeared.
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