Whenever I hear of "bubble" I am reminded of this quote - "“The market can stay irrational a lot longer than you can stay solvent!” So yes it may be a bubble- but the bubble may very last a few months, a few years, or a few decades...who knows?
Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
31–40 of 161 posts
Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#32I think there is a difference between a cryptocurrency bubble and an ICO bubble, and this article fails to distinguish between the two. You can see Tom Lee, a financial strategist, talk about Bitcoin here: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/15/bitcoin-could-surge-another-... He points out that there are only 300,000 Bitcoin wallets that hold $5,000 or more. In the grand scheme of things that is very small compared to the o…
Yeah, that's literally exactly why it is a bubble. It's a big if, but that's how you rationalize entering the market.
Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#33I think there is a difference between a cryptocurrency bubble and an ICO bubble, and this article fails to distinguish between the two. You can see Tom Lee, a financial strategist, talk about Bitcoin here: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/15/bitcoin-could-surge-another-... He points out that there are only 300,000 Bitcoin wallets that hold $5,000 or more. In the grand scheme of things that is very small compared to the o…
Noob question... What is the "product" that underlies the value of cryptocurrency that is so much more valuable than what underlies an ICO? What is the value of a machine churning hashes? It seems like the value is underlied by securing a transaction ledger + an arbitrarily difficult math problem. So is the value the security of the ledger?
CryptoCurrency is the base primitive of the blockchain, that is consumed to store transactions permanently, as well as to reward the block creators. CryptoAssets are usually extra metadata in transactions that updates some state. The USDT token actually runs on the bitcoin blockchain, on an early 2nd layer network called OMNI. ICO takes the cryptoasset further and issues some 2nd layer token and then resell that for the underlying cryptocurrency. Its a magic bean sale, paid with gold coins.
An ICO on ethereum, for example, is simply a database entry that says your address holds some number of tokens in a contract. You do not own them, you are just tagged as having a certain number. Most contracts have a suicide clause. One authorized (we hope... ooops) method call could nuke that value instantly.
With a cryptocurrency, you control the value stored in unspent transactions. With this you own the private key. No external party can remove those funds with that private key.
Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#34Earlier quoted context omitted.
Noob question... What is the "product" that underlies the value of cryptocurrency that is so much more valuable than what underlies an ICO? What is the value of a machine churning hashes? It seems like the value is underlied by securing a transaction ledger + an arbitrarily difficult math problem. So is the value the security of the ledger?
That is a very good question. I didn’t do a good job making an argument for why I think the value of a currency like Bitcoin could be so much higher than an altcoin that did an ICO. In my opinion, Bitcoin has the first mover advantage in this space. It was the first real use of the blockchain, is still the gateway to pretty much every other crypto currency, there is a maximum supply of coins, and is one of the only c…
Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#35Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#36Whenever I hear of "bubble" I am reminded of this quote - "“The market can stay irrational a lot longer than you can stay solvent!” So yes it may be a bubble- but the bubble may very last a few months, a few years, or a few decades...who knows?
Agreed. It's too bad there aren't effective mechanisms to go short though, so people who think we're at a peak can back their view with money.
Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#37I think there is a difference between a cryptocurrency bubble and an ICO bubble, and this article fails to distinguish between the two. You can see Tom Lee, a financial strategist, talk about Bitcoin here: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/15/bitcoin-could-surge-another-... He points out that there are only 300,000 Bitcoin wallets that hold $5,000 or more. In the grand scheme of things that is very small compared to the o…
Noob question... What is the "product" that underlies the value of cryptocurrency that is so much more valuable than what underlies an ICO? What is the value of a machine churning hashes? It seems like the value is underlied by securing a transaction ledger + an arbitrarily difficult math problem. So is the value the security of the ledger?
That hasn't existed before.
Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#38I don't see the NY Times writing articles about AMD being in a bubble...
Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#39I think there is a difference between a cryptocurrency bubble and an ICO bubble, and this article fails to distinguish between the two. You can see Tom Lee, a financial strategist, talk about Bitcoin here: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/15/bitcoin-could-surge-another-... He points out that there are only 300,000 Bitcoin wallets that hold $5,000 or more. In the grand scheme of things that is very small compared to the o…
> if it really does become the money of the future then the prices now are going to look like pennies in five or ten years time. Yeah, that's literally exactly why it is a bubble. It's a big if, but that's how you rationalize entering the market.
This article is an interesting read and seems to suggest something like that:
https://medium.com/@mcasey0827/speculative-bitcoin-adoption-...
Re: Is There a Cryptocurrency Bubble? Just Ask Doge
#40> A group of Bay Area programmers this year used an I.C.O. to raise $35 million for their project, an anonymous web browser called Brave As in Brave, the new browser from Brendan Eich (founder of Mozilla, famously invented JavaScript in 10 days)? Hardly a scam... Either the reporter didn't do their research or twisted the facts to fit their story.
The scam was not so much with Brave, but how the BAT token was distributed. There were 184 investors in the BAT ICO -- is this a fair distribution for what is proposed to be the new attention economy? The scam is in the back end of how ICO's are run. Even if the project is legit, doesn't mean the token distribution was legit. $35m in 30 seconds?? More details: https://medium.com/the-bitcoin-podcast-blog/a-look-at-the…