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Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

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Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#31
post #4

Wow, if they're giving that much away to EV buyers, just think how much they'll hand out to people who walk to work!

yeah as someone that bikes 25 miles per day for commute it kinda bothers me how many tax breaks are given to other forms of commute like trains, buses, vansharing, EV, etc.

Wait, we are talking push-bike here, right? Because subsidies for electric motorcycles should totally be a thing.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#32

It's hardly a "bailout" when Tesla generates more revenue for the state than these tax credits are worth. The sales tax alone on many of the current models exceeds this tax credit.

> Tesla generates more revenue for the state than these tax credits are worth California collects a 7.5% sales tax on the purchase of new vehicles [1]. A $40,000 car would thus generate $3,000 of state sales tax income. That appears to be much less than the value of the proposed credits. [1] https://www.salestaxhandbook.com/california/sales-tax-vehicl...

And even then, absent the existence of Tesla, similar money would be spent on a competing vehicle anyway.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#33

I don't understand why they are singling out Tesla here. There are currently 4 other large volume production EV's being sold in California (Nissan Leaf, Hyundai Ioniq, Chevy Bolt, BMW i3). EV's make good sense both economically and environmentally for California in the long run, but we still need the tax incentives for the next few years until battery costs come down with new production capacity.

Because the benefits of the subsidy are disproportionately given to companies that exhaust federal subsidies. And Tesla will be the only one to do that for some time. EV's don't make good sense "economically" for California yet. It's not unreasonable to wait until battery costs come down so mass adoption comes naturally. They do make sense environmentally, but there is a far better way to compensate them for the actu…

I don't understand why there's a need for complex cap and trade schemes to deal with carbon emissions from vehicles when there is a perfectly simple way of adding a cost to driving a carbon-emitting vehicle. Just add more taxes to gas. Taxing the vehicles unfairly punishes people who drive gas vehicles but organize their life in such a way that they don't need to drive many miles. Who is more environmentally friendly, someone who drives 60 miles per day in a vehicle that gets 60 miles per gallon or someone who drives 10 miles per day in a vehicle that gets 20 miles per gallon? For that matter, electricity isn't 100% renewable, even in CA, so even people driving fully-electric vehicles will also have some carbon impact, which should be, likewise, taxed. Carbon emissions are an externality and we should be treating them as such.

Taxing vehicle sales and offering subsidies are dumb ways to incentivize reducing environmental impact. Instead, just tax that environmental impact directly and don't punish people who figure out how to live environmentally friendly using older, less environmentally friendly technology. People and companies will adjust their behavior accordingly. As a bonus, instead of costing the state billions, the state will collect billions, so they can spend the money building out renewable energy infrastructure, planting trees, creating more state parks and other programs that benefit the environment.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#34

I don't understand why they are singling out Tesla here. There are currently 4 other large volume production EV's being sold in California (Nissan Leaf, Hyundai Ioniq, Chevy Bolt, BMW i3). EV's make good sense both economically and environmentally for California in the long run, but we still need the tax incentives for the next few years until battery costs come down with new production capacity.

Because the benefits of the subsidy are disproportionately given to companies that exhaust federal subsidies. And Tesla will be the only one to do that for some time. EV's don't make good sense "economically" for California yet. It's not unreasonable to wait until battery costs come down so mass adoption comes naturally. They do make sense environmentally, but there is a far better way to compensate them for the actu…

>It's not unreasonable to wait until battery costs come down so mass adoption comes naturally.

But how will battery costs come down if no one invests in it? You sound like the people in my country, forever waiting for the price of wind turbines to drop.

The Danish, German and Dutch government handed out massive subsidies for the first wind parks. Now, because of those subsidies, subsequent wind turbine parks can be built without any subsidies.

But that would've never been possible without those initial investments.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#35

I don't understand why they are singling out Tesla here. There are currently 4 other large volume production EV's being sold in California (Nissan Leaf, Hyundai Ioniq, Chevy Bolt, BMW i3). EV's make good sense both economically and environmentally for California in the long run, but we still need the tax incentives for the next few years until battery costs come down with new production capacity.

Because the benefits of the subsidy are disproportionately given to companies that exhaust federal subsidies. And Tesla will be the only one to do that for some time. EV's don't make good sense "economically" for California yet. It's not unreasonable to wait until battery costs come down so mass adoption comes naturally. They do make sense environmentally, but there is a far better way to compensate them for the actu…

There is no guarantee that battery costs will come down naturally. The point of the subsidy is to help drive demand long enough so that the market forces have time to work on bringing those costs down. And even then, there is no guarantee that this will work. But batteries are a critical technology for many reasons (particularly the grid), so it makes sense to target this technology specifically. Look at what the CSI program did to CA's solar industry for an example of how fast a well planned incentive program can bootstrap an industry.

Also, CA already has a cap and trade program (a bill just passed to extend the program another 10 years). It has been around since 2012.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#36

It's hardly a "bailout" when Tesla generates more revenue for the state than these tax credits are worth. The sales tax alone on many of the current models exceeds this tax credit.

> Tesla generates more revenue for the state than these tax credits are worth California collects a 7.5% sales tax on the purchase of new vehicles [1]. A $40,000 car would thus generate $3,000 of state sales tax income. That appears to be much less than the value of the proposed credits. [1] https://www.salestaxhandbook.com/california/sales-tax-vehicl...

> A $40,000 car would thus generate $3,000 of state sales tax income. That appears to be much less than the value of the proposed credits.

Tesla sells expensive cars, revenue per car is currently near $90.000.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don't understand why they are singling out Tesla here. Because clearly the included plug-in hybrid subsidy is obviously a handout to Tesla, which doesn't even participate in that market. Or because it's a hit piece that doesn't cite anything in the actual bill, only claims in an email from a hostile legislator and reporting by other news outlets.

Why would any govt want to subsidize hybrids? isn't their goal to be all electric by 2050 something?

> Why would any govt want to subsidize hybrids?

Because for many common usage patterns, plug-in hybrids get nearly all the emissions benefits of full-electric vehicles, but a practical for people to use who have a small fraction of use where a full EV would not currently be suitable for reasons of range and state of fast-charging infrastructure.

> isn't their goal to be all electric by 2050 something?

The real goal is reducing greenhouse gas emissions. But, a subgoal of that cited by the governor's executive order that this bill cites is a target to have “virtually all” personal vehicle transportation be zero-emission by 2050. Some (possibly even significant) share of personal transport being by PHV that are used mostly within their all-electric range would not be incompatible with that.

And, in any case, the PHV subsidy in the bill phases out more than 25 years before 2050, because PHVs are seen mostly as a bridge, not a end-goal solution.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#38

The Business Insider piece sourced it's information on what the bill does not on the bill text, but on a combination of an advocacy email from an opposed legislator and reporting by the Mercury News. The rebate plan does not do at all what the article claims; specifically, for instance, it does not establish a new general rebate that is designed to match the difference between an electric vehicle's price and that of…

FYI, in case the reference to Business Insider in the above seems odd, the mods have apparently not only changed the headline to a more clickbait one than it used to be, but also ibexplicably changed the source article from a BI article to a nearly-identical (to the point that if they were turned in in a the same class in school, the putative authors would probably be hauled in to answer questions about plagiarism) WolfStreet article.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#39
post #4

Wow, if they're giving that much away to EV buyers, just think how much they'll hand out to people who walk to work!

> Wow, if they're giving that much away to EV buyers, just think how much they'll hand out to people who walk to work!

Well, if you walk (or bike) to work, your public subsidy is not paying gas taxes (and, having the option to not even pay regular sales tax on your fuel.) If your personal vehicle choice is “I walk or bike everywhere, so I don't need a car”, your additional public subsidy is not paying Vehicle License Fee.

Sure, those are actually public levies on those making the alternative choice, but that's equivalent to a public subsidy for your choice, just with a shift in what is the baseline case.

Re: Is California Bailing Out Tesla through the Backdoor?

#40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don't understand why they are singling out Tesla here. Because clearly the included plug-in hybrid subsidy is obviously a handout to Tesla, which doesn't even participate in that market. Or because it's a hit piece that doesn't cite anything in the actual bill, only claims in an email from a hostile legislator and reporting by other news outlets.

Why would any govt want to subsidize hybrids? isn't their goal to be all electric by 2050 something?

Probably nothing to do with decision makers being aggressively lobbied by major car-makers that would prefer to make the easier-to-sell hybrids than full-blown electric cars.
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