Earlier quoted context omitted.
I've long believed those numbers were faked by Anthropic/OpenAI to serve as a form of advertisement. The estimates are impossible to verify and their ability to do "2 days of work" in 10 minutes will presumably make the user go "Wow, I just saved SO much time!" Plus, the unnecessary text eats up the users' tokens so it helps the companies on the backend, as well.
> the estimates It doesn't estimate. It generates tokens that read like estimates associated with the context in its training material. What would you expect the generator to output instead?
Sure it cannot think like a human, but given it's input, it should give a good statistical answer (approximating not of how long it actually takes, but what a human would say how long it takes).