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Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

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291–300 of 378 posts

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#291
post #267

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The market discounts future returns but it is unclear and shifting what proportion of those returns are from the operations of the company in the market it sells products in and what proportion comes from the operations of traders in financial markets. More plainly, traders discount returns from buybacks and dividends financed by the operations of the company and returns from selling their shares to "greater fools".…

What is it about FSD that results in this valuation though? If elon builds a time machine and goes to the future to get FSD tech from 100 years from now and rolls it out to all teslas tomorrow, what will change? Will every car driver get rid of their cars and get a tesla? Will that suddenly justify the stupid valuation? Realistically, I don't think the majority of drivers will care that much. Sure, their sales will g…

> there is no moat in FSD.

Being a really really hard problem is a moat. Many have tried and given up already: Uber, Cruise, etc.

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#293
post #99

Poor Elon. How's he gonna get to Mars^H^H^H^Hthe Moon now? Oh right, the same way he built Tesla: government handouts.

SpaceX is making that majority (70%) of its revenue, and all of its profits from Starlink, and mostly from subscriptions. 98% of government money SpaceX receives is payment for services rendered, which they provide at a significantly lower cost than their competitors. On the other hand, their competitors are routinely receiving actual handouts. For example, ULA used to receive a $1 billion annual "Launch Capability"…

I'm not saying he's not providing services. Tesla shipped cars and chargers for its govt money too. But I'm also saying they wouldn't have been in business without it. Elon is one of the great scam artists of our age, and a huge part of that is reliant on the taxpayer (when not reliant on SV investors and feeble-brained stock market)

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#294
post #163

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tesla have recently started introducing unsupervised cars cars as well.

Yes, they moved the "safety driver" into a chase car. And the results speak for themselves. https://www.gurufocus.com/news/8623960/tesla-tsla-robotaxi-c...

And seemingly only along one stretch of road? Like, this happened in Dublin in 2018: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/driverles... - going up and down a stretch of road is about as easy as it gets.

> Mr Keegan said he was “pretty confident” that in “the next five to 10 years” driverless vehicles would “make a major contribution in terms of sustainable transport” on Dublin’s streets.

As always, people were overoptimistic back then, too. There are currently no driverless vehicles in Dublin at all, with none expected anytime soon unless you count the metro system (strictly speaking driverless, but clearly not what he was talking about).

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#295

The mystery I can wrap my head around is how Tesla has avoided getting hammered despite being hit from a hundred different directions. What exactly is the market pricing in? They peaked around 2021, and even after posting multiple quarters of disappointing results, the stock is still trading above 2021 levels. For almost any other company, slightly lowering guidance or missing estimates by a few percentage points sim…

Actually the funny thing is that there is a mixing of meme stuff, Elon verse impacts (AI + self driving + Energy) etc. and under none of these circumstances is a 200+ PE justified.

The funny thing is after 6 years of effort apparently they have managed to get the dry coating process for batteries working and according to a few reputed sources have ingredients for entire battery chain available locally.

The thing is if this stock was underpriced and rational this would be such a positive news after 2-3 years of growth stall.

Instead they are trying to keep the hype up with endless goalpost changing and self driving possibly stuck perenially in edge case doom scenario with camera only decision

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#296
post #163

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tesla have recently started introducing unsupervised cars cars as well.

Yes, they moved the "safety driver" into a chase car. And the results speak for themselves. https://www.gurufocus.com/news/8623960/tesla-tsla-robotaxi-c...

A bus crashing into a stationary Tesla counts as a crash for Tesla? What in the world is this metric?

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#297

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They are being sarcastic.

Poe's Law applies here. Especially on HN, especially with respect to Musk. There are a disturbing number of people here who have fully bought into his lies.

Are there any known examples of Musk cult members being successfully deprogrammed? I know there are a couple examples of hardcore MAGA people seeing the light.

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#298

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's a lot of true believers who think Tesla+Musk will crack self driving and/or humanoid robots any day now.

Meanwhile in China, the humanoid robots are doing Tai Chi and somersaults...

But Tesla doesn't do all this even more and better!

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#299
post #276
post #145

I watched his interview recently to save you time, and the suffer : His Vision — Hate It, Laugh at It, or Love It: AI has solved (or is solving) coding in 2026. Robots are doing drunken panda moves, yet FSD is insanely good — running on MacBook-grade hardware. A few other companies are running large-scale self-driving pilots. Cars are already being heavily built using specialized robots today. At this point, it’s stu…

As a software developer I only really started to understand how divorced from reality Elon is when he started talking about software development. That was a sinking feeling: "Oh he doesn't actually know something I don't know. He's just keeping the music playing, so he doesn't have to sit down on the chairs that don't exist. Fuck."

yeah the recent “LLMs will just make the binary directly” comment should be a massive signal that the guys clueless

Re: Tesla Sales Down 55% UK, 58% Spain, 59% Germany, 81% Netherlands, 93% Norway

#300

The mystery I can wrap my head around is how Tesla has avoided getting hammered despite being hit from a hundred different directions. What exactly is the market pricing in? They peaked around 2021, and even after posting multiple quarters of disappointing results, the stock is still trading above 2021 levels. For almost any other company, slightly lowering guidance or missing estimates by a few percentage points sim…

Actually the funny thing is that there is a mixing of meme stuff, Elon verse impacts (AI + self driving + Energy) etc. and under none of these circumstances is a 200+ PE justified. The funny thing is after 6 years of effort apparently they have managed to get the dry coating process for batteries working and according to a few reputed sources have ingredients for entire battery chain available locally. The thing is i…

Batteries are boring, or at least the hype has a short shelf life. There are enough normies making progress on batteries that Elon hasn't got a credible argument that he is different and better.

Same for cheap Teslas. Some hype trains hit the buffers sooner than later.

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