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America’s incarceration rate is in decline

theatlantic.com

291–300 of 586 posts

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#291

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lack of boredom is also a factor. Social media and modern games are keeping them occupied.

People also have fewer possessions worth stealing and trying to hock? It's not like TVs and radios cost that much anymore. People wear less jewelry. Though this is not a significant factor, it might be worth putting on the list still.

Also, TVs have gotten way larger on the screen size, making them harder to transport in a hurry, and are often screwed to the wall.

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#292
post #216

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Australia has had pretty terrible “jail children like adults” opinions for a long time. Politics in Melbourne constantly turns on fears of youth [black immigrant] crime waves that are making people afraid to leave the house. https://raisetheage.org.au/

Queensland seems to be making a lot of noise about that at the moment as well. Seems to be this weird reasoning (and I know it has cropped up in the US too) that - if they did an 'adult' crime they should be tried as an adult. It totally ignores what we know about developing brains - they are not fully developed, they don't consider consequences the same way as older people. That's not to say they should be allowed t…

> That's not to say they should be allowed to 'get away with it', but we need to take into account that it's not really the same thing as adults doing it.

However, they -clearly- do get away with it, continually the current method of punishment is not deterring them from crime. These are not 'oh he made poor decisions style crimes', you're not paying attention or are not living in this area if you think so.

I wish i could dig up the study from Townsville crime statistics (this is the closest i could find https://statements.qld.gov.au/statements/101697 )

The key takeway is:

“The residents living in these areas have been let down for too long under the former Government who allowed serious repeat youth offenders to avoid adequate punishment and let them continue to terrorise these communities,”

Current deterrents clearly are not working. There are only so many levers the government can pull. Children learn poor lessons and inadequate supervision from their families, but if they are taken from their home the media screams 'stolen generation' so in the end individuals terrorised by them have to deal with the burden of their continued long term criminal behavior.

You may believe that children can be rehabilitated, I'd dearly love this to be the truth, however my observations show that its not a reflection of reality.

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#293

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Society itself is broken. You SHOULD be able to graduate high school and make enough to support yourself and a family with a bit of struggle This has literally only been true for about 30 years out of the sum total of human history, would you like to guess when those 30 years happened to be? Obviously the answer is "1950s america". For the rest of human history, you needed something beyond the education you receive…

You might want to brush up on your history. Aside from the peer comment pointing out the bleedingly obvious, there's also a bit of history here: In 1907 Justice Henry Bourne Higgins, President of the Commonwealth Conciliation and Arbitration Court, set the first federally arbitrated wages standard in Australia. Using the Sunshine Harvester Factory as a test case, Justice Higgins took the pioneering approach of hearin…

Can a man support a family of 5 on minimum wage in Australia, or did it stop working?

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#294
post #277

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I'd argue that the best time to get kids is as a university student. You get free daycare, the government doubles your stipend (and it's extended), your housing subsidy increases, you generally have more free time as a student... Where... where do you live? I'm all for having kids as soon as possible, but I was barely able to provide for just myself during university.

I'm in Denmark. You get around $1100 per month from the government as a university student, you then get around the same amount per child (not sure if a couple get half of that each). Still if you're two students, with a child, that's at least $3300 a month. That's not a lot of money, but there are also government loans you can get, and again, free daycare and subsidies for housing. It's not a get rich scheme, but it…

That's amazing.

I'm in Spain, absolutely different landscape here. I guess your government is trying to boost both higher education and birth rates.

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#295
post #178

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This wasn’t even a first date, it was like she said hi to me at an event and just started taking about having a family. Felt really awkward for small talk. My point was the economy should support having a family in your 20s if that’s what you want to do. You shouldn’t need a well paid career, a quality lifestyle that supports a family should be available for everyone. I imagine universal health care, paid family leav…

I do agree with your point about society. The reason we waited are way beyond monetary issues, and we would have waited regardless, but people should be able to support a family without an “advanced” career if they choose so.

I think it would be hard to find someone that does not agree with you on the street.

These conversations should not need to happen but they do because of the current inequality that exists. A couple can't change the world so they talk about these things since it's their best option

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#296
post #216

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Queensland seems to be making a lot of noise about that at the moment as well. Seems to be this weird reasoning (and I know it has cropped up in the US too) that - if they did an 'adult' crime they should be tried as an adult. It totally ignores what we know about developing brains - they are not fully developed, they don't consider consequences the same way as older people. That's not to say they should be allowed t…

> That's not to say they should be allowed to 'get away with it', but we need to take into account that it's not really the same thing as adults doing it. However, they -clearly- do get away with it, continually the current method of punishment is not deterring them from crime. These are not 'oh he made poor decisions style crimes', you're not paying attention or are not living in this area if you think so. I wish i…

I’m not trying to play down any problems or say nothing should be done.

In fact I’m not expressing any beliefs other than the (very well supported) notion that children’s brains are not fully developed and therefore they shouldn’t be dealt with in the same way as adults because that’s just dumb and is likely not to help.

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#297

Problem isn't with people who are in prison. Problem is with people who are out of prison with prison experience - most of them are thoroughly criminalised for life. So one should count people who served serious time behind bars, and now out - ideally, age-corrected, because people age out of crime and someone who got in jail at 18 and left at 50 is probably ok and isn't a big danger. That is the metric that society…

It's essentially that once you leave prison you have zero resources, usually all your friends are gone, often your family shuns you, you can't get a job due to your record and lack of skills, you can't rent any accommodation due to background checks, and you are on a knife-edge parole that will send you back for any tiny infraction.

And it's easy for someone to just give in and go back to prison. Prison is only scary the first time. After that you walk back in and meet people you know who don't judge you. You know the staff. You know the routines. Do a few more years for the parole violation and see if things have changed next time around. If not, repeat ad infinitum.

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#298

Is it possible that incarceration had the intended effect? Did an entire generation grow up seeing their fathers and uncles locked up and decide that there must be a better way?

Absolutely not at all. I have a lot of experience with the justice system and I can tell you that incarceration has almost no positive benefits for those that are redeemable.

And for those who cannot function in the real world (i.e. serious untreatable mental problems resulting in constant criminality) we need to find a softer way to keep them separated from being able to harm the public.

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#299
post #236

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is your proof that it will not decline further? If you have no proof, then at the very least the cause must be investigated. After all, the concern is that the current rate of declining birth rate, means extinction in a few centuries. You don't just shrug that off and say "oh well, it'll probably be just fine."

We don't just shrug off the fantasy that there will be zero children born in "a couple of centuries"?? What on earth am I reading?

You should play a game of Age of Empires, and have your Villager population halved at some point of the game. See what happens then.

Re: America’s incarceration rate is in decline

#300
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

not forgetting that CCTV is absolutely ubiquitous and high def, where previously it was reasonably rare and low quality

I am doubtful widespread recordings are making much of a change. Unless you are Luigi Mangione, are police actually following video footage trying to tie up a crime? Even with a city wide alert, he almost escaped. It has been a common refrain that someone has an AirTag or other electronic surveillance they used to identify a thief, for which the police do nothing.

They actually do use the footage in a lot of cases. Bigger cities often have staff dedicated to just trying to extract raw footage from Temu-quality CCTV recording devices that most places own.
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