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Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

mistral.ai

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Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#291
post #254

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's because DeepSeek was a fast copy. That was the easy part and it's why they didn't have to use so much compute to get near the top. Going well beyond o3 or 2.5 Pro is drastically more expensive than fast copy. China's cultural approach to building substantial things produces this sort of outcome regularly, you see the same approach in automobiles, planes, Internet services, industrial machinery, military, et al.…

Not disagreeing with the overarching point but: > That was the easy part Is a bit hand-wavy in that it doesn't explain why it's only DeepSeek who can do this "easy" thing, but still not Meta, Mistral or anyone else really. There are many other players who have way more compute than DeepSeek (even inside China, not even considering rest of the world), and I can assure you more or less everyone trains on synthetic data…

They all have. I don't hope to convince you of that, everyones use case differs. Generally, AIME / prose / code benchmarks that don't involve successive tool calls are used to hide some very dark realities.

IMHO tool calling is by far the most clearly economically valuable function for an LLM, and r1 self-admittedly just...couldn't do it.

There's a lot of puff out there that's just completely misaligned with reality, ex. Gemini 2.5 Pro is by far the worst tool caller, Gemini 2.5 Flash thinking is better, 2.5 Flash is even better. And either Llama 4 beats all Gemini 2.5s except 2.5 Flash not thinking.

I'm all for "these differences will net out in the long run", Google's at least figured out how to micro optimize for Aider edit formatting without tools. Over the last 3 months, they're up 10% on edit performance. But it's horrible UX to have these specially formatted code blocks in the middle of prose. They desperately need to clean up their absurd tool-calling system. But I've been saying that for a year now. And they don't take it seriously, at all. One of their most visible leads tweeted "hey what are the best edit formats?" and a day later is tweeting the official guide for doing edits. I'm a Xoogler and that absolutely reeks of BigCo dysfunction - someone realized a problem 2 months after release and now we have "fixed" it without training, and now that's the right way to do things. Because if it isn't, well, what would we do? Shrugs

I'm also unsure how much longer it's worth giving a pass on this stuff. Everyone is competing on agentic stuff because that's the golden goose, real automation, and that needs tools. It would be utterly unsurprising to me for Google to keep missing a pain signal on this, vis a vis Anthropic, which doubled down on it mid-2024.

As long as I'm dumping info, BFCL is not a good proxy for this quality. Think "converts prose to JSON" not "file reading and editing"

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#292

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>with the technology plateau-ing People were claiming that since year 2022. Where's the plateau?

The pre-training plateau is real. Nearly all the improvements since then have been around fine tuning and reinforcement learning, which can only get you so far. Without continued scaling in the base models, the hope of AGI is dead. You cannot reach AGI without making the pre-training model itself a whole lot better, with more or better data, both of which are in short supply.

> with more or better data, both of which are in short supply

Hmmm. It's almost as if a company without a user data stream like OpenAI would be driven to release an end-user device for the sole purpose of capturing more training data...

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#293

Earlier quoted context omitted.

With how amazing the first R1 model was and how little compute they needed to create it, I'm really wondering how the new R1 model isn't beating o3 and 2.5 Pro on every single benchmark. Magistral Small is only 24B and scores 70.7% on AIME2024 while the 32B distill of R1 scores 72.6%. And with majority voting @64 the Magistral Small manages 83.3%, which is better than the full R1. Since I can run a 24B model on a reg…

It's because DeepSeek was a fast copy. That was the easy part and it's why they didn't have to use so much compute to get near the top. Going well beyond o3 or 2.5 Pro is drastically more expensive than fast copy. China's cultural approach to building substantial things produces this sort of outcome regularly, you see the same approach in automobiles, planes, Internet services, industrial machinery, military, et al.…

This terrible and vague stereotyping about "China" while having no clue about the subject should have no place on HN but somehow always creeps in and is upvoted by someone. DeepSeek is not "China", they had nobody to copy from, they released their first 7B reasoning model back in April 2024, it was ahead of then-SotA models in math and validated their approach. They did a ton of new things besides training a reasoning model, and likely have more to come, as they have a completely different background than most AI companies. It's more of a cross-pollination of different areas of expertise.

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#294
post #256
post #219

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think there's a fundamental limit to benchmarks when it comes to real-world utility. The best option would be more like a user survey.

That's Chatbot Arena: https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard

And unfortunately revealed to be largely a vibe check these days with that whole Llama 4 debacle. But why should we be surprised, really, when users have an easier time feeling if the replies sound human and conversational and _appear_ knowledgeable than actually outsmarting them. This Arena worked well in the ChatGPT 3.0 days… But now?

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#295
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

any claim from the deepseek folks should be considered with wide margins of error.

I know we distrust them on account of being nefarious Chinese, but has anything come to light with R1 or the people behind it specifically to justify this?

"Deepseek only cost $6 million"?

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#296

As a quick test of logical reasoning and basic Wikipedia-level knowledge, I asked Mistral AI the following question: A Brazilian citizen is flying from Sao Paulo to Paris, with a connection in Lisbon. Does he need to clear immigration in Lisbon or in Paris or in both cities or in neither city? Mistral AI said that "immigration control will only be cleared in Paris," which I think is wrong. After I pointed it to the W…

Sounds to me like "immigration in Lisbon or in Paris or in both cities or in neither city" is a trick question, because (on top of immigration in Lisbon as the Schengen entry point) surely the traveller also needs to clear immigration in Sao Paulo (as the Brazil / Mercosur exit point)?

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#297
post #254

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not disagreeing with the overarching point but: > That was the easy part Is a bit hand-wavy in that it doesn't explain why it's only DeepSeek who can do this "easy" thing, but still not Meta, Mistral or anyone else really. There are many other players who have way more compute than DeepSeek (even inside China, not even considering rest of the world), and I can assure you more or less everyone trains on synthetic data…

They all have. I don't hope to convince you of that, everyones use case differs. Generally, AIME / prose / code benchmarks that don't involve successive tool calls are used to hide some very dark realities. IMHO tool calling is by far the most clearly economically valuable function for an LLM, and r1 self-admittedly just...couldn't do it. There's a lot of puff out there that's just completely misaligned with reality,…

I don't mind the info dump, but I am struggling to connect the relevance of this to topic at hand. I mean, focusing on a single specific capability and generalising it to mean "they all have" caught up with DeepSeek all across the board (which was the original topic) is a reductive and wild take. Especially when it seems to me that this seems more because of misaligned incentive than because it's truly a hard problem.

I am not really invested in this niche topic but I will observe that, yes I agree Llama 4 is really good here. And yet it's a far worse coder, far less intelligent than DeepSeek and that's not even arguable. So no it didn't "catch up" any more than what you could say by pointing out Llama is multimodal but DeepSeek isn't. That's just talking about a different things entirely.

Regardless, I do agree BFCL is not the best measure either, the Tau-bench is more real world relevant. But end of the day, most frontier labs are not incentive aligned to care about this. Meta cares because this is something Zuck personally cares about, Llama models are actually for small businesses solving grunt automation, not for random people coding at home. People like Salesforce care (xLAM), even China had GLM before DeepSeek was a thing. DeepSeek might care so long as it looks good for coding benchmarks, but that's pretty much the extent of it.

And I suspect Google doesn't truly care because in the long run they want to build everything themselves. They already have a CodeAssist product around coding which likely uses fine-tune of their mainline Gemini models to do something even more specific to their plugin.

There is a possibility that at the frontier, models are struggling to be better in a specific and constrained way, without getting worse at other things. It's either this, or even Anthropic has gone rogue because their Aider scores are way down now from before. How does that make sense if they are supposed to be all around better at agentic stuff in tool agnostic way? Then you realise they now have Claude Coder and it just makes way more economic sense to tie yourself to that, be context inefficient to your heart's content so that you can burn tokens instead of being, you know, just generally better.

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#298
post #297

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They all have. I don't hope to convince you of that, everyones use case differs. Generally, AIME / prose / code benchmarks that don't involve successive tool calls are used to hide some very dark realities. IMHO tool calling is by far the most clearly economically valuable function for an LLM, and r1 self-admittedly just...couldn't do it. There's a lot of puff out there that's just completely misaligned with reality,…

I don't mind the info dump, but I am struggling to connect the relevance of this to topic at hand. I mean, focusing on a single specific capability and generalising it to mean "they all have" caught up with DeepSeek all across the board (which was the original topic) is a reductive and wild take. Especially when it seems to me that this seems more because of misaligned incentive than because it's truly a hard problem…

> I am struggling to connect the relevance of this

> focusing on a single specific capability and

> I am not really invested in this niche topic

Right: I definitely ceded a "but it doesn't matter to me!" argument in my comment.

I sense a little "doth protest too much", in the multiple paragraphs devoted to taking that and extending it to the underpinning of automation is "irrelevant" "single" "specific", "niche".

This would also be news to DeepSeek, who put a lot of work to launch it in the r1 update a couple weeks back.

Separately, I assure you, it would be news to anyone on the Gemini team that they don't care because they want to own everything. I passed this along via DM and got "I wish :)" in return - there's been a fire drill trying to improve it via AIDER in the short term, is my understanding.

If we ignore that, and posit there is an upper management conspiracy to suppress performance, its just getting public cover by a lower upper management rush to improve scores...I guess that's possible.

Finally, one of my favorite quotes is "when faced with a contradiction, first check your premises" - to your Q about why no one can compete with DeepSeek R1 25-01, I'd humbly suggest you may be undergeneralizing, given even tool calls are "irrelevant" and "niche" to you.

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#299

As a quick test of logical reasoning and basic Wikipedia-level knowledge, I asked Mistral AI the following question: A Brazilian citizen is flying from Sao Paulo to Paris, with a connection in Lisbon. Does he need to clear immigration in Lisbon or in Paris or in both cities or in neither city? Mistral AI said that "immigration control will only be cleared in Paris," which I think is wrong. After I pointed it to the W…

This is deepseek-r1's answer:

```

Based on the Schengen Area rules for international travel:

Lisbon (Portugal) - Immigration clearance is required here. Since Lisbon is the first point of entry into the Schengen Area (and Brazil is outside Schengen), the passenger must clear immigration (passport control) in Lisbon. This is standard for all non-Schengen arrivals.

Paris (France) - No immigration clearance is needed. After clearing immigration in Lisbon, the onward flight to Paris is considered a domestic Schengen flight (no border checks within Schengen).

```

Re: Magistral — the first reasoning model by Mistral AI

#300

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Cool. What framework or program do you use to orchestrate this?

Me, Mistral and Claude writing modules on top of a homebrew assistant framework in node with a web frontend. I started out mostly handwriting the first couple modules and the framework for it. (todo and a time tracker) and now the AI is getting pretty good at replicating the patterns I like using, esp with some prompt engineering as long as I don't ask for entire architectures but just prod it along. It's just so eas…

Did you hook up any search tools?
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