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Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

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Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#281

My company still hasn’t been able to deploy wide access to Fable because it’s not available on a ZDR basis. This wasn’t mentioned in the article but I imagine this factor is not irrelevant.

ZDR for fable is coming, very soon.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#282
post #244

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What did they think was going to happen when they were actively doomsday fearmongering around the release of their own model? I assume somehow they thought this would lead to a moat with them being left safely inside the castle, but this response, and Reagan's 9 Words, were always infinitely more likely. It was a demonstration of a child-like level understanding of how regulatory capture works.

The PR from the US frontier labs has been poor to terrible from the beginning. Among other things, "we have stolen the collected works of your culture, now help us grow so that you can all lose your livelihoods and become our serfs" has to be one of the absolute worst marketing approaches in history.

>so that you can all lose your livelihoods and become our serfs

Crimemaxxing about to go off the charts!

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#283
post #113

Where Anthropic f'ed up was treating their monetization the way they treat model training. Turns out that success in experimentation is not transferrable. They have tried to find the highest that the market pays for sota models; however, on the consumer side, this is just too confusing and unsettling: "You can only use Fable for a week as a part of your plan" "Be ready! You have to start paying per token!" "Nevermind…

> They have tried to find the highest that the market pays for sota models; however, on the consumer side, this is just too confusing and unsettling:

The consumer side cheap monthly plans exist for the same reason companies like Cloudflare and Vercel have a free tier: When it’s cheap and easy to get developers familiar with the tools, they will push their companies to pay the real money for those tools.

It’s a hard balance with LLM serving because you can’t really make it free. $20/month is close to free, but the $200/month plans are in a difficult place where they’re big enough that many small companies pay for $200/month plans for their employees and ignore the enterprise features you get with the full expensive arrangements. So the companies are continually adjusting the $20-$200 plans to keep them from being reliable options for businesses, which is where the real money is.

There’s a short sighted cheering on of the 3rd tier and lower companies offering lower rates, but we’re already seeing them ratchet up the pricing and keep larger models closed after they get market attention.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I kind of still chill out on Opus 4.6 too. 4.8 is good too. I go between them. Opus 4.8 is a little smarter some of the time. Their use of language is both very different from Opus 5. Some of the time I have a hard time believing Opus 5 is even related to Opus 4.6 and 4.8.

I'm going to be sad when they retire 4.6. It's not my daily driver but it's still my go-to when the other models are being stupid in one way or another (either being too verbose, or lecturing me about how what I'm asking for is evil and bad).

Can you give an example? It's a bit entertaining to read this given all the years long (and still ongoing) posturing about LLM sycophancy (not that all of these couldn't be true at the same time).

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#285

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But Philippines is on Anthropics list of allowed countries?

It was flagged for account-sharing, or detecting a compromised account

How do you know there wasn't account sharing though?

I've seen some amazingly dodgy stuff when hiring people from south east Asia, sharing a paid account with friends worth a months rent there seems milquetoast in comparison.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#287
post #113

Where Anthropic f'ed up was treating their monetization the way they treat model training. Turns out that success in experimentation is not transferrable. They have tried to find the highest that the market pays for sota models; however, on the consumer side, this is just too confusing and unsettling: "You can only use Fable for a week as a part of your plan" "Be ready! You have to start paying per token!" "Nevermind…

Also you don’t want to connect to the pipe and then after the fact find they’ve started diluting arsenic into it.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#288

Transformer models are quickly becoming a commodity, and I suspect in time we'll all be running them locally. Even now, you can run something pretty useful on a 16 GB graphics card, and I suspect a decade into the future, entry level hardware will be running better models than high-end graphics cards can run now, as entry-level hardware gets better and models get more efficient. It doesn't mean hosted frontier models…

>and I suspect a decade into the future, entry level hardware will be running better models than high-end graphics cards can run now, as entry-level hardware gets better and models get more efficient. I doubt it. The play seems to be: lock what was once commodity compute up into datacenters depriving us regular folk of it, then sell it back to us on subscription. Even if my #NeverSubscribe movement succeeds, all that…

> The play seems to be: lock what was once commodity compute up into datacenters depriving us regular folk of it, then sell it back to us on subscription.

I had not considered that as a possibility. It is somewhat dark and unlikely, imho, but a real possibility.

I am more inclined to believe that the fab capacity will grow over time and "commodity" compute will be available to us all again.

However, I can also imagine going back to the 60s era "hyper verticalized" mainframes, in which case, the frontier labs might not just be producing models, but chips and an ecosystem around themselves and their suppliers/customers.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#289

Fable is just way too expensive and limited compared to GPT 5.6 Sol, and the only task that requires that level of intelligence is frontier scientific research. I use GPT/Codex primarily for coding and usually keep Claude on Sonnet 5 most of the time as I use Claude primarily to debug/brainstorm/make frontends as a supplement to GPT.

> the only task that requires that level of intelligence is frontier scientific research

Even fable is way below human level at many tasks. If fable were as good as you claim, all computer jobs other than "frontier scientific research" would have been replaced by now.

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