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Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

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Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#281

Post by michaelteter »

pear01 wrote: post #101
fraywing wrote: post #17

I'm growing pessimistic that this kind of activity + the egregious presidential-level crypto scams will never see justice. What's the path for that, really?

It's not that complicated. Elect a Democrat in 2028 who will nominate a strong AG, not a useless ditherer like Garland. What a disgraceful tenure he had. If he was going to take so long to bring charges he should have just avoided it. Instead he takes 3 years to bring all these charges which naturally look like election interference and as such are paused until they choke the election away and the new justice departm…

Doesn't matter whom you elect, at least not as far as righting wrongs. You might prevent more egregious wrongs from happening, but convincing Congress to return to rule of law is impossible when Congress is almost entirely funded by the same powerful interests who chose to put a lunatic in charge.

You're also up against a large population which has been brainwashed, and even if someone deprogrammed is still not intellectually capable of reasoning beyond their own immediate interests. In other words, a democracy where ignorant people can vote is ultimately doomed to look quite like what we have now.

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#282

Post by vkou »

edgyquant wrote: post #95
lynndotpy wrote: post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For starters, you're not alone in this feeling. A lot of us are very hungry for justice, and a lot of the Trump administrations current tactics are openly grappling with the reality of jailtime and restitution if they lose power. These are unusual times, and so people who are not usually inclined toward retribution are hungry for it. That said, it's hard to reconcile that with the fact that Democrats continue to be t…

The Democratic Party isn’t without its own corruption either. Pelosi is one of the best stock traders ever and there’s a reason why people voted for Trump. The border being open was criminal negligence and this isn’t just a conservative talking point cities like Seattle near the Canadian border were maxed out on services the could provide to migrants. Across the board our politicians are corrupt rule breakers, it doe…

> Pelosi is one of the best stock traders eve

For 90% of her tenure, her investments produced lower returns than an S&P500 ETF. The other 10% were all driven by NVDIA.

If she's the bar for one of the best stock traders ever, I must be a Buffet-level genius.

---

Why do people keep repeating this lie?

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#283

Post by SlightlyLeftPad »

keeganpoppen wrote: post #274

is anyone else really starting to get fucking tired of this bullshit? yes, it is not an unprecedented, nor unique, phenomenon, but, like, it just feels so blatant. and i say this as someone who doesn’t reflexively hate everything trump does. i do, of course, dislike most things he does, but i do so in what i consider to be a fairly sympathetic and open-minded way. but this is just, like… kleptocracy, no?

Yes I’ve been tired of the bullshit for a while. We’re living in one of the most overtly corrupt government regimes in the United States history. We’ve elected the practical equivalent to Al Capone. Meanwhile, homelessness has never been higher. Rent, food, gas, electricity, healthcare, and so on have never been higher. All while jobless rates are increasing, salaries are decreasing, benefits cut. Richer is getting richer. At what point does the scale tip?

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#284

Post by cmrdporcupine »

ngruhn wrote: post #250
metabagel wrote: post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think so. I think Trump just thought it would be easy and with no repercussions.

This. That man is not playing 4D chess. His only superpower is such blatant disregard for norms that he can do stuff everyone assumed is impossible.

Absolutely no way he's playing 4D chess but he is a very willing sock puppet for people much smarter than he is.

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#285

Post by actionfromafar »

pfannkuchen wrote: post #267
mmooss wrote: post #255

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The US would not win a ground war in Iran. Before every US war, people tend to think the US military and their $800 billion/year budget are unbeatable. But look at outcomes of significant US ground wars since WWII - only one clear victory: * Korea: Stalemate, which is still a problem now 70 years later * Vietnam: Loss * Gulf War: Victory * Afganistan: Loss, after 20 years of fighting * Iraq: Mixed results after 8 yea…

But if the goal was actually to destabilize those places then maybe it worked as intended?

If think assume too much competence. I'm sure there are various plans (ok maybe not with this "administration", their "plans" seems to be fast-forward grift) but I have very little confidence in them going in any particular direction.

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#286

Post by aucisson_masque »

zahlman wrote: post #273
inaros wrote: post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you run the numbers: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47504505 You will see, that anything else other than a ground invasion, is guaranteed to give Iran a war victory.

What does "victory" or "defeat" actually entail here? It's not as if the US risks any territory?

Victory or defeat as in war goal.

Trump war goal are to destroy Iranian nuclear capabilities, and to change the Iranian government.

If he succeed, victory. Otherwise, defeat.

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#287

Post by filoeleven »

ting0 wrote: post #174

There's no mystery here. His son Oil Barron Trump has been doing the same thing, along with Trump, in the crypto markets and online prediction markets for years now. They've made over a billion easy.

4 billion in one year [EDIT] in total, not just in crypto. https://www.npr.org/2026/01/14/nx-s1-5677024/trump-profits-m...

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#288

Post by aucisson_masque »

mmooss wrote: post #255
saidnooneever wrote: post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

if a ground invasion goes they will destroy oil trade and everyone is screwed. The war should not be won. it should be ended before everyone loses.

The US would not win a ground war in Iran. Before every US war, people tend to think the US military and their $800 billion/year budget are unbeatable. But look at outcomes of significant US ground wars since WWII - only one clear victory: * Korea: Stalemate, which is still a problem now 70 years later * Vietnam: Loss * Gulf War: Victory * Afganistan: Loss, after 20 years of fighting * Iraq: Mixed results after 8 yea…

> I hope

I sincerely hope too but the man is lunatic.

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#289

Post by aucisson_masque »

InitialLastName wrote: post #234
beachy wrote: post #192

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The same scenario played out in Vietnam. The US could never succeed because: - the enemy was intermingled with the "friendly" civilians, and they couldn't be told apart, leading to everyone being treated brutally and potential friends becoming enemies - the enemy was prepared to fight to the death, for years if need be, and knew they could outlast US public opinion - the enemy knew they could prevail because of centu…

Don't forget: - the enemy had plenty of material, technical and financial support from adversarial superpowers who were all too happy to see American lives, money and military resources wasted. That external support is not fully scaled up yet (despite clear reports of Russian intelligence support for Iran), but you can bet it would be in the event of a major ground assault, occupation, and/or counter-insurgency quagm…

> the enemy had plenty of material, technical and financial support from adversarial superpower

Vietcong weren't exactly fighting with 'plenty of material'. They used weapons from second world war, sometimes first world war, cheap Chinese crap..

Are you comparing that to Americans aircraft, bombs, helicopters ? It was as asymmetrical as it would be against Iran.

Re: Mystery jump in oil trading ahead of Trump post draws scrutiny

#290

Post by filoeleven »

jacquesm wrote: post #264
vonneumannstan wrote: post #207

This administration has taken grift and corruption to a level only seen in banana republics. I seriously don't know how you come back from this. GOP voters seem to be openly cheering it.

Banana republics can't hold a candle to this.

This is a bananas foster republic.
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