Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

fortune.com

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

281–290 of 309 posts

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#281

Post by johnnyanmac »

whstl wrote: post #280
johnnyanmac wrote: post #279

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>you are making assumptions about my experience. Can you please stop? You're 2 days into responding to a comment that amounted to "X depends on your exoerience". Is there something else you wish to get out of this thread? Your complaint is an opinion. I disagree with that opinion. Unless you wish to ask about my experiences or go into yours, what's there to discuss here? Without that, I feel I said all I could on the…

All I'm asking is for you to please stop dismissing my experience as lucky or privileged, or claiming I didn't have problems. I never said clients aren't difficult or that I only had good customers anywhere. Just that there might be worse problems elsewhere.

>please stop dismissing my experience as lucky or privileged

I'm not gonna harp on it. I'll go to bed and wake up completely forgetting about this thread unless I get another notification.

But you're basically telling me to shut off my feelings. Hard to do. I don't know your experiences, so my feelings can be wrong.

I'm unsure why you are putting so much stock into an uninformed feeling on the internet. It doesn't seem like we want to expand on our stories so there's not much more to go on. And that's fine.

I don't try to assert everything about you, but I'm just explaining the vibes I got. But that's all my words are: vibes.

>Just that there might be worse problems elsewhere

I love my industry and in my personal experience I can count on one hand how many truly problematic coilkeages I've worked with or under. I am lucky in that regard for my industry.

Meanwhile, clients and consumers constantly make me question if I want to continue this career long term. My plan was always to focus more on a B2B angle to insulate from that, but the current winds blowing suggest that angle might not even exist in a decade. So I want to at least have a side hustle ready.

And despite those notions, I'm still on the lucky end in terms of what third and even secondhand accounts I've heard of. Diving more into that pool is unsettling for me, but it might still be more stable than what's going on right now.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#282

Post by sarchertech »

copperx wrote: post #186
sarchertech wrote: post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups. Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?

Haven't you? I have! In another reply, I noted the avalanche of WisprFlow competitors, as just one example.

95% of all new startups have the word AI in the description, so of course there are lots of new API wrappers and people trying to build off of existing models.

There aren’t noticeably more total startups or projects though.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#283

Post by sarchertech »

vidarh wrote: post #187
sarchertech wrote: post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups. Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?

Because very few knows how to use AI . I teach AI courses on the side. I've done auditing supervised fine tuning and RLHF projects for a major provider. From seeing real prompts , many specifically from people who work with agents every day , people do not yet have the faintest clue how to productively prompt AI. A lot of people prompt them in ways that are barely coherent. Even if models stopped improving today, it'…

Sure there are people holding it wrong.

But there are thousands of people on social media claiming huge productivity gains. Surely at least 5% of devs are holding it right.

If a 10x boost is possible, we’d notice that. There are only 20k games a year released on steam.

If my hypothesis is true and the real final output boost is somewhere near 20%, we’re seeing exactly what you’d expect.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#284

Post by sarchertech »

h14h wrote: post #203
sarchertech wrote: post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups. Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?

My guess is that the true impact of this will be difficult to measure for a while. Most "single-person start-ups" will probably not be high-visibility VC-backed, YC affairs, and rather solopreneurs with a handful of niche moonlighted apps each making 3-4 digit monthly revenue.

Those would still be launching on places like product hunt though.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#285

Post by sarchertech »

rustystump wrote: post #155
sarchertech wrote: post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups. Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?

Because ai doesnt work like this “make me money” or “make stardew valley in space”. The hard part is the painful exploration and necessary taste to produce something useful. The number of these kind of people did not increase with ai. Eg, ai is a big multiplier but that doesnt mean it will translate to “more” in the way people think.

It doesn’t need to be useful or a good game to launch on steam. Surely if it was a “big multiplier” 5-10x, it would be noticeably impacting steam launches.

Now if it’s something closer to 20%, we’re seeing exactly what you’d expect.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#286

Post by sarchertech »

Bombthecat wrote: post #222
sarchertech wrote: post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups. Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?

Huh? Less games launched on steam? First time I hear that. Any source? But my guess would be: games are closed sourced and need physics. Which AI is bad at.

Just google “games released on steam by year”.

Many games don’t need physics, and there are a billion hobby projects on GitHub.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#287

Post by sarchertech »

copperx wrote: post #184
Morromist wrote: post #131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hear this every day, and I'm sure its true sometimes, but where is the tsunami of amazing software LLM users are producing? Where are the games that make the old games look like things from a bygone era? Where are the updates to the software that I currently use that greatly increase it capabilities? I have seen none of this. I get that it takes a long time to make software, but people were making big promises a ye…

Nowadays there are DOZENS of apps being launched solving the same problem. Have you ever looked for, say, WisprFlow alternatives? I had to compare like 10 extremely similar solutions. Apps have no moat nowadays. That's happening all over the place.

Look somewhere outside of the AI hype space. You’re seeing more AI competitors because it’s easy to build on top of someone’s existing model or API and everyone is trying to cash in. You saw the same thing with new crypto currency.

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#288

Post by sarchertech »

Bombthecat wrote: post #220
Morromist wrote: post #131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hear this every day, and I'm sure its true sometimes, but where is the tsunami of amazing software LLM users are producing? Where are the games that make the old games look like things from a bygone era? Where are the updates to the software that I currently use that greatly increase it capabilities? I have seen none of this. I get that it takes a long time to make software, but people were making big promises a ye…

Just check foundry vtt and it's modules. The amount of modules released exploded since AI.

That’s an incredibly niche area. From their website it looks like there are 4k modules available. Is there a way to see historical data. Also is number of users available, so that you can rule out popularity growth?

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#289

Post by davely »

sarchertech wrote: post #145
pickettd wrote: post #136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Reddit and GitHub are littered with people launching new projects and appear to be way more feature-rich than new tool/app launches from previous years. I think it is a lot harder to get noticed with a new tool/app new because of this increase in volume of launches. Also weekend hackathon events have completely/drastically changed as an experience in the last 2-3 years (expectations and also feature-set/polish of wor…

I have no way of verifying any of those. Something I can easily verify, new games launched on steam. January numbers are out and there were fewer games launched this January than last.

I’d be interested where you’re getting your data. SteamDB shows an accelerating trend of game releases over time, though comparing January 2026 to January 2025 directly shows a marginal gain [0].

This chart from a16z (scroll down to “App Store, Engage”) plots monthly iOS App Store releases each month and shows significant growth [1].

> After basically zero growth for the past three years, new app releases surged 60% yoy in December (and 24% on a trailing twelve month basis).

It’s completely anecdotal evidence but my own personal experience shows various sub-Reddit’s just flooded with AI assisted projects now, so much so that various pages have started to implement bans or limits of AI related posts (r/selfhosted just did this).

As far as _amazing software_ goes, that’s all a bit subjective. But there is definitely an increase happening.

[0] https://steamdb.info/stats/releases/

[1] https://www.a16z.news/p/charts-of-the-week-the-almighty-cons...

Re: IBM tripling entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption

#290

Post by kjkjadksj »

lazide wrote: post #269
kjkjadksj wrote: post #267

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Glueing the junk together is what the bengaluru office is for. You don’t need bay area comp for that.

‘at some point it needs to actually work’….

Which can be handled offshoring.
Post reply on HN