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Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

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281–290 of 423 posts

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I honestly can't wait to use used gpus as lego bricks similar to what kids in Weimar republic did with cash

Never gonna happen. Cash has no intrinsic value exccept maybe for use in fire / toiler paper. GPUs while currently inflated in price will always find enough value. Their price might go down 50-75% but never 99%

I've got an S3 VGA adapter to sell you at 25% of list price

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You actually get more, for the 1500€ you don't have to mess with sticks yourself. They solder it directly on your mainboard. If that isn't great service, I don't know what is.

I don’t know why you are getting downvoted. The sarcasm in the comment is pretty obvious.

I'm not sure if it's sarcasm or not, but either way it's just true

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#283
post #90

Earlier quoted context omitted.

shorter traces than soldered DIMM allow higher MT/s, this is fixed by CUDIMM/CAMM2, the other part of this is # of memory channels on the board, not sure why, but most consumer DDR5 boards have been 2 memory channels, you need to go to threadripper to get 4 or 8, It's unclear to me if this will still be an issue with future platforms.

You're not paying enough attention to the performance and cost impact of connectors and sockets. CAMM2/LPCAMM and CUDIMM have yet to be demonstrated operating at speeds that speeds that match the fastest soldered LPDDR, let alone GDDR; there's still a clear advantage for soldering memory. CPU sockets with more than two memory channels are also far more expensive; the higher pin count usually increases the number of l…

> Using BGA soldering for both the processor and the memory sidesteps a bunch of engineering challenges.

by trading them with longevity challenges.

Even though 2 decades have past after the "usual suspect" lead-free solder, gpu or vram chips needing a reball is still a common occurrence from a cursory look at YouTube channels of professional electronics repairmen.

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#284
post #263
post #227

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Now thinking of this from the other side, 2 big DRAM producers are taking the risk to dedicate a very big part of their production to AI and if we assume they also have similar deals with other AI companies or big datacenters, what is their risk profile if the AI bubble bursts? Are they viable as companies then ? What is their plan B ?

Their risks are none. They are not increasing capacity, only selling the available one to the highest bidder. Whenever these AI companies run out of money, these producers can simply resume their regular business.

It only depends on whether they get addicted to the high prices.. as long as they can withstand a collapse in the prices then you're right they have minimal risk

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#285
post #263

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Their risks are none. They are not increasing capacity, only selling the available one to the highest bidder. Whenever these AI companies run out of money, these producers can simply resume their regular business.

Not sure about DRAM companies, but many businesses would still go under if they sold their annual production to a company that then goes bankrupt and won't pay anything for the delivered goods.

Hopefully they get paid more than once a year. Their risk is completely dependent on 1. the net X days until they are paid, and 2. How fast they delay shipment when/if a payment is delayed.

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#286
post #65

Funny how many dot-com esq things are popping up. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DRAM_price_fixing_scandal

The big news story this cycle is that OpenAI secured two large contracts with two separate DRAM companies at the same time, carefully timing the deals so that neither DRAM company knew about the deal with other. Had either company known about the true demand from OpenAI they would have charged a lot more, but each only saw about half. In other words, there was no collusion between the DRAM manufacturers. They were bo…

I find it very hard to believe that two South Korea based Chaebol memory producers would have no wind of this from the other.. more likely is that they both agree that it is not in their or the nation's interest to take on too much of a risk profile... while also balancing the risk of appearing to be colluding.

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#287
post #7

To put this in long term relation. Even current DDR4 3200 DIMM prices are at an all time high. These are 6+ year old chip specs now! I even thought stuff was overpriced four years ago in mid-2021 already, but this is a whole new level. Some sample long term data for those: https://geizhals.eu/?phist=2151624&age=9999

anyone want to buy a 2x16 GB DDR4-3200 kit that only fails memtest86 some of the time?

Have you tried underclocking or loosening the timings?

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#289
post #265

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I honestly can't wait to use used gpus as lego bricks similar to what kids in Weimar republic did with cash

The most likely outcome is kids in third world countries extracting the valuable metals from piles of discarded GPUs.

After GPU crypto mining became unprofitable Chinese manufacturers took "mining only" cards, desoldered the GPU and built new graphics cards using the chips. So at least the lower end stuff (RTX6000) could be repurposed like that.

Re: Average DRAM price in USD over last 18 months

#290

https://www.mooreslawisdead.com/post/sam-altman-s-dirty-dram... On October 1st OpenAI signed two simultaneous deals with Samsung and SK Hynix for 40% of the worlds DRAM supply... the shock wasn’t that OpenAI made a big deal, no, it was that they made two massive deals this big, at the same time, with Samsung and SK Hynix simultaneously! In fact, according to our sources - both companies had no idea how big each other…

Novice question: If they built something other than classic dram modules with the wafers maybe they could achieve faster bus speeds? How does Apple do it?

> How does Apple do it?

Apple uses off the shelf LPDDR modules. They have nothing whatsoever special about them.

Apple gets high bandwidth out of these modules not with high bus speeds, but with a very, very wide bus. This is expensive on the SoC side (requires a large die, which is why others don't necessarily do this), but allows for commodity memory modules.

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