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Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

cleantechnica.com

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Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#281
post #254

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The only sense in which "electricity" could be said to be fluid is in its definition. There's no such physical quantity, it's just a vague term for a variety of phenomena.

It flows, you use fluid equations to describe it's state. I will grant that it flows in a different medium than molecular fluids. but that does not prevent it from being a fluid. As for what is flowing, my understanding is that it is electrons in an em field. which if you think about it is almost the same thing that is flowing in a molecular fluid, only that has drag a bunch of protons around at the same time limitin…

What is "static electricity" then?

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The stop-start nature of city busses makes them a real low hanging fruit for battery electrification, benefiting from instant torque to start and regen to stop and, as you say, fixed known routes within larger fleets. The only nation that seems to have capitalised on this basic fact is China which bootstrapped its EV industry on busses, pulling ahead from 2010 and hitting 90% of global market share for EV busses in 2…

For the same reason the electric mail trucks are a good idea. You can probably expect UPS and FedEx to start replacing their fleets over time as the existing vehicles age out, now that all electric vans are starting to become available.

Where I live a parcel delivery round can be hundreds of miles, so let's not over generalise

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#283
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Batteries have won this so hard (if you ignore CNG busses, which have existed forever and are "almost as good as hydrogen could be") - because even when they hadn't won it, you just needed more busses. Is it nice if the bus can do a driver's entire shift without a recharge? Sure! But if it can't, you just design the route so that the driver can switch busses and buy another bus. That means the technology problem is n…

The stop-start nature of city busses makes them a real low hanging fruit for battery electrification, benefiting from instant torque to start and regen to stop and, as you say, fixed known routes within larger fleets. The only nation that seems to have capitalised on this basic fact is China which bootstrapped its EV industry on busses, pulling ahead from 2010 and hitting 90% of global market share for EV busses in 2…

Where I live the buses often come from surrounding towns up to 50 miles away. With the out and back trip we have many many swaps to manage

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you have actual knowledge of their motives? Or is this speculation, confidently stated as fact? Another possible motive, mentioned in the the paragraph you quote, is that the oil companies see an energy transition coming and are trying to get aboard the hydrogen train to diversify their future revenue sources. And that sounds like a reasonable motive; the sort of thing that people who don't see themselves as evil…

I work for an oil and gas company. It has been specifically stated by my company that they are seeking support for hydrogen as a fuel because it adds value to their gas reserves - natural gas is roughly 75% hydrogen on a molar basis. The idea is to stimulate demand for "green-ish" hydrogen (that is by grid-connected electrolysis); once demand for the hydrogen is there, it can be supplied by blue hydrogen. The O&G com…

Can you define your hydrogen colors for us? It sounds like you have something interesting to say, but I can’t parse what it is out of your company’s jargon.

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#285
post #259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> hydrogen buses must be more expensive than electric Fuel cells are presumably more expensive than battery packs. The former are barely produced, while the latter are made in gigafactories. You can't just fill up the gas tank with hydrogen, it will leak out and/or cause a violent reaction with oxygen. > somehow the hydrogen fuel must be a long way from the bus depot You can't just store hydrogen in a tank and call i…

> Fuel cells are presumably more expensive than battery packs. Maybe, but a tank of hydrogen burnt through an ICE is much cheaper than either For your storage and production concerns, here it is working in practice https://youtu.be/5rk1RsT64o4?si=LLmX51kT2_YeRp2g

> Maybe, but a tank of hydrogen burnt through an ICE is much cheaper than either

It's really not. Most of the hydrogen bus projects were killed by the surprising cost of fueling - approximately 4x the cost of electricity.

And no wonder: just the energy wasted producing hydrogen and then using it in a fuel cell is enough to build a battery pack that will last the equivalent.

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#286

Earlier quoted context omitted.

that's why china is leading an EV revolution, government seeing that as very much important geopolitic and economic wise if hydrogen is feasible in mass scale, trust me someone in Asia would already make it

I think a lot of people miss the fact that China did not get to electric out of the blue it invested heavily in all these techs Hydrogen, Nuclear, Wind, Solar and batteries the cheapest and easiest to scale turned out to be Solar, Wind and then batteries. Even today China is still building more hydrogen and nuclear plants than most of the world combined but those technologies have not scaled or gotten cheaper at the…

That must be why China is building so much nuclear power.

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#287

I can't agree with the underlying idea of this article at all. 1) hydrogen buses must be more expensive than electric. I don't see how that is true. Hydrogen uses an ICE that is much cheaper to purchase than batteries + motor. Of course early stage niche designs might be more expensive, but that doesn't mean that it will be more expensive at scale 2) somehow the hydrogen fuel must be a long way from the bus depot, be…

1) Hydrogen combustion engines exist, but are extremely inefficent. For this reason all Hydrogen buses currently in use use fuel cells, which are expensive and complicated. That you were unaware of this makes me doubt the rest of your commentary. 2) There is a huge existing logistics network which conveys diesel to all corners of the world. The same, in a sense for electricity. For Hydrogen this doesn't exist. 5) The…

> 5)

Ah yes, his opinion on a completely unrelated highly partisan thing being wrong in hindsight implies his opinion about the company he is the very chairman of isn't trustworthy.

Maybe you should be the last person we all learn basic logic from :-)

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#288

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ever met a diesel mechanic? Every one I've ever come across has a very distinctive diesel cologne. I worry how this plays out in the field when combined with a 10,000psi gas which is explosive is almost any mixture including oxygen.

How are we going to drive earth moving machinery then? Stick with diesel?

The greatest tonnages are dug out with bench mining excavators. These work 24/7/365 round the clock to fill trucks from bench faces and empty into trains.

An area such as the Pilbara region moves a billion tonne of raw material a year and ships most of that.

These excavators are electric with cables that drag behind them .. they move very slowly across bench faces and then move back across the face again, it's not like they are very mobile (aside from swinging, dipping, lifting, dumping, returning, etc.)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kw-enXeOnKE

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#289

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I work for an oil and gas company. It has been specifically stated by my company that they are seeking support for hydrogen as a fuel because it adds value to their gas reserves - natural gas is roughly 75% hydrogen on a molar basis. The idea is to stimulate demand for "green-ish" hydrogen (that is by grid-connected electrolysis); once demand for the hydrogen is there, it can be supplied by blue hydrogen. The O&G com…

> natural gas is roughly 75% hydrogen on a molar basis I thought it was methane. Wouldn't that be 80% hydrogen on a molar basis? (Or... 67%, if we're counting moles of molecular hydrogen?) Is the discrepancy coming from impurities, or different types of fuel, or what?

Natural gas is a mixture of methane and heavier hydrocarbons, the composition varies by region, depending largely on how the LPGs (propane and butane) are used. Ethane usually ends up in natural gas, unless there is a petrochemical complex nearby.

So, 80% is a theoretical maximum, which is never achieved in practice. 75% hydrogen looks pretty right.

Re: Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?

#290

I am surprised there is no mention of CNG/biogas buses. They are very common here in Sweden. The engine is more or less the same as a gasoline/diesel engine. The biogas can be (and is) locally produced by food/farming waste or similar but can also run on fossile gas. And for the buses it is no problem to carry the somewhat bulky cylinders on the roof.

There's also biofuels. In Norway until recently the biofuel mixing requiremnts were doing as much to avoid CO2 in passenger cars as EVs, though EVs grew so they're about twice as effective now. Still a powerful complementary strategy.

https://robbieandrew.github.io/EV/img/avoided_emissions.svg

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