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Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

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Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is so completely wrong I can't believe I'm responding to it. We are not past carrying capacity. Population control is some ecofascist bullshit.

I feel like I need to address the ‘ecofascist bullshit’ gem. Fascism promoted eugenics. Population control through responsible procreation is not eugenics. It is an incentive to make sure ones children and future generation has the best possible chance to thrive and flourish along with everyone else of our species without just a few gene pools monopolizing all the resources. The 1/2 surviving child/per person is deri…

I don't know if it's useful to see it as a zero sum game. The sun is beaming practically unlimited energy out towards us (and a whole lot more that doesn't reach Earth but is still available eventually).

Even if it is zero sum: if we all stopped eating meat, we could pretty easily sustain ourselves. Putting it on population size instead of how that population behaves is not useful and frankly fatalist.

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not that old, but aside from the shitty insects like wasps and mosquitoes, they seem to have almost vanished. Birds still seem ok, but they can pick up food left behind by humans and many feed them in winter. Also snow... we had cross-country skis and used them almost every winter (northern Germany) 15 years ago. Today they are basically useless and you would certainly stand out if you used them here. Some birds…

Mosquitoes, I'll grant you, even though they're a significant prey source for dragonflies. But wasps? You should be thanking them for the fact you still have trees, with the way they keep bagworms and tent caterpillars down. Flowers, too, for quite a lot of which they're the major or even the only pollinators.

I don't know. I had a hornet nest in my garden last year. They make a bit of a mess and you shouldn't go to near to their nest, but they are awesome insects and far better than wasps. They also eat them so you won't find that many flying around.

They are just the larger, more peaceful versions that somehow aren't interested in humans the slightest. Sadly, they move every year and this time around the wasps are back.

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#283
post #103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The salient point was that manufacturing millions (billions?) of panels and turbines has a huge toll on the ecosystem Everything has an impact on the ecosystem, is your point that nuclear has less of an impact than solar? > and they are used in components of solar panels Which rare metals are used in solar panels?

>Everything has an impact on the ecosystem, is your point that nuclear has less of an impact than solar? Yes. That was my point. Much less. The other argument I would make is I'm not seeing any evidence that solar actually solves any problem for us. It can't replace fossil fuels, and in fact needs fossil fuel back-up because there is no battery technology (today or upcoming) that can store enough energy to, say, powe…

Look, it’s fine if you’re pro nuclear but why not be pro nuclear on its own merits? Your argument would be so much stronger without the parts disregarding wind and solar, as if energy sources are mutually exclusive. I urge you to do some more research on modern renewable technologies, specifically with regard to baseload and not see them as just an enemy of nuclear energy.

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"We really don't understand the systems of our planet and we are currently sticking a big spanner into them." There's a presumption that man is somehow an unnatural creature divorced from nature here. If only we had multiple Earths to experiment with. One without humans as a control, another with humans as we are now and a third with humanity following whatever dictates the warmist technocrats prescribe. Hypothetical…

I'm politically very in favour of personal liberty. Climate change being a real and causing problems is a fact at this point (we are mainly working out how big the problems will be). I wish that some liberterian politicians would start to accept that so we can get some freedom respecting solutions!

Humanity created agricultural systems. Likewise beavers modify their environment and create ecological systems. The Internet only moralizes about the former.

I'm inclined to agree that climates change. Whether the weather is wrong, correct or otherwise undesirable due to immoral actions of men seems like a separate issue. As you mentioned, we don't fully understand the systems involved. Consequently, I prefer to err on the side of humility rather than judgement.

That said, responsible forestry management and storage of carbon in the form of cut lumber has a profit incentive. For those inclined to accept the premises of global warming, this is a solution which respects freedom. Interestingly, it is downplayed and dismissed as untenable. Even further afield are environmentalists who oppose logging and propose regulations which set the stage for CO2 emitting forest fires.

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#285
post #283

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Everything has an impact on the ecosystem, is your point that nuclear has less of an impact than solar? Yes. That was my point. Much less. The other argument I would make is I'm not seeing any evidence that solar actually solves any problem for us. It can't replace fossil fuels, and in fact needs fossil fuel back-up because there is no battery technology (today or upcoming) that can store enough energy to, say, powe…

Look, it’s fine if you’re pro nuclear but why not be pro nuclear on its own merits? Your argument would be so much stronger without the parts disregarding wind and solar, as if energy sources are mutually exclusive. I urge you to do some more research on modern renewable technologies, specifically with regard to baseload and not see them as just an enemy of nuclear energy.

>I urge you to do some more research on modern renewable technologies

I see no evidence that solar and wind can actually replace fossil fuels. I think they are great in niche areas, but I see no evidence that they are even a partial solution to climate change. The nature of solar energy and wind energy is such that it is diffuse, and therefore needs massive number of collectors, and that requirement is directly proportional to population size, and per capita energy use (both of which are going up). This also means that you need to over-provision because solar and wind output varies daily, seasonally and even inter-annually (there are years when wind output is high, and years when it is low). And there is no battery technology now, or upcoming, that is capable of even storing that energy to even bridge daily variability at city-scale (for even a moderately-sized city).

Occasionally you'll see an article about some small country X getting 100% of their energy from renewables. In every case, that 'renewable' is hydro or geothermal (and hydro/geothermal is great and better than nuclear ... but only if you have the geography for it). It is never solar or wind. Every week for the last decade we have an article about how cheap (and getting cheaper) solar and wind is, and yet no country or even region is powered solely through these renewable. Germany is investing heavily in wind, while at the same time building pipelines to ship Russian gas for decades - WHY?!?!

Maybe renewable just can't do it and we should be honest about that. I think solar and wind are a distraction and they've become a religion.

By the way, here's a live view of the energy mix of my home province of Ontario (pop ~15 million)[1]. Because of nuclear and hydro we're pretty much at 85%-97% non-carbon power any given day ... and yet there is an irrational push for solar and wind (which also requires investment in natural gas) - what does solar and wind do for us? As a bonus, Ontario is one of the few places that you can make a credible argument against nuclear because we could sign long-term contract to ship hydro from Quebec ... but that's not the argument being made. The argument being made is that we should decommission nuclear in favour of ... can you guess? ... wind and solar - guaranteeing that we would need to build up natural gas for baseload. Insanity.

>specifically with regard to baseload

They need fossil fuel baseload. That's a fact. There is some talk about bio-fuels (i.e. burning wood!) but that's a disaster for the environment. We'd literally be clearing land to grow things that we then burn. And did you ever imagine that the energy technology of the future would be burning wood (or corn, or garbage)? And outside of biofuels, there is nothing else. In some cases, if you have the geography for it maybe you can build a pumped-storage reservoir, but that's the best you can do.

[1] http://live.gridwatch.ca/home-page.html

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#286

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Nuclear isn't friendly to the environment.

It is. Nuclear plants don't emit pollution. They don't emit carbon. They have tiny land-use requirements (especially compared to wind and solar), as does nuclear waste (for example, all of the nuclear waste generated in US since inception of nuclear power, would fit in an area the size of a single football field). There's nothing else like it.

The storage of nuclear waste for the time during which it needs to be stored without leaking is not a problem that has been solved, no matter how much government officials like to claim that it has. You can tell this is the case by looking into how these storage facilities actually do in practice.

That's leaving aside the problem of them inevitably breaking, which they absolutely will. Even if it only happens very few times, that's enough to ruin a very large swathe of environment. The risk is low, the impact is very very high.

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#287

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is. Nuclear plants don't emit pollution. They don't emit carbon. They have tiny land-use requirements (especially compared to wind and solar), as does nuclear waste (for example, all of the nuclear waste generated in US since inception of nuclear power, would fit in an area the size of a single football field). There's nothing else like it.

The storage of nuclear waste for the time during which it needs to be stored without leaking is not a problem that has been solved, no matter how much government officials like to claim that it has. You can tell this is the case by looking into how these storage facilities actually do in practice. That's leaving aside the problem of them inevitably breaking, which they absolutely will. Even if it only happens very fe…

>The storage of nuclear waste for the time during which it needs to be stored without leaking is not a problem that has been solved

Yes it has. You just store it. It takes up minuscule amount of land. The argument I hear is: "You can't store waste safely".. why? "Because you just can't".

>That's leaving aside the problem of them inevitably breaking, which they absolutely will.

Inevitably? I'm not sure about that. Right now that's not an issue and it hasn't been an issue for the the 60 years we've had nuclear power.

>You can tell this is the case by looking into how these storage facilities actually do in practice.

Sure. How many times did you hear about nuclear waste from commercial reactors leaking and causing damage to the environment?

>Even if it only happens very few times, that's enough to ruin a very large swathe of environment.

No. That's not true. That's not how radioactivity works. The longer the half-life of a radioactive substance, the less potent it is, and as you spread it over a larger area the potency goes down EXPONENTIALLY. Waste from commercial reactor is tiny - if you spread it, you dilute it to the point where it is engulfed in background radiation. There is no chance that waste from a commercial nuclear reactor will ruin a 'large swathe of environment'.

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#288

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Currently, with continuing education and public health, its women who 'get to decide'. So half the population is disenfranchised already. This 'who gets to decide' argument is sophomoric. Its an important issue, and we may have to face it, and we'll do something hopefully equitable.

It’s not so everywhere in the world. I think it’s fair that the ones with the uterus get to decide what they want to do with their body. Maybe if we start making pod babies that can gestate outside the female human body, it would be a free for all decision to make. I hope someone works on it.

Not married? What you do with your body is kind of the whole deal there, never mind just having kids. Yet the decision about kids is very, very one-sided.

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#289

The wolves eat the deer. The deer population collapses to the point that the food supply for the wolves cannot support the wolves. The wolves starve and the wolf population collapses. Without pressure from the wolves, the deer make a comeback and flourish. The population cycles occur in both large and small ecosystems. The process is slow and steady. Often it seems like the embers of life have gone out. However, some…

Human population collapse is very likely in the near future.

I don't know how near a collapse is, since catastrophes in systems tend to come as a surprise, not a gradual event. I do agree, however, that there is substantial evidence to suggest a collapse in the human population is inevitable.

Re: Animal Populations Fell by 68% in 50 Years and It’s Getting Worse

#290

In addition, no one today remembered why the war had come about or who, if anyone, had won. The dust which had contaminated most of the planet's surface had originated in no country and no one, even the wartime enemy, had planned on it. First, strangely, the owls had died. At the time it had seemed almost funny, the fat, fluffy white birds lying here and there, in yards and on streets; coming out no earlier than twil…

Dead crows on the street near a petrochemical plant in northern Germany, 1985.

[0] http://germanhistorydocs.ghi-dc.org/sub_image.cfm?image_id=9...

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