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Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

arstechnica.com

281–290 of 351 posts

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#281
post #213

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> As a friend of mine once said: "progress when you're going the wrong direction, is turning around". I disagree strongly. Progress in the wrong direction still teaches you things, and it means you're moving and you've overcome the inertia of doing nothing, which is half the battle. Failure isn't trying and not reaching your goal. Failure is never trying.

By that definition, Hitler was pretty successful. Yes, learn from your mistakes. No, don't actively go in the wrong direction.

Well, yes, Hitler was pretty successful at what he was trying to do.

Now you're talking about if you need to consider any moral implications of the activity you're undertaking, which is a whole different discussion.

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Iteration is what originally gave the Soviets the advantage in the space race.

I always found the dichotomy of Soviet culture interesting - that engineers were the most pragmatic I've ever seen, and the politicians were just...fucking idiots. The best example being Korolev, possibly the greatest rocket designer in history (certainly up there with Von Braun and Xuesen, and in my opinion more impressive), who died because he was sent to the Gulags by a bitter politician (this is an incredibly sho…

The only fucking idiot among top Soviet politicians was Gorbachev who sold one of the world's biggest economic, scientific and military powers just for 30 pieces of silver. His predecessors were no idiots at all. They are depicted as complete morons by the western propaganda - it's true. But propaganda and reality are two completely different things. I would advise you to learn history instead of blindly believing the yellow press and political articles on Wikipedia.

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#283
post #210
post #83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> What if you knew you could get a cheap ride anywhere anytime? That's exactly the premise of Starlink. SpaceX know they can launch those things 100x cheaper (1000x ?) than ever before in history, so they're churning them out and throwing them up. Even though the ones going up right now aren't "finished" it doesn't matter, because replacing them with new and better ones is so cheap.

400 Starlink satellites per Starship launch costing $2M is $5,000 per satellite per launch. Basically nothing compared to the eventual mass-produced cost to make each satellite which might be $100,000. https://youtu.be/Exd1IO52exs?t=361

Musk recently said that they need to get Starship working because the launch cost on Falcon 9 is already exceeding the cost of the launched Starlink satellites. With a launch cost of approximately $30M and 60 satellites, they are already at $500k per satellite at most.

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#284
post #282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I always found the dichotomy of Soviet culture interesting - that engineers were the most pragmatic I've ever seen, and the politicians were just...fucking idiots. The best example being Korolev, possibly the greatest rocket designer in history (certainly up there with Von Braun and Xuesen, and in my opinion more impressive), who died because he was sent to the Gulags by a bitter politician (this is an incredibly sho…

The only fucking idiot among top Soviet politicians was Gorbachev who sold one of the world's biggest economic, scientific and military powers just for 30 pieces of silver. His predecessors were no idiots at all. They are depicted as complete morons by the western propaganda - it's true. But propaganda and reality are two completely different things. I would advise you to learn history instead of blindly believing th…

So the politician who sent the world's greatest rocket engineer to the gulags out of spite isn't an idiot?

I'd be happy to learn more if you can point me towards some sources.

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#285
post #56

The pace of innovation here is absolutely ludicrous. They designed and built a custom welding machine _and_ a custom x-ray machine for building tank domes in four weeks ? They've gone from a production rate of one prototype in 8 months to one prototype every 2 weeks in less than a year. They doubled the size of their workforce in less than 48 hours. I'm gonna have to agree with the article author here: this is absolu…

Maybe the garbage fire that the Internet has become today was a necessary step for informatics to develop enough to tackle ambitious projects like this. Maybe all the talent that focused on computer entertainment, trading, advertising and surveillance was worth it and we'll see a second renaissance.

I hope more entrepreneurs follow Elon's steps.

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#286

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Iteration is what originally gave the Soviets the advantage in the space race.

I always found the dichotomy of Soviet culture interesting - that engineers were the most pragmatic I've ever seen, and the politicians were just...fucking idiots. The best example being Korolev, possibly the greatest rocket designer in history (certainly up there with Von Braun and Xuesen, and in my opinion more impressive), who died because he was sent to the Gulags by a bitter politician (this is an incredibly sho…

> that engineers were the most pragmatic I've ever seen, and the politicians were just...fucking idiots.

The engineers would have big problems if they spaceship doesn't work. The politicians are not idiots, its simply that they don't have the same goals as the engineers so the politicians seem like idiots to engineers.

> Had he not died in 1966, I suspect the Soviets would have beat the US to putting a man on the moon.

This is an false take. Many people have looked at this and it simply doesn't hold up. The resources they were investing was not big enough and having korolev couldn't have solved all the many problems they would have still faced.

They had some great engine technology but its a long way from there to the moon.

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#287

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're taking it too literally. No one is suggesting we wear mammoth pelts, only that our efforts will have to be gradual. If we want to survive as a race in the long long term, we have to start colonizing at some point. I just don't see why you're so pessimistic. Let these people go after their dream.

Colonization efforts off Earth can't be gradual. There is a baseline infrastructure necessary for people to live. There are no readily available resources on Mars that exist like they do on Earth. There's no safe places for people on the planet. Everything people need to survive needs to be brought from Earth. Every aspect of life on Mars needs to be bootstrapped from absolutely nothing. There's no working models for…

I agree. I'm for the PR stunt of sending humans to Mars.

I really loved America's stunt of going to the Moon and I want a sequel.

Eventually I would like us to have some sort of habitat on Mars which I do not think is far-fetched. I believe SpaceX will spur this movement.

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#288

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's really helping them that they have some of the most motivated employees on Earth. Their people absolutely believe in this vision of colonizing Mars just as much as Elon Musk does. (Hell, I do too, I just don't work there.) Meanwhile I'm working at an advertising company.

You could set up the first billboard on Mars!

"There are {$RANDOM_NUMBER} single girls waiting for men like you near Hellas Planitiae"

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#289
post #282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I always found the dichotomy of Soviet culture interesting - that engineers were the most pragmatic I've ever seen, and the politicians were just...fucking idiots. The best example being Korolev, possibly the greatest rocket designer in history (certainly up there with Von Braun and Xuesen, and in my opinion more impressive), who died because he was sent to the Gulags by a bitter politician (this is an incredibly sho…

The only fucking idiot among top Soviet politicians was Gorbachev who sold one of the world's biggest economic, scientific and military powers just for 30 pieces of silver. His predecessors were no idiots at all. They are depicted as complete morons by the western propaganda - it's true. But propaganda and reality are two completely different things. I would advise you to learn history instead of blindly believing th…

Gorbachev saw an totally undemocratic nation that had long flattened out in terms growth and innovation and wanted to make it democratic, he didn't realize that all these rich people in the society had more interest in keeping the system in their control and they had no interest in his vision.

> They are depicted as complete morons by the western propaganda - it's true. But propaganda and reality are two completely different things.

They were not idiots, but their intensives didn't align with the goals of the engineers.

Re: Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars

#290

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You could set up the first billboard on Mars!

"There are {$RANDOM_NUMBER} single girls waiting for men like you near Hellas Planitiae"

"Meet local girls in low Mars orbit tonight!"

https://xkcd.com/713/

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