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Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

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281–290 of 323 posts

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#281
post #264

Earlier quoted context omitted.

French nuclear can make varies its plant at 3-5 %Pr/minute, when cumulating 53 reactors, it is a lot. Also nuclear is 20% of the marginal electricity (the one that varies). http://www.oecd-nea.org/nea-news/2011/29-2/aen-infos-suivi-c... https://www.tmrow.com/static/c90a14e6fe7e73b4c60963818f9041e... https://www.tmrow.com/blog/marginal-carbon-intensity-of-elec...

Nuclear plants doesn't have enough flexibility, therefore thermal (non nuclear) power stations are necessary. In France they produce about 7% of the gridpower. "Not enough flexibility" isn't specific to renewables.

Renewable have no flexibility, that can't ramp up on demand, they can only be curtailed, which is stupid. Nuclear have a lot of flexibility, as I showed you, the spikes are already dealt with by hydro and reservoir.

We just need moar nuclear plants and we can eliminate the few remaining coal and gas plants.

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#282
post #266

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Superphenix is only a failure because of the socialist pact with the ecologist to gain a few votes asked them to close it. It would have solved all waste and supply issues.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superph%C3%A9nix#Operation

It was a research project.

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#283
post #279

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the green party spoke person repeats the argument of being net exporter of green energy in response. I think its a valid argument or caveat to the undesirable coal burning. That's a spoken debate, open to interpretation and misunderstanding, not evidence of carbon trading actually being gamed. > where we plant tree and don't cut them down has a name: nature sanctuary. Sure, or let the trees seed themselves but I sa…

> I think its a valid argument or caveat to the undesirable coal burning. If I was doing some tit-for-tat argument I would ask what kind of confused climate skeptic literature says that its a valid argument for importing coal energy in 2019. The green party used to say that the coal belong in the ground. It was one of their slogans. Being a net exporter of green energy does not make it suddenly valid to dig up the co…

I'm certain that in general you are a very coherent thinker, but in this discussion I cant make coherent sense of your criticisms :

> it wouldn't be too hard to just ban fossil fuels tomorrow

That sounded a "super green" idea to me - with no idea myself how you thought that could be done. Nuclear ?! How can I tell to what degree your writing is to be understood as exaggeration - affordable nuclear supply by tomorrow? by next year? by next decade? When you have a rational case, you should be able to promote it with accurate rational language. Sorry but I cant tell what you are really intending or concerned about, because your case has not been coherent. Perhaps examine whether you have a prejudice towards the idea of "green" policy (sounds like an insult?) and prejudice allows one to be hyper critical while inattentive to the coherence of ones own convictions.

The green movement has harbored some prejudice towards nuclear power, but nuclear power is not more expensive now than renewable options because of green prejudice. Its just an excessively complex, resource and high level human attention demanding industrial process to safely generate large amounts of heat from radioactive materials, besides the normal expense of cooling and extracting power from concentrated heat. Sure nuclear might have not been the monster which many greens have pictured it as, also consider whether it is the affordable suppressed magic which nuclear has promoted itself as in the preceding decades while spending many billions on undercosted projects which where delayed to the point of never producing any power. That doesnt happen with wind and solar so even if they foist "misregulation" and fear on nuclear - at least they have shown that they deliver !

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#284
post #257
post #241

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well I mean, one of the new submarines cost something like $2 billion. The reactor can’t be more than a 20% of the total cost. So no it’s not anything like 100 times more. It’s probably practically economically viable for civilian power as is. It just needs necessary modifications and housing for land based use. And permission to use the higher enrichment uranium. The fact you don’t need to refuel it for 20 years mig…

> Well I mean, one of the new submarines cost something like $2 billion. The reactor can’t be more than a 20% of the total cost. Wikipedia claims the latest generation US attack submarines come in at $2.8 billion each. If the reactor is 20%, and the entire propulsion system 30% (to make a comparison to a power plant), shaft power is 30 MW, we get $28000/kW. For comparison, civilian nuclear power plant capital cost is…

Actually I was spitballing 20% of $2b as an upper bound for the entire plant. Does 30% come from something? For the thought experiment I’ll take 20% of $2.8b though. So $560m.

Not sure how shaft power is what we are considering here as this would be converted to purely electricity generation. These plants are estimated 210MW thermal, say a 35% conversion factor that’s more in the ballpark of 70MW electric. So $560m for 70MWe that doesn’t need refueling for 20 years. So more like $8,000 /KW. For a system that can be largely self contained, shipped to site, and not need refueling for its 20 year life span.

We could replace over 200GW of fossil generation sources in this country with 3000 of these at a price of $1.68t. Amortized over that 20 years fuel life span. That’s crude ballpark $84 billion a year.

US electricity production at the moment (11am EST) is about 490GW. With 99GW coal and 166gW of gas.

So we could effectively turn the country’s electricity system fossil free for a cost of $84 billion per year.

That’s seems dirt cheap. It’s less than this years military budget increase. For that we clean our grid. The more I think about it the more it seems it’s something we could totally do without breaking a sweat if we actually took climate change seriously.

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#285
post #220

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's how it's supposed to work. A country like Norway producing 100% green energy and having 100% coal or other non-renewables on the books is the system working as designed. It means that countries who actually use non-renewables to power their grid effectively subsidize the Norwegian energy market and pay a fine for their own use. It's amazing how common the misconception that this is somehow nefarious is. I enco…

The issue isn’t green energy production and resale, but double counting of credits. Multiple players claiming “green energy” (leaving out whether it’s production or consumption), while none take responsibility for the fossil fuels. Energy is fungible, meaning they only sell the credits and use the green power internally. Now suddenly they use originally “green” power, never mind that the credits have been sold and so…

Respectfully, you're continuing to entirely misunderstand how this works.

There isn't double-counting, that's the entire point of the system where "green" producers end up with "dirty" credits, because a "dirty" pays that "green" provider to take its credits in exchange, to prevent double counting.

But the notion of which sort of credit you buy and what sort of energy you actually produce are two separate things.

As an example Iceland is exempt from certain EU/EEA energy efficiency regulation because of its near-100% use of green energy, even though its power companies have something like >80% "dirty" energy credits on hand.

This is because the regulators can distinguish between a "dirty" power plant with 100% green credits on hand (i.e. they've subsidized a "green" power plant) v.s. a "green" power plant with 100% green credits on hand.

    > There is no need for them to sell
    > many of those credits, as evidenced
    > by the fact that they don’t even transfer
    > much of that power.
I think this is the crux of the issue and shows just how thoroughly you're missing the point of this system.

The electron that comes through your socket doesn't need to be generated by a "green" power plant for you to consume "green" energy, this is because electrons are fungible.

Of course we also want to shift to 100% green energy power plants, but in the meantime energy demand is also elastic. The point of the energy credit system is to shift electricity demand from areas that supply real "dirty" energy to those that supply "real" green energy.

This happens because a "green" power plant in Norway might sell its energy for 20 cents/kWh, which would be the same as a "dirty" power plant in Denmark. But if the "dirty" plant needs to buy "green" credits from the Norwegian one it might have to raise its prices to 25 cents/kWh, and the Norwegian one can lower them to 15 cents/kWh.

This would then have the effect that an energy consumer (say a factory) might move its operation to Norway to benefit from cheaper energy, or consumers would buy the subsidized Norwegian product over the Danish one.

Except for the small detail that it doesn't actually have much of an effect from a macro-economic point of view, but that's because we collectively think this whole climate change thing isn't really all that important, and thus the energy credits are relatively cheap and add almost nothing to the end-user price.

But that's the fault of political priorities, the system itself is relatively elegant and would have more of an effect if its designed was backed up by larger political commitments.

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#286

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> That’s a cudgel to ignore the fact that being anti-nuclear means being pro-fossil fuels. I dont think so. We may have a common competitor yet also be in competition. Solar and wind have very complimentary output patterns (combining two variable sources produces a less variable source even without the modest degree of anti correlation which is present between wind and solar). Nuclears output pattern really begs to b…

You quoted and then ignored the entire reason they don’t compete. Nuclear is great for base load because it’s not very reactive as you pointed out. Solar and wind are absolutely terrible for base load (see Hawaii).

I didnt vote that down since I can explain - base load is a theoretical fraction of electricity demand, not a separate physical entity. Renewable supply competes for whatever anyone wishes to categorize as "base load" the same as it competes for "peak loads" and "moderate loads" - renewables sell when they make power for any load.

You have no "base load" once such competitors are involved because half the time they are bidding for all of the load. Separating off a base load deal is then an artificial arrangement. Your supplier who can only economically supply a certain level is no help when your renewables fall short, and they are an expense when your renewables surge and offer cheaper power. Once renewables are in the mix you want economical dispatch-able supply. That means batteries for frequent sub-daily power deficits, and existing fossil moving to carbon neutral fuels for less frequent deficits.

There is no effective nuclear construction industry today that can stop renewables getting big in the mix, and the bigger renewables get into it, the less attractive "base load" power purchasing contracts become for buyers. There is talk about making nuclear competitively dispatchable with molten salt reserviors - that's just a nuclear plant and molten salt battery. The battery is the economical part. Nuclear will continue to be an expensive side project for many governments which can afford it, sometimes completing a project, sometimes giving up as they do after multiple cost increases and delays, but it is practically finished in competitive industry by the arrival of advanced solar and wind.

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#287
post #284
post #257

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Well I mean, one of the new submarines cost something like $2 billion. The reactor can’t be more than a 20% of the total cost. Wikipedia claims the latest generation US attack submarines come in at $2.8 billion each. If the reactor is 20%, and the entire propulsion system 30% (to make a comparison to a power plant), shaft power is 30 MW, we get $28000/kW. For comparison, civilian nuclear power plant capital cost is…

Actually I was spitballing 20% of $2b as an upper bound for the entire plant. Does 30% come from something? For the thought experiment I’ll take 20% of $2.8b though. So $560m. Not sure how shaft power is what we are considering here as this would be converted to purely electricity generation. These plants are estimated 210MW thermal, say a 35% conversion factor that’s more in the ballpark of 70MW electric. So $560m f…

> Does 30% come from something?

No, I just added a bit on top to get an estimate for the entire power conversion system, assuming your estimate of 20% for the nuclear parts were in the right ballpark.

> Not sure how shaft power is what we are considering here as this would be converted to purely electricity generation

The power to turn the prop shaft would roughly be what's available for turning the generator if the thing is used to produce electricity rather than propulsion.

Sure, there's the "hotel load" to run the rest of the sub, but then again a generator isn't 100% efficient either so I think roughly 30 MW electrical output is about right.

Details are classified, but from publicly available sources my understanding is that naval reactors tend to work at lower pressure and temperature than civilian land based PWR's, so efficiency takes a (substantial) hit. So I do think my estimate of 30 MWe is closer to the mark than your 70.

> doesn’t need refueling for 20 years

So it's a life of ship core which is supposedly 33 years. But, that's 33 years of average use. AFAIU subs spend most of their time creeping along pretty slowly in order to stay silent, so on average they'll be using a small fraction of max power. Civilian power reactors otoh want to run at full power as much as possible to amortize capital costs.

Not to mention that HEU just won't fly for civilian use, as I tried to explain my previous message.

As for economics, yes I think that decarbonizing the electric grid with series produced reactors would, in the end, be pretty cheap. France did that some decades ago, for about $1500/kW in today's money. AFAICT that would require the government to handle it (like in France), both to decide on one reactor model (to get on the learning curve by series producing it) and to have access to cheap capital.

If one wanted to do it with SMR's rather than large reactors like France, I suggest e.g. Nuscale would be a better starting point than submarine reactors.

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#288
post #285

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The issue isn’t green energy production and resale, but double counting of credits. Multiple players claiming “green energy” (leaving out whether it’s production or consumption), while none take responsibility for the fossil fuels. Energy is fungible, meaning they only sell the credits and use the green power internally. Now suddenly they use originally “green” power, never mind that the credits have been sold and so…

Respectfully, you're continuing to entirely misunderstand how this works. There isn't double-counting, that's the entire point of the system where "green" producers end up with "dirty" credits, because a "dirty" pays that "green" provider to take its credits in exchange, to prevent double counting. But the notion of which sort of credit you buy and what sort of energy you actually produce are two separate things. As…

You don't need to prepend "Respectfully" in order to insult. You can just go ahead and say it directly, and what you are doing is helping climate change skeptics by hiding the fact that coal that was once in the ground is now being burned and released into the air as pollution.

If you dig out coal and burn it in a power plant then you are producing pollution and contributing to global warming. No amount of exporting green energy changes that fact.

You are trying to dodge the question why there is a big whole in the ground where the coal once where. Someone mined it. Someone burned it. Someone bought it. Each and everyone involved are partly responsible for the harm this act caused to the environment. It is a bit like thief stealing, a fence reselling it and a customer buying it without asking questions of why it is so cheap. It is not an elegant system because in the end a crime occurred and real harm has happened.

If you want to produce green energy or run a nuclear plant then do what ever feels best, but the coal stays in the ground. No amount of misleading can hide the fact that digging it out is harmful to the planet, both on a macro and micro level, and if you fund coal mining by buying their energy then you are part of the problem.

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#289

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Nuclear technology scales horribly downwards so even in a world that fully-embraced the technology you won't have pocket reactors that do anything more than maybe a power some gimmick accessory. The true power potential of nuclear only comes into affect with full steam boiler-turbine infrastructure, which are large, heavy, and maintenance-intensive beasts; a good comparison would be an early-industrial coal steam boi…

> Nuclear technology scales horribly downwards A small steam turbine is an apparatus with about the size and complexity of a car engine. But if it has to be licensed and inspected by the NRC then you can forget about it. And you could make a little RTG that could power a phone for a decade. Even with the terrible efficiency of thermoelectric generators it would still be much smaller than a lithium battery that could…

I'd accept a thick phone if it had a huge battery life. But then how do you perform waste disposal? People are, largely, irresponsible jackasses who would think nothing of throwing old RTGs into the ocean / landfill / other improper decomissioning methods.

Also the potential damage is a lot higher e.g. if you're in a car accident and the RTG gets punctured vs. just a Li-ion battery catching fire. In terms of cleanup and containment.

Re: Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear reactor technology

#290
post #288
post #285

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Respectfully, you're continuing to entirely misunderstand how this works. There isn't double-counting, that's the entire point of the system where "green" producers end up with "dirty" credits, because a "dirty" pays that "green" provider to take its credits in exchange, to prevent double counting. But the notion of which sort of credit you buy and what sort of energy you actually produce are two separate things. As…

You don't need to prepend "Respectfully" in order to insult. You can just go ahead and say it directly, and what you are doing is helping climate change skeptics by hiding the fact that coal that was once in the ground is now being burned and released into the air as pollution. If you dig out coal and burn it in a power plant then you are producing pollution and contributing to global warming. No amount of exporting…

It's not being hidden, it's being exhaustively documented.

Of course burning coal sucks, and we should replace those power plants.

But until then we can also discourage their use by subsidising clean energy at their expense. That's what this system is meant to accomplish.

It's beyond me how someone can look at what's effectively a tax on non-renewables as whitewashing those energy sources. You tax behavior you want to discourage.

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