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More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

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Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#271
post #230
post #113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The decline of the Roman Empire, depending on how you define it, played out over centuries, if not a millennium. It is such a bad analogy for the kind of within-our-lifetimes collapse that is being speculated about here that it undermines the original concern. The decline of Germany as the leading scientific powerhouse in the first half if the 20th century would be a better case study imho.

Historians today tend to emphasize that, even if the Western Empire ended in the fifth century, ultimately everything goes back to the Crisis of the Third Century. That took place with a short enough space that it must qualify as a within-our-lifetimes collapse.

I would agree with that stance and that classical antiquity ended then. But you still have to acknowledge that the Roman state, its culture and institutions not only survived but arguably came out even more dominant (with the exception of pagan religion), e.g. with a second political stronghold in the East.

There are many episodes in Roman history that people would have experienced as decline or even collapse within their lifetimes, including multiple sackings of the city of Rome itself. But in most of those cases things actually did bounce back and the Empire continued to dominate. That's kind of the point I was making. Empires would seem to be far more resilient than contemporary observers would think if one only looked at Roman history. But the problem is that the Roman Empire is a bit of an outlier in that regard. Ancient cultures of Central America would be interesting to study there (there were far more than just the Mayas, Inkas and Aztecs, most of them relatively short-lived, hence good case studies for the question of collapse). Unfortunately much less is known about them than about Romans.

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#272

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Was the Union army complicit in the crimes of the Confederacy by simply allowing them to drop their arms and walk away as well? yes, they were. the USA if the Unionists has followed through on reconstruction looks like a utopia compared to now

It's stuff like this that really makes me wonder about the great man theory of history. Without JW Booth, maybe Lincoln would've broken the southern white aristocracy, and maybe Reconstruction would've succeeded. One man could've made the difference and finished the job. Likewise, it's difficult to imagine any other con man so skilled and beloved (by a certain subset of the population) as Trump, and his singular abil…

Reconstruction ended more than 10 years after Lincoln's assassination, he would not have remained in office forever. I think for most Unionists the war was not about abolition or racial equality and there simply was not the political will to make the changes necessary to prevent Jim Crow in the south.

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#273

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Eras like this one can be what kills an empire/great power. Is there actually any good analogue for this era that caused a previous empire or great power to collapse?

I think the whole “empire collapsing” is a bit of a dramatized phrasing, though historians can correct me. I think it’s much more death by a thousand cuts, and the UK is a great analogue in that regard. Look at Brexit, for example. Or Black Wednesday, from which the US’s esteemed Treasury Secretary profited handsomely. The UK’s decline has taken centuries, though, and there are many events that one can point to. I th…

> I think the whole “empire collapsing” is a bit of a dramatized phrasing

Ragnarok is an existential issue mainly for the ruling class. Collapse is a change in the social order more than everything just suddenly being on fire.

E.g. We developed a nice little niche during the dotcom boom, and the subsequent bust was a goldmine for us. From my perspective the sole effect of that "collapse" were cheap Ducatis and Herman Millers on Craigslist.

What do you think the collapse of rome looked like to a farmer or blacksmith in some remote hamlet?

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#274

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why? I don't trust a wood chipper or angle grinder or fireworks on the Fourth of July, so I'm extra careful around them. Doesn't mean I don't use them. > Is the force even still there… Yep.

OK, so apparently the claim that "no one will ever trust the US or their commitments again" means that businesses and governments will still enter into all manner of trades and alliances and business arrangements with the US, but in their heart of hearts, they won't actually trust the US?

Yes, but it will be much more expensive and inefficient compared to the trades and alliances with nations that are trusted. Basically the US is a failed state. Functioning nations can make agreements that survive leadership changes. The US is not one of those.

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#275

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

No one is talking about Fauci here. This kind of whataboutism is frankly disgusting.

You ask how Republicans can possibly defend this behavior, I argue both mainstream political parties excuse blatant corruption and borderline evil on a regular basis.

If you would self-identify as a Democrat, ask yourself this: How do you feel about the recent Fauci findings, and the fact he needed a pardon to protect him against ever being prosecuted against potential crimes that are now being discussed in a Senate hearing.

Then `s/Fauci/Trump` and you'll arrive at your answer for Republicans.

I guarantee Trump will copy the template Biden established at the end of his term, and pardon all his cronies and family members on his way out the door in January 2029.

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#276
post #47

Curious: are there any republicans left on HN? I have no concept of how you can defend this

Not a Republican, but I support this behavior because I can't wait for more talent to leave the US

This but unironically.

I don't really care about this country being a ""global leader"" in an industry, but not having to compete with the whole world for my job is sweet.

Thanks to Trumps policies reducing the amount of international students and workers visas, I was actually able to both get accepted into a grad school I never expected and land and a job straight out of college.

Turns out supply and demand also applies to labor, whodathunk.

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#277
post #178
post #113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The decline of the Roman Empire, depending on how you define it, played out over centuries, if not a millennium. It is such a bad analogy for the kind of within-our-lifetimes collapse that is being speculated about here that it undermines the original concern. The decline of Germany as the leading scientific powerhouse in the first half if the 20th century would be a better case study imho.

> The decline of Germany as the leading scientific powerhouse in the first half if the 20th century Go on? WW1 and its consequences?

I think the educational policies are most interesting to compare. There was systematic attrition of academic talent driven by xenophobic ideologies. It started slowly and well before the 1930's, before it turned into an all-out purge. There was also ideological alignment of academia in multiple ways. The timing might not perfectly line up with what we're discussing now, but it definitely qualifies as within-lifetime, and I think the overall parallels are interesting.

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#278

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If most were being honest, they would probably admit that the corrupt behavior like this is bad, but that the overall balance of good vs bad policy decisions still favor having Republicans in power vs Democrats.

I can agree, it's likely all politicians are corrupt. Democrats are awful, but GOP are genuinely bad people. Like this story for instance. Historically presidents pretended to divest from their holdings and focus on being president, not making money. The current presidential administration took a plane from Qatar spent our tax dollars to fix it up and will keep it as a personal gift, hired his bud to do the reflectin…

Trump is certainly the most overtly corrupt and immoral US president in history. But I try to focus on policies rather than their personalities.

I'd rather see $1 billion lost to graft than $100 billion lost to bad policy. But I'll admit, Trump's flagrancy makes it hard to ignore.

I'm generally libertarian or classic liberal, so I agree with maybe 70% of Republican policy and 30% of Democratic policy (assuming those are the only two choices), but lately that's been shifting closer to 50/50.

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#279
post #9

Insider trading as a service. No one is going to take the US seriously for the next 50 years.

> No one is going to take the US seriously for the next 50 years. I hate this obvious pay-for-access thing as much as anyone, but this isn’t going to define the US for the next 50 years. The second the next president is in office every other country will adapt to working with them, just as been happening every 4-8 years.

Yes, other countries will keep working with the US, but with a different attitude. They will be much more weary of doing long term things with the US unless they will get enough benefit in the first N years (where N is the remaining term of the current president) for it to be a net win even if the thing stops abruptly after that.

Trump 2 is a breakdown of the separation of powers and checks and balances that were supposed to give the US continuity. With that no longer functioning any deal you make with the US is really a deal with the current President which future Presidents may or may not honor.

It doesn't matter how reasonable the next President is because just electing a good President doesn't fix the underlying system. If other countries don't see that fixed so that another Trump cannot happen they will not consider the US to be reliable for long term things.

Re: More than 10 firms pay up to $100k a month for access to Truth Social posts

#280

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I can agree, it's likely all politicians are corrupt. Democrats are awful, but GOP are genuinely bad people. Like this story for instance. Historically presidents pretended to divest from their holdings and focus on being president, not making money. The current presidential administration took a plane from Qatar spent our tax dollars to fix it up and will keep it as a personal gift, hired his bud to do the reflectin…

Trump is certainly the most overtly corrupt and immoral US president in history. But I try to focus on policies rather than their personalities. I'd rather see $1 billion lost to graft than $100 billion lost to bad policy. But I'll admit, Trump's flagrancy makes it hard to ignore. I'm generally libertarian or classic liberal, so I agree with maybe 70% of Republican policy and 30% of Democratic policy (assuming those…

Maybe I'm really uninformed but classic liberal and libertarian are polar opposites. Republican policy is insanely archaic and constrains human freedoms much more that Democrats, so I'm struggling to see how a libertarian could support the guys putting militarized unaccountable secret police into our cities to terrorize and kill Americans. They're also much more into thought crimes than Dems, so I'm really wondering what you consider important?

What's objectionable about Democrat policy from the "libertarian or classic liberal" perspective?

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